Ethereum (ETH)

Ethereum Price To $2k or $4k? Here’s What To Expect In August

Published

1 month ago

August 16, 2024

Ethereum price remained stable throughout Thursday’s sessions, as cryptocurrencies stabilized following the post-CPI release sell-off. Despite the bullish outlook, a host of other effectors, including a potential death cross, could derail the uptrend in Q3.

Ethereum Price Struggles Uphill

Ethereum price could be gearing up another sell-off to $2,000 and below considering the decline in derivatives volume and open interest as observed on Coinglass. This can also be interpreted as a consolidation phase after a period of heightened volatility and a shift in investor sentiment following the crash to $2,111 on Monday last week.

A subsequent drop in options volume is particularly noteworthy for ETH price, as it suggests reduced speculative activity and possibly lower implied volatility. Ethereum may experience less pronounced price swings in the short term.

Ethereum sits between two key levels, starting with support at $2,060, as highlighted by the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a confluence resistance at $2,817 established by the 50-day EMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement ratio.

A break on either side on the above range will shape the trend based on ETH price prediction. Considering a death cross is in the cards, a bearish outcome can be anticipated toward $1,500.

Remember, a death cross occurs when a long-term moving average flips below a short-term moving average. The 20-day EMA in the weekly time frame is grinding down toward the 50-day EMA to confirm the pattern.

After Ethereum price validated the last death cross of this kind in May 2022, a staggering 68% decline followed from $2,885 to $887, underscoring the severity of this pattern.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) downtrend and neutral position at 42 adds credibility to the bearish thesis. It implies that ETH price is not oversold yet and that sellers have more room to wiggle before the second largest cryptocurrency reverses the trend for a bigger leg up above $4,000.

Ethereum price has been moving within a descending channel since topping out at $4,100 in March, 2024. Note that a potential recovery from the critical $2,500 support could validate a bull flag breakout, boosting ETH to ATH later in the year. With the potential bull flag in mind, traders should watch out for key levels at $3,000, $3,500 and $4,000 to help ascertain the probability of a stronger leg up.

Market sentiment appears to have improved after Ethereum ETFs posted three consecutive days of daily net inflows for the first time since launch. According to SoSoValue, all nine ETFs combined achieved $10.77 million in inflow volume on Wednesday, reducing the cumulative total net outflow to $365.89 million.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Ethereum shows resilience above $2,500 support but if the looming death cross confirms, losses would extend below $2,000.

With a potential bull flag, ETH may rally above $3,000 and close in on $4,000 in August. However, due to mixed signals, a correction below $2,000 cannot be ruled out.

If ETF inflow volume increases, it will increase demand for ETH eventually creating momentum for a major breakout as seen with BTC price in Q1.