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ETH Supply Surge Casts Shadow on Spot Ethereum ETF Excitement

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4 months ago

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We are just three days away from the approval of the spot Ethereum ETF, and the excitement among investors is pretty high. However, rapidly increasing ETH supply over the past two months is one of the major concerns going ahead.

ETH Supply Increasing by 60K Per Month

Popular market analyst Benjamin Cowen stated that the Ethereum supply has been increasing by 60K per month since April. He added that if this continues to happen until December this year, the ETH supply in circulation will be similar to that before the Merge event back in September 2022.

In the last three months, the Ethereum supply has surged by 150,000. “Currently, since the merge the supply is -298,000. But that will only take 5 months to revert at this pace,” said Cowen.

Cowen added that the major driver for the Ethereum price surge moving ahead would be nothing but the monetary policy. Unless and until the Fed pivots and moves to quantitative easing, Cowen doesn’t expect a major surge in Ethereum going ahead.

According to Cowen’s analysis, the ETH/BTC trading pair experienced a false breakdown below its lows in Q2 2016, followed by genuine capitulation in Q4 of the BTC halving year. If the current pattern mirrors 2016, Cowen suggests that the final capitulation for ETH/BTC may not commence until September 2024. This timeline would allow sufficient time for the initial excitement surrounding the spot ETF, relative to BTC, to diminish.

“If you follow monetary policy, last cycle ETH/BTC broke support the same month that the Fed cut rates,” said Cowen. Well, reports suggest that the Fed Rate cuts could commence sometime around September this year.

Also read: Fed To Mirror ECB Rate Pause? Here’s What It Means For Bitcoin

Citing historical charts, Cowen explains that the ETH/BTC pair wicked down to the lows in August, while making a substantial rally the next month in September. He believes that a similar pattern could repeat this time as well.

Courtesy: Benjamin Cowen

Will spot Ethereum ETF Absorb the Supply?

With the spot Ethereum ETF hitting the market next week, investors are excited about strong inflows that could follow. Issuers like BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, and others announced their fee structure earlier this week.

Many market analysts have been expecting multi-billion dollar inflows coming into Ethereum ETF by the end of 2024. However, this may not happen immediately after the approval. Some analysts also believe that there’s a chance of a sell-the-news kind of event to occur.

Also Read: Is Ethereum ETF Launch “Sell The News” Event Like Bitcoin ETF?

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Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast and holds a good flair in understanding financial markets. His interest in economics and finance draw his attention towards the new emerging Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrency markets. He is continuously in a learning process and keeps himself motivated by sharing his acquired knowledge. In free time he reads thriller fictions novels and sometimes explore his culinary skills.

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Top 5 Changes Coming to Cryptocurrency Market in 2025

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1 hour ago

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November 17, 2024

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With enthusiasm and excitement around the Spot ETF and Donald Trump’s win in the US election, the cryptocurrency market has witnessed quite a boost in the last few days. After a slow 2023, 2024 was anticipated to be the year of bulls, which has come true to some level. In these 11 months, eight months were positive in terms of Bitcoin growth, especially in November.

BTC created an ATH at $93k and is still trading above $9ok. Many altcoins also had similar gains, and many even achieved new ATHs. However, there are only limited days left for this year to end and the beginning of another, creating another level of excitement about what might be coming next for the crypto market.

Better Cryptocurrency Market Regulation

Since the beginning of the year, all the investors have focused on the US election results and how that will impact the cryptocurrency market. Between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, Trump has more crypto-friendly approaches, promising better crypto regulation. On the other hand, his biggest competitor, Kamala Harris, also acknowledged the industry and promised to work on its development.

However, with Trump calling himself the Bitcoin president, launching a crypto venture, promising to fire Gary Gensler and other promises, the votes went in his favor. Interestingly, Donald Trump’s win became crypto’s win, as the cryptocurrency market turned bullish since the result declaration.

More importantly, Trump is gathering pro-crypto candidates for higher positions, so the anticipation is high for upcoming crypto regulations. Many analysts and crypto leaders have pointed out the need for clear rules and regulations for the industry, which could help the industry instead of restricting it. More importantly, many have urged that this will begin with Gary Gensler’s resignation from the SEC Chair position.

Remember:

Cycles repeat. ✅

There’s more liquidity in the system now than in 2017.

More institutions are involved.

More partnerships exist.

More crypto regulations are taking shape.

And yet, without any of these, XRP still outperformed BTC and ETH in 2017.

Documented. 📝🔑… pic.twitter.com/rONIJRIGhl

— SMQKE (@SMQKEDQG) November 16, 2024

Eventually, with Trump’s inauguration scheduled for January, the formation of a regulatory framework is likely to happen in 2025.

Increased Crypto Adoption

El Salvador and Bhutan governments are in the limelight for their Bitcoin holdings, as they have openly welcomed this crypto to achieve more financial freedom. Per the Arkham data, Bhutan has more than $1 Billion in Bitcoin holdings. More importantly, it is one-third of the country’s gross domestic product, explaining the extent of BTC adoption. Out of this, the Bhutan government sold $33M BTC through Binance when Bitcoin price surged to new ATH and made significant profits on their initial investment.

On the other hand, El Salvador has been buying BTC since 2021 amid their Bitcoin adoption plan. El Salvador now has more than 6000 BTC, worth billions today. With that, many more countries might follow soon, including the US, as the higher-ups are discussing creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve and collecting more than 1 Million Bitcoins over the next few years. In this, Senator Cynthia Lummis is the biggest supporter and has proposed selling Federal Reserve gold to buy BTC.

There are also positive indications that China might lift its crypto ban, especially with Trump planning to strengthen the US with crypto. Meanwhile, other countries like UAE, Saudi Arabia, and others are rumored to buy Bitcoin for their sovereign wealth funds. With that, 2025 will witness many nations strengthening their economy with cryptocurrency, boosting the crypto market.

Introduction of Better Cryptocurrencies

Thousands of new cryptocurrencies enter the market every year with unique functionalities and profit potential. 2024 was the year of meme-themed cryptocurrencies, where many popular memecoins entertained investors with their new gains. With that, the cryptocurrency market is now worth $3.04 Trillion in market capitalization and $191.9B in trading volume. With the constant development of the industry and new token introductions, the crypto market cap is to grow past $4 trillion in 2025.

More Spot ETF Introduction In Cryptocurrency Market

After Bitcoin and Ethereum Spot ETF, the market might witness many other ETF approvals in the upcoming few years. Many firms have already applied for Solana, XRP, and other ETFs soon after the Ethereum ETF’s approval, and more are likely to happen throughout the year. Nate Geraci, CEO of ETF Institute, also talked about the same in a recent tweet, anticipating the several spot crypto ETF filings in November alone.

Prediction…

There will be several spot crypto ETF filings this week.

XRP, SOL, ADA, etc.

Assume multiple issuers were highly prepared for election results.

No downside to getting aggressive now.

— Nate Geraci (@NateGeraci) November 11, 2024

BTC and ETH ETFs gained extreme popularity among investors. Here, the Bitcoin ETF has gained $98.66B in market cap alone, opening the possibility of approval of other popular crypto ETFs. Interestingly, Solana is likely to take the lead, says VanEck.

Cryptocurrency Market Bull Run

2025 is the year for Bull Run, where all the cryptocurrencies will achieve their prime. With Bitcoin halving in April 2024, crypto users are now awaiting this bullish time, which usually comes months after the halving event. With historical trends and the ongoing market’s bullish behavior, analysts have anticipated the Bull run to hit in early or mid-2025, making it the biggest event of the cryptocurrency market. This would entirely change the market, where continuous gains would fill investors’ pockets, cryptos would grow to new highs, and the market economy would grow.

A bullish cryptocurrency market is much more certain than before, especially with the Trump win. With better crypto regulation, increased adoption, and the rising demand of the crypto industry, 2025 is going to be big. However, it is also important to understand that market fluctuations and macroeconomic factors could change the timeline of these crypto events.

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Pooja Khardia

With a deep-seated passion for reading and five years of experience in content writing, Pooja is now focused on crafting trending content about cryptocurrency market.

As a dedicated crypto journalist, Pooja is constantly seeking out trending topics and informative statistics to create compelling pieces for crypto enthusiasts. Staying abreast of the latest trends and advancements in the field is an integral part of her daily routine, fueling a commitment to delivering timely and insightful coverage

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Elon Musk Explains Why Tether Advocate Howard Lutnick Is Best For US Treasury Role

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4 hours ago

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November 16, 2024

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Elon Musk has expressed his support for Howard Lutnick, CEO of Cantor Fitzgerald and Tether advocate, as the leading candidate for the U.S. Treasury Secretary position in Donald Trump’s administration. Musk emphasized that Lutnick is capable of enacting change, contrasting him with Scott Bessent, another contender for the role.

Elon Musk Views Howard Lutnick as a Change-Driven Treasury Pick

In a recent post on his social media platform X, Elon Musk endorsed Howard Lutnick for the role of U.S. Treasury Secretary. Elon Musk stated that Lutnick would bring the change needed to address the country’s financial challenges. He contrasted Lutnick with Scott Bessent, founder of Key Square Group, whom Musk described as a “business-as-usual choice.” 

Musk underscored that the status quo is pushing the United States toward financial instability and called for public input on the decision.

Musk’s endorsement has amplified the debate over the Treasury Secretary pick, with Lutnick’s approach seen as disruptive compared to Bessent’s steady, market-friendly stance. The decision has become a focal point in the president-elect’s transition efforts.

In addition, the Tesla CEO urged the public and policymakers to weigh in on the Treasury Secretary decision. In his post, Elon Musk suggested that feedback would help Donald Trump make an informed choice. He emphasized that Lutnick’s ability to enact meaningful change aligns with the public’s demand for a revamped approach to economic governance.

To encourage more engagement, Musk emphasized, 

“Would be interesting to hear more people weigh in on this for Donald Trump to consider feedback.”

Scott Bessent Vs Howard Lutnick

Howard Lutnick has been participating in the formation of Trump’s policies as a member of the president-elect’s transition team for economic appointments. His support for tariffs and domestic economic strengthening has drawn both praise and criticism.

Responding to Musk’s endorsement of Howard Lutnick, Chris Pavlovski, CEO of Rumble, highlighted Lutnick’s instrumental role in taking Rumble public and standing firm for free speech.

Nevertheless, despite the Tesla CEO endorsements of Howard, Scott Bessent’s odds of being nominated as Treasury Secretary have risen to 87%. This has seen the Bitcoin price surge, with market sentiment tied to Bessent’s pro-crypto stance. BTC recently climbed to a new all-time high amid expectations that Trump’s appointment would bring clearer crypto regulations.

Bessent, a known advocate for Bitcoin and blockchain technologies, has highlighted their potential to democratize financial markets. His nomination could mark a pivotal moment for crypto adoption in the United States. However, his perceived alignment with traditional financial practices contrasts with Howard Lutnick’s disruptive approach, presenting a stark choice for Trump.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump will make his decision on the Treasury Secretary position in the coming days. Both Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent are considered frontrunners, with lobbying efforts intensifying. 

Lutnick’s role as co-chair of Trump’s transition team and now Elon Musk’s endorsement has boosted his candidacy. The announcement is likely to have far-reaching implications for U.S. economic strategy. 

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Ronny Mugendi

Ronny Mugendi is a seasoned crypto journalist with four years of professional experience, having contributed significantly to various media outlets on cryptocurrency trends and technologies. With over 4000 published articles across various media outlets, he aims to inform, educate and introduce more people to the Blockchain and DeFi world. Outside of his journalism career, Ronny enjoys the thrill of bike riding, exploring new trails and landscapes.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Ripple CLO Criticizes Gary Gensler’s Justification For Crypto Lawsuits

Published

8 hours ago

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November 16, 2024

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Ripple Chief Legal Officer (CLO) Stuart Alderoty has criticized the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler following his attempt to justify the crypto lawsuits that the Commission has instituted. The Ripple CLO’s statement has come amid speculations that Gensler could soon resign as the SEC Chair.

Ripple CLO Criticizes Gary Gensler’s Claim On Crypto Lawsuits

In an X post, the Ripple CLO criticized Gensler’s attempt to justify his four-year-long political crusade to destroy crypto by claiming he just continued what Jay Clayton began. Stuart Alderoty states this is like “burning down the house” and pleading innocence by arguing that Clayton lit the match.

Alderoty was referring to Gary Gensler’s speech in which he discussed the crypto industry. Gensler stated that when he arrived in 2021, the Commission under Jay Clayton had already brought 80 actions, including the Ripple case. The US SEC Chair remarked that this lawsuit was against participants in the crypto markets who were not following the “common-sense rules” of the road.

However, the Ripple CLO believes that the fact that Clayton instituted these lawsuits doesn’t justify all that Gensler has done in his four years as the SEC Chair to hinder the crypto industry’s growth. Gensler is known for his anti-crypto stance and has argued that most crypto assets are securities.

Interestingly, Gensler also hinted in that speech that he would likely resign soon enough as the SEC Chair. Individuals like former SEC official John Reed Stark have called on Gensler to resign since Donald Trump won the US presidential elections.

Meanwhile, the SEC looks to be getting a taste of its medicine. 18 US state attorney generals have filed a lawsuit accusing the SEC of a constitutional overreach in crypto regulation.

The Next SEC Chair Will Be Pro-Crypto

Amid the Ripple CLO’s statement, journalist Eleanor Terrett has confirmed that the next US SEC Chair will be pro-crypto. However, she suggested that the crypto industry and community should focus more on who becomes the next Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair.

This came as she cited sources who told Fox Business that the Donald Trump administration is looking to give the CFTC more responsibility regarding crypto regulation. She added that it is unclear how the CFTC will go about this, but it will require more funding than it currently has.

Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently expressed enthusiasm about the shifting regulatory landscape. Ripple CLO Stuart Alderoty had also recently called on Donald Trump to work towards fulfilling his promise of making the US the crypto capital by ending the SEC’s regulation-by-enforcement approach.

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Boluwatife Adeyemi

Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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