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Donald Trump’s Victory Odds Fall, Here’s How Bitcoin and Altcoins React

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3 weeks ago

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As per the data from Polymarket, Donald Trump’s chances of a presidential victory dropped by a strong 4.5% just three days before the announcement of the results. As a result, Bitcoin and altcoins in the broader crypto market have taken a pause in any directional move unless things become clear further.

Donald Trump Loses Majority In Swing States

Over the past week, former President Trump held the victory odds strongly to more than 60% per the Polymarket data. However, on Friday evening, these numbers dropped by 4 percentage points. At 58.1% now, Donald Trump still maintains a lead by 16 percentage points over his rival and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.

The two states where Harris is once again gaining ground over Trump are Wisconsin and Michigan. However, he holds a formidable lead in other states like Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Georgia.

Just over the last two days, Donald Trump’s winning percentage numbers have dropped ten odd percentage points. Investors have already taken massive bets over the rising victory odds of Donald Trump over the past month. However, this recent swing can bring some jitters across the investor community.

As per the latest WSJ report a French user is betting more than $38 million on Donald Trump’s victory while stating that he has no political motive. The user identified himself as a French national who previously lived in the United States and worked as a bank trader. If Trump wins, the user stands to gain over $80 million, but a Kamala Harris victory could mean a total or significant loss.

Bitcoin and Altcoins Take a Pause

Following the surge to $73,000 earlier this week, the Bitcoin price plunged on the last day of October to settle under $70,000. However, yesterday’s correction dragged the altcoins even lower with ETH, SOL, XRP, and others falling by even greater percentage points.

Bitcoin speculators are increasingly drawn to leveraged futures positions as anticipation builds around the upcoming U.S. election. Meanwhile, data reveals that approximately 180,000 BTC previously held by long-term holders have shifted, de-risking into the hands of significant ETF buyers.

This trend indicates a cautious but active repositioning among seasoned investors, balancing speculative and long-term strategies in the lead-up to the election. For the first time in the last eight trading sessions, the total inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs turned negative as victory chances for Donald Trump dropped further. The BlackRock Bitcoin ETF IBIT has been dominating the inflows over the past two weeks, with total inflows crossing $26 billion in a significant milestone.

The Ethereum price took a dive under $2,500 with top traders like Peter Brandt predicting further crash. However, if the bulls support the levels of $2,480, we could witness a rebound from here. As of press time, the ETH price is trading at $2,509 with a market cap of $302 billion.

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Bhushan Akolkar

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Donald Trump Proposed Crypto Advisory Council To Set Up Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

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4 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Donald Trump plans to establish an advisory council to position the U.S. as a leader in the cryptocurrency space. The council will spearhead policy changes, coordinate with Congress on crypto legislation, and oversee the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

The advisory council will also operate under the White House’s National Economic Council or a similar executive body. Industry executives have revealed that the council will collaborate with federal agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and the Treasury to streamline regulatory frameworks for the crypto industry.

Donald Trump To Establish Bitcoin Reserve Amid Crypto Council Formation

According to a recent report, Donald Trump’s crypto advisory council will advise on digital asset policies and oversee the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The reserve aims to position Bitcoin as a core element of the United States’ economic strategy. This will enhance the nation’s leadership in the global crypto space.

The council will work with Congress to draft legislation and coordinate between agencies such as the SEC, CFTC, and Treasury. The initiative seeks to establish clear regulatory guidelines within the crypto sector. More so, the idea of a Bitcoin reserve reflects a commitment to integrating blockchain technology into national economic frameworks.

Additionally, the move comes amid rising discussions on why the United States should consider Bitcoin as part of its national reserves, particularly in light of countries like El Salvador and Bhutan already adopting it. Advocates like Anthony Pompliano stress the urgency for the U.S. to act to maintain its leadership in the evolving digital economy.

Industry Leaders Compete for Seats on Trump’s Crypto Council

Several players in the industry, including Ripple, Kraken, Coinbase, and Circle, are vying for a position on Donald Trump’s council. These companies aim to influence the administration’s approach to crypto regulation and advocate for pro-industry policies. Executives from Paradigm and Andreessen Horowitz’s crypto arm, a16z, are also expected to play key roles in shaping the council.

Ripple and Circle, represented by their executives, have already expressed interest in contributing to the council. Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire recently emphasized the importance of building a robust, crypto-friendly infrastructure under Trump’s administration. Industry leaders hope this council will bring an end to enforcement actions seen under the previous administration.

Most recently, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson endorsed Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong for the potential White House crypto role under Donald Trump’s administration. Hoskinson praised Armstrong’s neutrality and deep understanding of the crypto industry, emphasizing his ability to guide regulatory progress.

Meanwhile, this major push comes as the current SEC Chair, Gary Gensler, announced he is set to resign on January 20, 2025, coinciding with Donald Trump’s inauguration as U.S. President. Ripple’s CLO, Stuart Alderoty, emphasized the need for a new Chair who will establish clear rules for crypto. 

Notably, former regulators, including Heath Tarbert, former CFTC Chair and now Circle’s chief legal officer, and Brian Quintenz, a16z’s head of policy, are reportedly advising Donald Trump’s transition team. These individuals bring extensive regulatory experience to the development of the Crypto Council and its proposed Bitcoin reserve.

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Ronny Mugendi

Ronny Mugendi is a seasoned crypto journalist with four years of professional experience, having contributed significantly to various media outlets on cryptocurrency trends and technologies. With over 4000 published articles across various media outlets, he aims to inform, educate and introduce more people to the Blockchain and DeFi world. Outside of his journalism career, Ronny enjoys the thrill of bike riding, exploring new trails and landscapes.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Gary Gensler To Step Down As US SEC Chair In January

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8 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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In a recent development, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced that Gary Gensler will step down from his position next year. This follows calls for Gensler to resign since Donald Trump won the US presidential elections.

Gary Gensler To Step Down As US SEC Chair

The US SEC announced in a press release that Gary Gensler will depart the Agency on January 20, 2025. The US SEC Chair also confirmed this development in an X post. Interestingly, this comes on the same day that Donald Trump will be inaugurated as the 47th president of the United States.

Following the announcement, Gensler also used the opportunity to reflect on his time at the Commission. He remarked that it has been an “honor of a lifetime” to serve alongside those at the SEC. He also thanked President Biden for the opportunity to serve in the position. Gensler has been the US SEC Chair since April 2021. During his time, he has spearheaded several litigations against the crypto industry.

This includes the long-running legal battle with Ripple, which Gensler took over from his predecessor Jay Clayton, which bordered on whether XRP was a security. Up till now, the Agency continues to reiterate this ‘digital asset securities’ claim.

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Boluwatife Adeyemi

Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Bitcoin Miner MARA Holdings Raises $1B To Buy More Bitcoin

Published

12 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Bitcoin Miner MARA Holdings has raised approximately $1 billion through the sale of its convertible notes. The Bitcoin miner revealed that some of the proceeds from this sale would be used to buy more BTC, although they didn’t mention the exact amount.

Marathon Digital Raises $1B To Buy More Bitcoin

In a press release, the Bitcoin miner revealed that it had raised net proceeds of $980 million from its convertible notes sale after deducting the initial purchaser’s discounts and commissions but before the estimated offering expenses payable by the company.

This development is significant as MARA Holdings revealed that it will use some of the net proceeds to acquire additional BTC. It is worth mentioning that the Bitcoin miner already holds around 27,000 BTC and is the public company with the second-largest Bitcoin holdings.

This development comes as MARA also recently unveiled plans to raise $700m through convertible notes, which will mature in 2030. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin miner looks to be going head-to-head with MicroStrategy, which also recently upsized its private offering to $2.6 billion. The software company will use some of the proceeds to buy more BTC.

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Boluwatife Adeyemi

Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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