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Ethereum Could Bottom Out Relatively Soon Against Bitcoin, Says Analyst Benjamin Cowen – Here Are His Targets

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Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen is forecasting that Ethereum could be in the process of carving cycle lows against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC).

In a video update, Cowen tells his 813,000 YouTube subscribers that based on historical precedent, the bottom for the Ethereum/Bitcoin pair is close at hand.

“One of the things I have mentioned before is the 2016 and 2019 fractals. If you look at either of these fractals, it would suggest that the bottom for Ethereum/Bitcoin is going to happen relatively soon.”

Source: Benjamin Cowen/YouTube

Looking closer at the price action of ETH/BTC, Cowen says the pair’s current market structure appears to be following in the footsteps of its 2016 and 2019 price action. The analyst says that in this cycle, ETH/BTC printed a lower high and consolidated above the range lows for a time before breaking down – very similar to what happened during the 2016 and 2019 cycles.

Source: Benjamin Cowen/YouTube

Cowen adds that the timing for the ETH/BTC bottom appears to be closely following the 2016 and 2019 cycles as well.

“It took about seven weeks for Ethereum/Bitcoin to bottom – that was in 2016.

Now if you look at 2019, after it broke the range low, it took about eight weeks to bottom. So you have seven weeks and then you have eight weeks. So how long has it been?

It looks like it broke below its [range low] the week of July 22nd. So it’s already been eight weeks, it’s been eight weeks already.

In terms of time, it would be dangerous to assume that it’s going to go a lot lower. It could go a little lower but it would be dangerous to assume it’s going to go a lot lower in terms of time.

Now when does it actually bottom? It could be this week, it could be next week. I don’t really know. But my guess is that it’s going to happen sometime soon.”

Source: Benjamin Cowen/YouTube

At time of writing, ETH/BTC is trading for 0.0405 BTC worth $2,544.

 

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Will Bitcoin Price Crash Again Soon?

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The Bitcoin price has surged significantly since the US Federal Reserve’s 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut. However, there are projections that the flagship’s price rally may be shortlived and that a price crash is imminent. Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto has predicted that the BTC price could drop to as low as $49,000 soon enough.

The Bitcoin Price Might Crash Again

CrediBULL Crypto predicted in an X post that BTC could drop below $49,000 soon enough. Based on his analysis, he expects the flagship crypto to rise to a local top of $70,000 and then suffer another flush to “ideally under” $49,000 before the actual breakout begins.

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As Coingape reported, the US Fed rate cut is one of the things that could spark a Bitcoin price rally to $70,000. However, a price crash could follow shortly after just like CrediBULL crypto warned. Analyst Ali Martinez also recently hinted that the flagship crypto might soon suffer downward pressure.

He stated that nearly $2 billion in Bitcoin futures contracts have been opened over the last three days, which could lead to a potential long squeeze. Meanwhile, CrediBULL alluded to the “Binance spot plunge production team,” which he claimed had arrived to make the Bitcoin price crash manifestation come true.

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It is also worth mentioning that Martinez revealed that BTC was again testing the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). He noted that this was a critical level for confirming the bull run. Historically, Bitcoin’s failure to reclaim this level of support has led to “significant corrections.” The analyst added that a rejection could signal trouble for the flagship crypto.

Why A Price Crash Might Not Happen

Crypto analyst Bonk Guy has outlined why a Bitcoin price crash might not happen. He mentioned that the market is just weeks away from the fourth quarter of this year, which is seasonally the most bullish for risk assets.

Specifically, Bitcoin enjoys the most returns in Q4 of each year. Moreover, the flagship crypto has enjoyed positive monthly returns in October, November, and December of the last two halving years.

The analyst further mentioned that the US presidential election is 45 days away. Historically, Bitcoin enjoyed a price surge after past elections since the aftermath brings market certainty. There are projections that BTC price could reach $90,000 if Donald Trump wins.

Despite the crypto community favoring a Trump presidency, history shows that the flagship crypto could still rise no matter who wins. Moreover, Anthony Scaramucci revealed that he is helping Kamala Harris develop crypto policies, which is a positive for BTC.

Meanwhile, BONK Guy mentioned the FTX customers that are set to receive $16 billion in cash as their repayments following FTX’s collapse. This is bullish for the Bitcoin price since these users could allocate some of their repayments to the flagship crypto. These users receiving their repayments in cash also means that BTC won’t suffer any selling pressure from these customers like it did following the Mt. Gox repayments.

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Boluwatife Adeyemi

Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Altcoins

Altcoins Outperform Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether ((ETH) Following Fed Meeting Due to Poor Liquidity, Higher Beta

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Total3, an index that tracks the market capitalization of the top 125 cryptocurrencies, excluding bitcoin and ether (ETH), was trading 5.68% higher since the central bank’s announcement that it would slash the Federal Funds rate by 50 basis points, according to data on TradingView. Bitcoin’s market cap, by contrast, rose only 4.4%.



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Will These Satoshi-Era Dormant Wallets Impact Bitcoin Next Rally?

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Data from crypto monitoring services reveals that five Satoshi-Era wallets, inactive since 2009, have transferred a total of 250 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $15.9 million. Each wallet had originally accumulated 50 BTC as block rewards, a common practice in the early days of Bitcoin when mining difficulty was significantly lower. The reactivation of these wallets has raised questions about their impact on current market dynamics.

2009 Bitcoin Wallets Active Again: Market Ripple or Surge?

Recent activity in long-dormant Bitcoin wallets has captured the attention of the cryptocurrency community. Whale Alert and other blockchain analysis tools have reported that a group of five wallets, each containing funds mined in the early days of Bitcoin, have become active after more than a decade of inactivity. 

These wallets, holding 250 BTC collectively, transferred these funds in a series of transactions within just an hour. Each wallet received 50 BTC as mining rewards per block back in 2009, showcasing the foundational days of Bitcoin’s blockchain technology.

Additionally, this month has seen multiple instances of dormant BTC wallets becoming active. Notably, one wallet containing 43 BTC, worth over $2.5 million at the time, activated after nearly 11 years. Last week, four additional wallets were activated, with one containing BTC valued at $10.5 million during the activation, highlighting a trend of reawakening among Satoshi-era assets.

The sudden movement of these BTC whales has prompted speculation about the owners’ identities and their reasons for activating now. This event coincides with a significant surge in BTC price, which briefly topped $64,000, its highest mark since late August. 

There is no direct evidence linking the activation of these wallets to the recent cryptocurrency price increase. However, past patterns suggest that movements from historic wallets can influence market perceptions and investor behavior due to the large amounts of BTC involved.

Chart analyst Ali has noted that Bitcoin is once again testing the 200-day SMA, a critical technical indicator often associated with determining long-term market trends. Ali notes that historical patterns show that failing to reclaim this level has previously led to significant corrections in Bitcoin price, as observed in 2020, 2018, and 2014. 

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Ali advises investors to monitor this technical threshold closely. A successful breach above the 200-day SMA might solidify a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. He however warns that a rejection at this level could signal trouble for BTC Price.

The activation of these Satoshi-era wallets might play a role in either boosting the bullish sentiment or triggering cautious pullbacks among investors.

At press time, Bitcoin price is trading at $63,379.74, marking a 9.20% increase over the past seven days. The cryptocurrency’s trading volume has also surged, reaching $41.87 billion in the last 24 hours.

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Ronny Mugendi

Ronny Mugendi is a seasoned crypto journalist with four years of professional experience, having contributed significantly to various media outlets on cryptocurrency trends and technologies. His work includes notable contributions to Cryptopolitan and Coingape News Media, where he shares his insights on the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market. Outside of his journalism career, Ronny enjoys the thrill of bike riding, exploring new trails and landscapes.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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