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Ethereum Seeing High Exchange Outflows, But Watch Out For This Bearish Signal

Published

4 months ago

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On-chain data shows Ethereum has been observing high exchange outflows recently, but a development related to Tether (USDT) may be a bearish obstacle for the market.

Ethereum And Tether Both Have Seen Withdrawals From Exchanges Recently

As explained by the on-chain analytics firm Santiment in a new post on X, the market is ending July on a mixed note in terms of the exchange flows. The metric of interest here is the “Exchange Flow Balance,” which measures the net amount of a given asset that’s entering into or exiting the wallets associated with centralized exchanges.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means the inflows to these platforms are outweighing the outflows right now. Such a trend implies there is currently demand for trading away the asset among the investors.

On the other hand, the indicator being negative implies the holders are making net withdrawals from the exchanges, potentially holding onto their coins in the long term.

What implications either of these trends would have on the wider market depends on the exact type of cryptocurrency the one in question is: stablecoin or volatile asset. In the context of the current topic, Santiment has cited the data for Ethereum and Tether, which means both types of coins are relevant here.

Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Exchange Flow Balance for the two assets over the past few months:

Ethereum & Tether Exchange Flow Balance
The value of the indicator seems to have been negative for both of these coins recently | Source: Santiment on X

As displayed in the above graph, the Exchange Flow Balance has recently observed a sharp negative spike for both Ethereum and Tether recently, implying that investors have been taking large amounts of these coins off into self-custody.

For volatile assets, trading the asset away can have a negative effect on its price, so the exchange reserve going up can be a bearish sign. The Exchange Flow Balance being negative, on the contrary, can be bullish, as it implies the potential “sell supply” of the coin is decreasing.

During the latest outflow spree, investors have withdrawn 80,763 ETH (almost $268 million) from these platforms, which is the largest outflow spike in five months. Thus, Ethereum has seen its sell supply go through a significant decline.

In the case of stablecoins, exchange inflows also mean the investors want to swap the asset, but as these tokens have their value “stable” around the $1 mark by definition, such trades have no effect on their price.

This doesn’t mean that they aren’t of any consequence to the market, however, as investors usually use stables to buy a volatile asset like Ethereum, so large exchange inflows of a stablecoin like Tether can be bullish for these other coins.

In this view, the exchange reserve of USDT and other stables can be considered as a potential “buy supply” for the volatile cryptocurrencies. Recently, USDT has seen net withdrawals of $346 million, meaning that this buy supply has gone down.

“This reflects less buying power for future purchases from traders, which is generally a necessary ingredient needed to boost prices in the long run,” notes Santiment. It now remains to be seen how the Ethereum price will develop in the near future, given that both bullish and bearish developments have simultaneously occurred in the market.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at around $3,300, down more than 3% over the past week.

Ethereum Price Chart
Looks like the price of the coin has been moving sideways over the last few days | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com



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A Vision For Ethereum Final Design

Published

1 week ago

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November 13, 2024

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

In a significant development for the Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem, researchers propose redesigning the network’s consensus layer, aiming to enhance scalability, decentralization, and security. 

During a presentation at DevCon in Bangkok on Tuesday, Justin Drake, an Ethereum Foundation researcher, introduced the concept of “Beam Chain,” a new consensus layer intended to replace the existing Beacon Chain.

The Beam Chain Proposal

Drake explained that the Beacon Chain, which has been operational for five years, has become somewhat outdated. “In those five years, so much has happened,” he remarked, highlighting the rapid advancements in blockchain technology and research. 

The redesign will reportedly focus exclusively on the consensus layer, leaving the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) and the binary large object (blob) data layer untouched. 

In addition, the Beam Chain aims to revamp several critical aspects of Ethereum’s staking mechanism, block production system, and cryptographic architecture. One of the central proposals is to reduce the validator bond from 32 ETH to just 1 ETH, a move intended to foster greater decentralization within the network. 

Drake noted that the current issuance model for Proof of Stake (PoS) is perceived as flawed, presenting an opportunity for improvement that could benefit Ethereum’s long-term health.

To enhance censorship resistance, the proposal includes mechanisms for attestor-proposer separation, which would further secure the block production process. Additionally, the Beam Chain is designed to improve throughput by accelerating block time slots, ultimately leading to faster transaction confirmations.

Plans To Transform Ethereum Future

A hallmark of the Beam Chain initiative is its incorporation of zero-knowledge (ZK) consensus, which leverages Succinct Non-interactive Argument of Knowledge (SNARK) proofs. 

These cryptographic tools will serve dual purposes: enabling consensus clients to compile high-level languages into bytecode and creating a “hash-based post-quantum infinitely-aggregatable scheme” that can condense thousands of hashes into a single proof. 

Recent advancements suggest that users can prove over 2 million hashes per second, indicating that the “SNARKification” of the consensus layer is feasible even on consumer-grade hardware.

Drake outlined that if the community supports the proposal, the next steps would involve specification in 2025, development in 2026, and testing in 2027. 

The researcher described this strategy as “ossification accelerationism,” aiming to achieve stability and maturity for Ethereum sooner rather than later. “We want Ethereum to go into ‘maintenance mode’ as soon as possible,” he stated.

The proposal has generated considerable interest within the Ethereum community, with Drake emphasizing the importance of community participation in shaping the future of the consensus layer. He referred to the Beam Chain as his “most ambitious initiative to date,” highlighting the need for collaboration to realize this vision.

In an exclusive interview with NewsBTC, Professor Christian Cachin from the University of Bern commended the Beam Chain proposal for its potential to solidify Ethereum’s consensus roadmap. 

Cachin noted that while the planned upgrades involve sophisticated and non-backwards-compatible technologies, they are crucial for advancing Ethereum’s scalability and overall capabilities: 

As far as I see so far, the proposal makes the existing Ethereum consensus roadmap concrete, it takes the next steps toward more powerful and more scalable consensus of Ethereum.

Ethereum
The daily chart shows ETH’s price surge experienced over the past week. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,227, up 22% for the week.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com



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Ethereum Price Walk to ATH Begins as ETH Whales Resume Buying

Published

1 week ago

on

November 11, 2024

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The crypto witnessed an unusual spike in buying on Sunday morning as Bitcoin price rallied to a new ATH above $80,000. The bullish momentum spread quickly to the altcoin market as the largest cryptocurrency, ETH, sustained its position above $3000. The Ethereum price recovery backed by whale accumulation eyes current All-Time High of $4,981. 

By press time, ETH price had traded at $3,228, with an intraday gain of 3.2%. According to Coingecko, the asset market cap holds at $389.4 Billion with a 24-hour trading volume of $42.1 Billion.

Ethereum Price Eyes ATH as Whale Buying Resumes

The cryptocurrency market kickstarted an accelerated bullish momentum in November after Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election. The pioneer digital asset, Bitcoin, leverages the broader market sentiment to reach a new high of $80,000 today.

Onchain data shows the BTC price recovery is further backed by whale accumulation, signaling the large investor confidence in a prolonged uptrend. However, smart money investors have shifted their focus not only on accumulating Bitcoin ($BTC) but also on Ethereum ($ETH).

Earlier today, four whale wallets withdrew 12,499 ETH( worth approximately 40 million) from crypto exchange Binance, according to Lookonchain data. This large-scale withdrawal could point toward a potential surge in Ethereum price as the accumulation phase among whales often precedes major market moves.

ETH Price Rally Concludes Major Correction Trend

Following the Bitcoin rally, the Ethereum price prediction showcased a six-day recovery from $2,380 to $3,220— a 36% surge. This sharp upswing, backed by increasing volume, gave a decisive breakout from ETH’s 3-month accumulation and falling wedge pattern.

Since late May, this chart setup has driven a steady correction trend within two converging trendlines, with the recent breakout signaling a significant shift in trend. The Ether buyers reclaimed the daily EMAs (20, 50, 100, and 200), further bolstering the bullish sentiment in the market.

If the pattern holds true, the Ethereum price is poised to surpass the in-between resistance of $3,560 to hit a $4,100 high, registering a 26% surge. A potential breakout from this will drive a rally to ATH.

Ethereum Price Ethereum Price
ETH/USD -1d Chart

On the contrary, financial assets are unlikely to sustain a unidirectional move without external bullish news. As a result, the Ethereum price is likely to experience a corrective pullback, potentially toward the daily EMAs, to regain exhausted bullish momentum.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Ethereum’s path to its all-time high ($4,981) signals a renewed bullish momentum in the altcoin market, driven by Bitcoin’s rally to $80,000 and increasing whale accumulation

Yes, ETH is likely to experience a corrective pullback toward key EMA supports, allowing the coin to consolidate and regain momentum for the next rally.

A bullish crossover between the 20-and-100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) and continued whale accumulation could further accelerate Ethereum’s price recovery.

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Altseason Indicator

Ethereum Analyst Sees Altseason Potential As BTS Is Still Outpacing ETH – Time To Buy Altcoins?

Published

2 weeks ago

on

November 8, 2024

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum has finally surged after breaking through a critical resistance level that had kept the price subdued since early August. This move has shifted market sentiment, as many investors and analysts previously doubted ETH’s potential in the current cycle, expecting it to lag behind. However, Ethereum’s recent strength is starting to reshape these perspectives.

Prominent analyst and investor Ali Martinez recently shared insights indicating that while Ethereum’s momentum is building, the much-anticipated “Altseason” hasn’t arrived just yet. 

According to Martinez, this stage of the cycle typically sees Bitcoin outperforming Ethereum and other altcoins—a common pattern as BTC often leads market rallies. This dynamic could provide a strategic opportunity for investors looking to enter ETH and other altcoins before the broader market euphoria begins.

As Ethereum gains traction, market participants are keeping an eye on further confirmations of its breakout, with many speculating that once Bitcoin’s lead cools, capital may flow more aggressively into altcoins. 

Ethereum Waking Up

Ethereum is making a remarkable comeback, surging over 22% in just two days of strong upward momentum. While this performance is impressive, key data highlights that Bitcoin is still leading the market, slightly overshadowing Ethereum’s gains. For savvy investors, this could present a prime opportunity to start accumulating Ethereum and select altcoins before they potentially rally in the next phase of the cycle.

Ali Martinez, a prominent analyst, recently shared a Glassnode chart revealing insights on the “Bitcoin Altseason Indicator.” This tool compares net capital flows between Bitcoin and Ethereum, showing that while Ethereum is on the rise, Bitcoin’s net capital change is currently outpacing it. 

Ethereum is still underperforming against BTC
Ethereum is still underperforming against BTC | Source: Ali Martinez on X Data from Glassnode

This trend confirms that Altseason—where altcoins outperform Bitcoin—hasn’t begun yet. Martinez points out that such dynamics are typical for this stage, with Bitcoin usually leading the initial rally and Ethereum following shortly after.

Historically, Altseason often arrives once Bitcoin’s price momentum stabilizes, as capital flows from Bitcoin into high-potential altcoins. Many seasoned investors recognize this part of the cycle as an ideal time to accumulate ETH and strong altcoins at attractive prices before the broader market shifts its focus.

In the coming weeks, the relationship between BTC and ETH performance will be closely watched, potentially setting up a shift in market sentiment and capital distribution.

ETH Technical View

Ethereum recently surged past a critical resistance at $2,820, breaking above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and touching the 200-day moving average (MA) at $2,955. This marks a significant bullish move, as ETH had been trading below these levels since early August, and reclaiming these indicators is seen as a positive signal for further gains.

ETH testing the 200-day MA
ETH testing the 200-day MA | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

For the bullish momentum to continue, ETH must break above and sustain itself above the daily MA at $2,955, solidifying this breakout as a foundation for the next phase of the uptrend. However, some analysts suggest that a period of consolidation just below the 200 MA could be beneficial, allowing ETH to gather strength for a more sustained rally. This pause could temper the rising euphoria and avoid overextension in the short term.

As the market sentiment turns increasingly optimistic, many investors are eyeing this level closely. Holding above these critical indicators would give bulls more control, potentially setting Ethereum up for a more robust recovery as it targets new highs.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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