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Ethereum price drops to a 41-month low against Bitcoin

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Ethereum continued its freefall against Bitcoin, falling to its lowest level since April 2021. It has dropped by over 55% from its highest point in 2021.

Ether’s sell-off is accelerating

Ethereum (ETH) was trading at 0.039 BTC, down by 24% this year and by 35% from the year-to-date high. It has also dropped against other cryptocurrencies like Solana (SOL), Binance Coin (BNB), and Tron (TRX). 

The same has occurred in US dollar terms, with the coin dropping for four consecutive months, now trading near $2,300 which is its lowest point since February.

Ethereum’s sell-off is likely due to the weak response from institutional investors, who have largely avoided spot ETFs. Data shows that Ether ETFs have had net outflows of over $581 million. They currently hold $6.62 billion in assets, much lower than spot Bitcoin funds, which have over $54 billion and have had net inflows of $18 billion.

Ether has also declined due to recent liquidations by the Ethereum Foundation and Vitalik Buterin. Buterin has sold tokens worth $2.2 million, while the foundation has sold 350,000 coins.

Most importantly, there are concerns that Ethereum is losing market share to layer-2 networks like Base, Arbitrum, Polygon, and Blast, which are known for faster speeds and lower transaction costs than Ethereum.

Additionally, there are signs that many smart money investors are selling the coin. For example, one investor sold ETH worth almost $10 million in the last 24 hours, as shown below.

Nansen smart money
Ethereum smart money sales | Source: Nansen

Another top entity that sold its Ethereum assets was Jump Trading, one of the top players in the crypto industry. According to Nansen, its total Ether holdings dropped from over $531 million in July to zero. 

Jump Trading assets
Jump Trading assets | Source: Nansen

Ethereum has more downside in BTC terms

Ethereum to Bitcoin
Ethereum to Bitcoin price | Source: TradingView

The ongoing Ether sell-off began after it formed a triple-top chart pattern around the 0.088 level between May 2021 and September 2021. The coin then dropped below the pattern’s neckline at 0.049 on May 20 of this year.

It also formed a death cross pattern in April, as the 50-week and 200-week moving averages crossed each other.

The Relative Strength Index has retreated and retested the oversold level of 30, signaling strong downward momentum. Therefore, the path of least resistance for Ether is downward, with the next reference point being 0.0224, which would represent a 42% drop from the current level.



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DeFi

DeFi Protocol Usual’s Surge Catapults Hashnote’s Tokenized Treasury Over BlackRock’s BUIDL

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There’s been a change of guard at the rankings of the $3.4 billion tokenized Treasuries market.

Asset manager Hashnote’s USYC token zoomed over $1.2 billion in market capitalization, growing five-fold in size over the past three months, rwa.xyz data shows. It has toppled the $450 million BUIDL, issued by asset management behemoth BlackRock and tokenization firm Securitize, which was the largest product by size since April.

Market cap of Hashnote's USYC and BUIDL over time (rwa.xyz)

Market cap of Hashnote’s USYC and BUIDL over time (rwa.xyz)

USYC is the token representation of the Hashnote International Short Duration Yield Fund, which, according to the company’s website, invests in reverse repo agreements on U.S. government-backed securities and Treasury bills held in custody at the Bank of New York Mellon.

Hashnote’s quick growth underscores the importance of interconnecting tokenized products with decentralized finance (DeFi) applications and presenting their tokens available as building blocks for other products — or composability, in crypto lingo — to scale and reach broader adoption. It also showcases crypto investors’ appetite for yield-generating stablecoins, which are increasingly backed by tokenized products.

USYC, for example, has greatly benefited from the rapid ascent of the budding decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Usual and its real-world asset-backed, yield-generating stablecoin, USD0.

Usual is pursuing the market share of centralized stablecoins like Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC by redistributing a portion of revenues from its stablecoin’s backing assets to holders. USD0 is primarily backed by USYC currently, but the protocol aims to add more RWAs to reserves in the future. It has recently announced the addition of Ethena’s USDtb stablecoin, which is built on top of BUIDL.

“The bull market triggered a massive inflow into stablecoins, yet the core issue with the largest stablecoins remains: they lack rewards for end users and do not give access to the yield they generate,” said David Shuttleworth, partner at Anagram. “Moreover, users do not get access to the protocol’s equity by holding USDT or USDC.”

“Usual’s appeal is that it redistributes the yield along with ownership in the protocol back to users,” he added.

Usual offers yield and ownership of the protocol through its stablecoin and governance token (Usual)

Usual offers yield and ownership of the protocol through its stablecoin and governance token (Usual)

The protocol, and hence its USD0 stablecoin, has raked in $1.3 billion over the past few months as crypto investors chased on-chain yield opportunities. Another significant catalyst of growth was the protocol’s governance token (USUAL) airdrop and exchange listing on Wednesday. USUAL started trading on Binance on Wednesday, and vastly outperformed the shaky broader crypto market, appreciating some 50% since then, per CoinGecko data.

BlackRock’s BUIDL also enjoyed rapid growth earlier this year, driven by DeFi platform Ondo Finance making the token the key reserve asset of its own yield-earning product, the Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries (OUSG) token.





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Chainlink price double bottoms as whales accumulate

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Chainlink formed a double-bottom pattern, pointing to a potential rebound, as signs showed that some whales were accumulating the token.

Chainlink (LINK), the biggest oracle provider, bottomed at $20.12 on Friday and rebounded to $22.50 on Sunday, Dec. 22. Still, the coin remains about 27% from its highest point this month, meaning that it is in a bear market.

A potential catalyst for the LINK token is that whales are accumulating it. According to LookOnChain, nine new wallets withdrew 362,380 coins from Binance in the last two days. These coins are now valued at over $8.19 million.

Crypto.news reported last week that another whale accumulated 65,000 LINK coins valued at $1.8 million.

These whales bought Chainlink a week after World Liberty Financial (WLFI), the DeFi platform launched by the Trump family, bought over 78,300 LINK tokens valued at over $1.7 million. It’s worth noting that President-elect Trump and his family mostly own WLFI tokens.

Chainlink, known in the crypto industry for its fundamentals, is the biggest oracle in the sector with over $35 billion in total value secured. That figure is higher than its biggest competitors like Chronicle, Pyth, Edge, and Redstone.

Chainlink’s ecosystem will likely grow as more chains and networks embrace its technology. Justin Sun’s Tron, the most recent chain to use its oracles, has switched from WINKLink to Chainlink.

Chainlink has also formed major partnerships in the Real World Asset tokenization industry, including by companies like Coinbase, Emirates NBD, SWIFT, and UBS. 

LINK, like other cryptocurrencies, has dropped sharply in the past few days as concerns about the Federal Reserve remained.

The token has remained above the 50-day moving average on the daily chart. Most importantly, it has formed a double-bottom chart pattern at $20.12. This pattern happens when an asset fails to move below a specific price two times. It is one of the most bullish reversal patterns in the market.

LINK has also formed an inverse hammer pattern, a popular reversal sign. Therefore, the coin is likely to bounce back in the next few days as investors target the key psychological at $30, which is about 35% above the current level.

On the flip side, the bullish view will become invalid if the coin drops below the double-bottom point at $20.12. 

Chainlink Price
LINK price chart | Source: crypto.news





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Dog Memecoins Rebound as Bitcoin Reaches $98,000

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Solana-based bonk (BONK) led growth among dog-themed memes Saturday as bitcoin staged a recovery rally to above $98,000, a day after Friday’s bloodbath that pushed it near $93,000.

BONK surged 30%, CoinGecko data shows, with dogecoin (DOGE), shiba inu (SHIB), dogwifhat (WIF) and floki (FLOKI) surging as much as 20%. The dog-themed token category gained 8% on average in the past 24 hours, beating a market-wide jump of 4.5% as tracked by the broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index.

Memecoins are known for their high volatility and tend to outperform major tokens during price rallies, serving as a leveraged bet on the overall crypto market sentiment.

However, in this case, fundamentals are helping back gains and sentiment among some memecoins. FLOKI was named alongside ether (ETH) and Avalanche’s AVAX as a utility token in a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) meeting last month.

The derivatives regulator proposed in a Global Markets Advisory Committee (GMAC) a new class of assets termed utility tokens, which fulfill six criteria that include providing their holder “immediately available, non-incidental consumptive use” in a crypto platform without including “governance and voting abilities.”

“FLOKI was recently highlighted by the CFTC’s Global Markets Advisory Committee as a case study of a utility token, which is a big deal and validates Floki’s utility-first approach,” Floki lead developer B told CoinDesk in a Telegram message. “Floki’s Valhalla metaverse game will go live in early Q1 2024, and the recently released Floki Trading Bot has generated over a million dollars in fees.

“This puts Floki on an entirely different level from other memecoins, especially when the market turns and people start to pay attention to fundamentals again,” B added.

Elsewhere, interest in BONK comes as a host of activities intend to deflate token supply gain traction among users — a move that has historically contributed to higher prices.

BonkDAO, a decentralized group of bonk believers that maintain the token, burned 100 billion tokens from the circulating supply in November and targeted a trillion token burn in December. This could increase the token’s value due to scarcity.

The feat could meet its target in the weeks ahead, observers say.





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