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Ethereum Price $3K Rally at Risk as ETH Turns Inflationary Post-Dencun

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The Ethereum price surged 1.03% during the low-volatility Sunday trading session to currently trade at $2,438.The upswing market is a recovery from weekday selling pressure fueled by a war-like situation between Israel and Iran. Will the correction trend extend as ETH L1 fees record an all-time low, promoting a reverse from the prior deflationary trend?

$3K Ethereum Price Rally at Stake as Post-Dencun Inflation

Following the Dencun upgrade, Ethereum’s Layer 1 (L1) fees have witnessed a declining trend to hit an all-time low in mid-2024. The Intotheblock analytics shows the implementation of EIP-4844 has plunged the cost of Layer 2 (L2) transactions by 10x. 

The sharp decline in L1 fees reflects the continuous growth of L2 solutions like Optimism and Arbitrum, which offer faster and more cost-effective transactions. While this move has bolstered Ethereum’s scalability, it has unintended consequences.

As fewer fees are being burned, the supply of ETH has entered an inflationary phase, reversing its prior deflationary trend. If crypto buyers struggle to demand pressure corresponding to the addition of supply, the Ethereum price prediction will witness temporary pullbacks and volatility.

In addition, the renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlights a notable decline in Ethereum large holders with over 10,000 ETH balances. Since July, the whale holding has plunged 7%, indicating that smart money traders are mainly exiting in anticipation of price correction.

ETH Price Hints Major Breakout From Triangle

Over the past two months, the ETH price has shown a sideways trend above $2,200 support. This consolidation in the daily transient Chart shows the price actively resonates between two converging trends and indicates a symmetrical triangle pattern formation. Theoretically, this chart pattern guides a temporary lateral move for prevailing trends to gain momentum.

As the crypto market experienced ease from geopolitical tension in the Middle East, the Ethereum price rebounded from $2,308 to $2,440, accounting for a 5.7% jump.

If the sellers breached the pattern’s lower trendline at $2,200, the bearish momentum would accelerate and drive ETH Crash below the $2,000 level, thus delaying the $3K rally.

The coin price below the 50-and-200-day Exponential moving average supports the bearish narrative.

Ethereum (ETH) PriceEthereum (ETH) Price
ETH/USD -1d Chart

However, if buyers manage to replenish bullish momentum, the Ethereum price could jump 9% before challenging the triangle resistance. A potential breakout would bolster buyers for the $3,000 target.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Ethereum’s $3K rally is at risk due to the shift from a deflationary to an inflationary phase following the Dencun upgrade

The current consolidation in Ethereum price shows a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a temporary lateral move as prevailing trends gain momentum

The Dencun upgrade resulted in a decline in Ethereum’s Layer 1 (L1) fees and a significant reduction in fee burns, causing Ethereum’s supply to enter an inflationary phase

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

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Believers in Ethereum (ETH) could be on the verge of an opportunity, according to Ki Young Ju, the founder and chief executive of the digital asset analytics firm CryptoQuant.

Young Ju tells his 370,400 followers on the social media platform X that the ETH/Bitcoin (BTC) Net Unrealized Profit/Loss level just hit a four-year low.

“Despite Ethereum’s underperformance against Bitcoin, ETH holders endure losses without realizing them. This mirrors levels from its early 2020 bottom.

This might be an opportunity for ETH believers.”

Image
Source: Ki Young Ju/X

Young Ju also notes that ETH is becoming less correlated with BTC.

“The 180-day BTC-ETH Pearson correlation is at a three-year low. A 10% rise in Bitcoin could result in only a 3% gain for Ethereum.

Just because BTC is strong doesn’t mean you should buy ETH. Each asset is now following its own path.”

Image
Source: Ki Young Ju/X

Young Ju isn’t the only crypto analyst who’s bullish on Ethereum: Former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal also thinks ETH is primed for big gains.

The Real Vision CEO says ETH’s current chart is playing out similarly to Bitcoin’s between 2011 and 2019.

“Ethereum now versus the previous periods is following the last in Bitcoin. Now whether it gets to the target here of $20,000/ETH, who knows. Doesn’t really matter. But directionally, we’ll see what happens. ETH should accelerate from here, and I’m pretty confident that it will.” 

ETH is trading at $3,054 at time of writing. The second-ranked crypto asset by market cap is down more than 1% in the past 24 hours.

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A Vision For Ethereum Final Design

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

In a significant development for the Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem, researchers propose redesigning the network’s consensus layer, aiming to enhance scalability, decentralization, and security. 

During a presentation at DevCon in Bangkok on Tuesday, Justin Drake, an Ethereum Foundation researcher, introduced the concept of “Beam Chain,” a new consensus layer intended to replace the existing Beacon Chain.

The Beam Chain Proposal

Drake explained that the Beacon Chain, which has been operational for five years, has become somewhat outdated. “In those five years, so much has happened,” he remarked, highlighting the rapid advancements in blockchain technology and research. 

The redesign will reportedly focus exclusively on the consensus layer, leaving the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) and the binary large object (blob) data layer untouched. 

In addition, the Beam Chain aims to revamp several critical aspects of Ethereum’s staking mechanism, block production system, and cryptographic architecture. One of the central proposals is to reduce the validator bond from 32 ETH to just 1 ETH, a move intended to foster greater decentralization within the network. 

Drake noted that the current issuance model for Proof of Stake (PoS) is perceived as flawed, presenting an opportunity for improvement that could benefit Ethereum’s long-term health.

To enhance censorship resistance, the proposal includes mechanisms for attestor-proposer separation, which would further secure the block production process. Additionally, the Beam Chain is designed to improve throughput by accelerating block time slots, ultimately leading to faster transaction confirmations.

Plans To Transform Ethereum Future

A hallmark of the Beam Chain initiative is its incorporation of zero-knowledge (ZK) consensus, which leverages Succinct Non-interactive Argument of Knowledge (SNARK) proofs. 

These cryptographic tools will serve dual purposes: enabling consensus clients to compile high-level languages into bytecode and creating a “hash-based post-quantum infinitely-aggregatable scheme” that can condense thousands of hashes into a single proof. 

Recent advancements suggest that users can prove over 2 million hashes per second, indicating that the “SNARKification” of the consensus layer is feasible even on consumer-grade hardware.

Drake outlined that if the community supports the proposal, the next steps would involve specification in 2025, development in 2026, and testing in 2027. 

The researcher described this strategy as “ossification accelerationism,” aiming to achieve stability and maturity for Ethereum sooner rather than later. “We want Ethereum to go into ‘maintenance mode’ as soon as possible,” he stated.

The proposal has generated considerable interest within the Ethereum community, with Drake emphasizing the importance of community participation in shaping the future of the consensus layer. He referred to the Beam Chain as his “most ambitious initiative to date,” highlighting the need for collaboration to realize this vision.

In an exclusive interview with NewsBTC, Professor Christian Cachin from the University of Bern commended the Beam Chain proposal for its potential to solidify Ethereum’s consensus roadmap

Cachin noted that while the planned upgrades involve sophisticated and non-backwards-compatible technologies, they are crucial for advancing Ethereum’s scalability and overall capabilities: 

As far as I see so far, the proposal makes the existing Ethereum consensus roadmap concrete, it takes the next steps toward more powerful and more scalable consensus of Ethereum.

Ethereum
The daily chart shows ETH’s price surge experienced over the past week. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,227, up 22% for the week.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com



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Ethereum Price Walk to ATH Begins as ETH Whales Resume Buying

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The crypto witnessed an unusual spike in buying on Sunday morning as Bitcoin price rallied to a new ATH above $80,000. The bullish momentum spread quickly to the altcoin market as the largest cryptocurrency, ETH, sustained its position above $3000. The Ethereum price recovery backed by whale accumulation eyes current All-Time High of $4,981. 

By press time, ETH price had traded at $3,228, with an intraday gain of 3.2%. According to Coingecko, the asset market cap holds at $389.4 Billion with a 24-hour trading volume of $42.1 Billion.

Ethereum Price Eyes ATH as Whale Buying Resumes

The cryptocurrency market kickstarted an accelerated bullish momentum in November after Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election. The pioneer digital asset, Bitcoin, leverages the broader market sentiment to reach a new high of $80,000 today.

Onchain data shows the BTC price recovery is further backed by whale accumulation, signaling the large investor confidence in a prolonged uptrend. However, smart money investors have shifted their focus not only on accumulating Bitcoin ($BTC) but also on Ethereum ($ETH).

Earlier today, four whale wallets withdrew 12,499 ETH( worth approximately 40 million) from crypto exchange Binance, according to Lookonchain data. This large-scale withdrawal could point toward a potential surge in Ethereum price as the accumulation phase among whales often precedes major market moves.

ETH Price Rally Concludes Major Correction Trend

Following the Bitcoin rally, the Ethereum price prediction showcased a six-day recovery from $2,380 to $3,220— a 36% surge. This sharp upswing, backed by increasing volume, gave a decisive breakout from ETH’s 3-month accumulation and falling wedge pattern.

Since late May, this chart setup has driven a steady correction trend within two converging trendlines, with the recent breakout signaling a significant shift in trend. The Ether buyers reclaimed the daily EMAs (20, 50, 100, and 200), further bolstering the bullish sentiment in the market.

If the pattern holds true, the Ethereum price is poised to surpass the in-between resistance of $3,560 to hit a $4,100 high, registering a 26% surge. A potential breakout from this will drive a rally to ATH.

 Ethereum Price Ethereum Price
ETH/USD -1d Chart

On the contrary, financial assets are unlikely to sustain a unidirectional move without external bullish news. As a result, the Ethereum price is likely to experience a corrective pullback, potentially toward the daily EMAs, to regain exhausted bullish momentum.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Ethereum’s path to its all-time high ($4,981) signals a renewed bullish momentum in the altcoin market, driven by Bitcoin’s rally to $80,000 and increasing whale accumulation

Yes, ETH is likely to experience a corrective pullback toward key EMA supports, allowing the coin to consolidate and regain momentum for the next rally.

A bullish crossover between the 20-and-100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) and continued whale accumulation could further accelerate Ethereum’s price recovery.

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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