The higher-than-anticipated US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading was followed by a decline in Bitcoin (BTC) price as it tumbled almost 1.5% to $56,168 at press time.

US Headline CPI Matches Forecast, Core CPI Exceeds It

US headline CPI, the metric typically used to assess the inflation rate in the country, came in according to expectations at 0.2% month-over-month (MoM), and 2.5% year-over-year (YoY) for August 2024. However, core CPI (MoM) printed 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% forecasted by economists. 

For the uninitiated, the difference between the headline CPI and core CPI is the constituents of the basket of items they assess. While the headline CPI measures all item categories, including housing, transportation, services, medical care, food, and energy, core CPI excludes food and energy prices to give a more stable view of underlying inflation trends.

By removing the price of volatile items from its calculation, core CPI is often considered a more accurate indicator of long-term inflation.

Following the unexpected core CPI print, BTC witnessed a quick decline in price as it fell from around $57,000 to $56,168 at the time of writing. The wider crypto market displayed similar trends as Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Solana (SOL), and Ripple (XRP), which are down by 2.1%, 1.3%, 4.6%, and 2.4%, respectively.

With the CPI data for August 2024 released, it seems all but certain that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cut cycle with a 25 basis points (bps) cut in September. In a note, Capital Economics’ Paul Ashworth said:

On balance, we still think the Fed will begin its rate cutting cycle with a more modest 25 bps cut. The 3.2% annual core CPI was mostly due to a 5.2% increase in shelter prices, while the three-month annualized core CPI rebounded only to 2.1% from a weak 1.6%.

Related Reading

Indeed, following the CPI data release, the probability of the Fed slashing rates by 25 bps next week has jumped to 83%, per data from CME FedWatch. Assuming the Fed reduces rates by 25 bps, it should instill some confidence in crypto and stock markets, fearing a 50 bps cut could signal the Fed not being fully confident in its ability to tackle inflation.

What Lies Ahead For Bitcoin?

As BTC remains loosely range-bound between $52,000 to $70,000 on the daily chart, analysts are speculating on the future trajectory the leading digital asset’s price could take.

Some analysts opine that BTC’s current price action is reminiscent of a similar price consolidation in 2023. If the same scenario plays out in 2024, we could see a new Bitcoin all-time-high (ATH) price.

It will also be interesting to see the impact of the US Presidential Elections scheduled to happen in November 2024. Interestingly enough, some election-agnostic analysts have stated that no matter who wins the election later this year, BTC is slated to win in the long term.

Related Reading

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $56,168 while the total cryptocurrency market cap sits at $1.94 trillion, down 2.3% in the past 24 hours.

Ronaldo’s journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology.

Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration and commitment to staying up-to-date with the latest developments have granted him a unique perspective on the industry.

One of Ronaldo’s defining areas of expertise lies in technical analysis. He firmly believes that studying charts and deciphering price movements provides valuable insights into the market. Ronaldo recognizes that patterns exist within the chaos of crypto charts, and by utilizing technical analysis tools and indicators, he can unlock hidden opportunities and make informed investment decisions. His dedication to mastering this analytical approach has allowed him to navigate the volatile crypto market with confidence and precision.

Ronaldo’s commitment to his craft goes beyond personal gain. He is passionate about sharing his knowledge and insights with others, empowering them to make well-informed decisions in the crypto space. Ronaldo’s writing is a testament to his dedication, providing readers with meaningful analysis and up-to-date news. He strives to offer a comprehensive understanding of the crypto industry, helping readers navigate its complexities and seize opportunities.

Outside of the crypto realm, Ronaldo enjoys indulging in other passions. As an avid sports fan, he finds joy in watching exhilarating sporting events, witnessing the triumphs and challenges of athletes pushing their limits. Furthermore, His passion for languages extends beyond mere communication; he aspires to master German, French, Italian, and Portuguese, in addition to his native Spanish. Recognizing the value of linguistic proficiency, Ronaldo aims to enhance his work prospects, personal relationships, and overall growth.

However, Ronaldo’s aspirations extend far beyond language acquisition. He believes that the future of the crypto industry holds immense potential as a groundbreaking force in history. With unwavering conviction, he envisions a world where cryptocurrencies unlock financial freedom for all and become catalysts for societal development and growth. Ronaldo is determined to prepare himself for this transformative era, ensuring he is well-equipped to navigate the crypto landscape.

Ronaldo also recognizes the importance of maintaining a healthy body and mind, regularly hitting the gym to stay physically fit. He immerses himself in books and podcasts that inspire him to become the best version of himself, constantly seeking new ways to expand his horizons and knowledge.

With a genuine desire to become the best version of himself, Ronaldo is committed to continuous improvement. He sets personal goals, embraces challenges, and seeks opportunities for growth and self-reflection. Ultimately, combining his passion for cryptocurrencies, dedication to learning, and commitment to personal development, Ronaldo aims to go hand-in-hand with the exciting new era that the emerging crypto technology is bringing to the world and societies.