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ETH Mimics BTC’s Post-ETF Crash, Hinting at Massive Rally Ahead

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This week, the second-largest cryptocurrency Ethereum experienced a significant decline in value despite the highly anticipated launch of a spot ETH ETF. The coin price dropped 13.3% from a high of $3560, settling at $3258, while its market cap fluctuated around $391.8 billion. This downturn was influenced by a considerable outflow from the Grayscale ETF ($ETHE), echoing the pattern observed with Bitcoin following its ETF debut in January. Market observers suggest that this trend of an initial decline could precede a substantial rally for the asset.

Watch Major Support & Resistance Amid Post ETH ETF Fall

BINANCE:ETHUSDT Chart/ ETH ETFBINANCE:ETHUSDT Chart/ ETH ETF
ETH Price| Tradingview

Over the past four months, the Ethereum price has fluctuated, confined between a declining trendline and a $2850 support level. This horizontal support intact since November 2023 has formed a robust accumulation zone for buyers. 

Amidst a market rebound, a recent bounce from this support propelled Ethereum’s price by 26.8% to reach $3558, before it entered a fresh correction phase. Today, the ETH price is up 3% seeking sustainability amongst 200 EMA. However, the altcoin below the daily EMAs (20, 50, and $100) indicates the path to lead resistance down. 

As per the data from Arkham Intelligence, Grayscale executed a substantial transfer of 110,867 ETH, valued at approximately $358 million, to Coinbase Prime. This transaction occurred shortly after a notable outflow from the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) on July 25, amounting to $346 million. The total historical outflow from ETHE has now reached a staggering $1.157 billion.

Should supply pressures continue, the Ethereum price forecast  hints  8.5% to retest the lower trendline, a support that has revitalized buying interest after previous corrections.

The current correction resembles the post-Bitcoin ETF downfall in January. If the pattern holds true, the current sell-off could throw the weak hand off the market and attract strong players.

In a recent analysis by Eric Balchunas that these ETH ETFs have not matched the strength of their Bitcoin counterparts in mitigating the impact of Grayscale outflows, there is still positive news. The inflows and volume for these ETFs remain robust, suggesting healthy investor interest. 

Balchunas notes that the intensity of the current unlock phase for the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) is expected to subside more quickly than the previous unlock for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). While the short-term outlook may present challenges, the overall forecast remains optimistic.

Overall, if Ethereum rebounds from the support trendline, there could be significant momentum towards breaking the upper resistance trendline. A successful breach could potentially propel prices past the previous high of $4891.

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Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Analyst

Fractal Suggests Major Breakout In Q4

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Recent Ethereum price action saw ETH reaching another low of $2,150 on September 6, raising concerns of a more severe drop towards the $2,000 price level. Although these concerns were eased with a subsequent bounce to $2,460 on September 13, Ethereum remains largely in a downtrend, with a triple-bottom price formation now shaping up.

Interestingly, this triple bottom formation is not new for Ethereum. As technical analysis points out, the current price action seems to repeat a similar playout in mid-2021.  

Ethereum Fractal Suggests Rally In Q4

According to a technical analysis by crypto analyst CryptoBullet on social media platform X, Ethereum is shaping up to form a triple bottom price formation on the 1D candlestick time frame. While the third bottom has yet to be fully completed, the analyst draws attention to a similar pattern that unfolded between June and August 2021.

During those three months, Ethereum’s price fluctuated up and down to create three distinct lows just above the $1,675 mark. After the third low was established, Ethereum experienced a significant bullish rally that propelled it to break through and establish its current all-time high. This upward movement became even more pronounced after a fractal pattern emerged in August 2021, signaling a strong momentum shift.

Recent market dynamics have prompted Ethereum to create two bottoms of around $2,150 in August and September. Interestingly, a recent rejection at the $2,450 resistance has seen Ethereum pushing on a decline. This has prompted analyst CryptoBullet to highlight the possibility of a third low in October, thereby completing the triple bottom formation.

Price formations in cryptocurrency markets are known to repeat over time, often following patterns that can help traders anticipate future movements. While no two market conditions are exactly the same, studying past price movements provides valuable insights into what may happen in the future. A similar playout of the 2021 price action puts on a similar surge for Ethereum in Q4 2024. Notably, the analyst envisioned a rally towards the $3,700 price level. 

Ethereum
Source: X

What’s Next For ETH?

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,320 and continues to exhibit a weak short-term outlook. If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,340 resistance, it could start another decline towards $2,150. 

This weak performance and outlook are even more pronounced compared with Bitcoin. As such, Ethereum/Bitcoin is now at its lowest level since April 2021, a staggering 41-month low. Most of this lackluster action has also been exacerbated by selloffs from a few large holders. For instance, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently came under scrutiny for selling $2.2 million worth of Ethereum. 

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com
ETH price fails to hold support | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin

‘It’s Almost Over’ – Analyst Benjamin Cowen Predicts Ethereum Bottoming Out Against Bitcoin

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Popular crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen thinks Ethereum (ETH) is close to bottoming out against Bitcoin (BTC).

Cowen tells his 856,500 followers on the social media platform X that he thinks the ETH/BTC ratio will bottom out between 0.03-0.04 BTC and then trend up next year.

“It could bottom as early as this week or as late as December. Based on prior capitulations, I think it will happen sooner rather than later…

More people need to understand that ETH/BTC is not equivalent to ETH/USD. Last cycle, ETH/USD kept dropping even after ETH/BTC bottomed. But whenever ETH/BTC does find its cycle low, it should correspond with at least a temporary bounce for ETH/USD.”

Source: Benjamin Cowen/X

Cowen compares the current ETH/BTC chart to the relationship between the top two crypto assets back in 2019.

“While ETH/BTC bottomed shortly after the 1st rate cut in 2019, ETH/USD trended down until [end of year].”

Source: Benjamin Cowen/X

Cowen has been on target with ETH/BTC this year.

ETH is trading at $2,326 at time of writing. The second-ranked crypto asset by market cap is up more than 1.5% in the past 24 hours.

BTC is trading at $60,252 at time of writing. The top-ranked crypto asset by market cap is up more than 3% in the past day.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Altcoins

‘Run It Back’ – Crypto Analyst Predicts Massive Rallies for Ethereum and Solana, Says October Will Be ‘Lit’

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A widely followed crypto strategist believes sharp recoveries are in store for Ethereum (ETH) and its competitor Solana (SOL).

Starting with the top smart contract protocol, pseudonymous analyst Kaleo tells his 647,300 followers on the social media platform X that his bearish scenario for Ethereum is no longer valid.

The trader shares a chart suggesting that ETH has already printed a local bottom and is now gearing up for big rallies.

“The yellow line is cursed.

The white line in this thread has been goated and will continue to be goated.

Run it back.” 

Image
Source: Kaleo/X

Looking at the trader’s chart, he seems to predict that Ethereum will rally to $4,400. At time of writing, ETH is trading for $2,383.

As for Solana, Kaleo shares a chart suggesting that SOL is now en route to a new all-time high after holding support at $120.

“The white lines were and always have been the path. Run it back.” 

Image
Source: Kaleo/X

Based on the trader’s chart, he seems to predict that SOL will rally to a new record level at around $400. At time of writing, SOL is worth $135.63.

Kaleo also says that Q4 will be incredibly bullish for crypto after witnessing an extended corrective period over the last six months or so.

“Uptober is gonna be lit. Upvember will be even better.” 

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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