ETH

Ethereum Seeing High Exchange Outflows, But Watch Out For This Bearish Signal

Published

5 months ago

August 1, 2024

On-chain data shows Ethereum has been observing high exchange outflows recently, but a development related to Tether (USDT) may be a bearish obstacle for the market.

Ethereum And Tether Both Have Seen Withdrawals From Exchanges Recently

As explained by the on-chain analytics firm Santiment in a new post on X, the market is ending July on a mixed note in terms of the exchange flows. The metric of interest here is the “Exchange Flow Balance,” which measures the net amount of a given asset that’s entering into or exiting the wallets associated with centralized exchanges.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means the inflows to these platforms are outweighing the outflows right now. Such a trend implies there is currently demand for trading away the asset among the investors.

On the other hand, the indicator being negative implies the holders are making net withdrawals from the exchanges, potentially holding onto their coins in the long term.

What implications either of these trends would have on the wider market depends on the exact type of cryptocurrency the one in question is: stablecoin or volatile asset. In the context of the current topic, Santiment has cited the data for Ethereum and Tether, which means both types of coins are relevant here.

Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Exchange Flow Balance for the two assets over the past few months:

Ethereum & Tether Exchange Flow Balance — The value of the indicator seems to have been negative for both of these coins recently | Source: Santiment on X

As displayed in the above graph, the Exchange Flow Balance has recently observed a sharp negative spike for both Ethereum and Tether recently, implying that investors have been taking large amounts of these coins off into self-custody.

For volatile assets, trading the asset away can have a negative effect on its price, so the exchange reserve going up can be a bearish sign. The Exchange Flow Balance being negative, on the contrary, can be bullish, as it implies the potential “sell supply” of the coin is decreasing.

During the latest outflow spree, investors have withdrawn 80,763 ETH (almost $268 million) from these platforms, which is the largest outflow spike in five months. Thus, Ethereum has seen its sell supply go through a significant decline.

In the case of stablecoins, exchange inflows also mean the investors want to swap the asset, but as these tokens have their value “stable” around the $1 mark by definition, such trades have no effect on their price.

This doesn’t mean that they aren’t of any consequence to the market, however, as investors usually use stables to buy a volatile asset like Ethereum, so large exchange inflows of a stablecoin like Tether can be bullish for these other coins.

In this view, the exchange reserve of USDT and other stables can be considered as a potential “buy supply” for the volatile cryptocurrencies. Recently, USDT has seen net withdrawals of $346 million, meaning that this buy supply has gone down.

“This reflects less buying power for future purchases from traders, which is generally a necessary ingredient needed to boost prices in the long run,” notes Santiment. It now remains to be seen how the Ethereum price will develop in the near future, given that both bullish and bearish developments have simultaneously occurred in the market.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at around $3,300, down more than 3% over the past week.

Ethereum Price Chart — Looks like the price of the coin has been moving sideways over the last few days | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com

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Altcoins

Trader Predicts ‘God Candle’ Breakout for Ethereum, Says New All-Time High Loading for One Memecoin

Published

4 days ago

December 19, 2024

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A popular crypto analyst thinks that Ethereum (ETH) is on the verge of printing a massive breakout rally also known as a god candle.

Pseudonymous analyst Inmortal tells his 221,100 followers on the social media platform X that Ethereum’s two-hour chart looks similar to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action over the last two weeks.

The analyst says that while Ethereum struggles to clear resistance at $4,000, he notes that BTC also had trouble breaching $100,000 for weeks before surging to new all-time highs.

“Same price action, but with one difference.

God candle after the breakout.

ETH.”

Based on the trader’s chart, he seems to predict that ETH will surge close to its all-time high of $4,800 after the breakout. At time of writing, ETH is worth $3,892.

The trader also has his radar locked on the memecoin Floki (FLOKI). According to the trader, FLOKI appears to be trading in a symmetrical triangle pattern and is gearing up to shatter the structure’s diagonal resistance en route to new record highs.

“Second leg up – loading.
New ATH – loading.
Price discovery – loading.

FLOKI.”

Based on the trader’s chart, he seems to predict that FLOKI will explode to a new all-time high of $0.00038. At time of writing, FLOKI is worth $0.000219.

Looking at Solana (SOL), the trader sees the Ethereum rival bursting above its diagonal resistance to rally toward $300.

“Something like this.

SOL.”

At time of writing, SOL is worth $222.60.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Bitcoin

Analyst Says It’s Time for New Ethereum All-Time High, Sees Bitcoin Going ‘Full Santa Claus Mode’

Published

5 days ago

December 18, 2024

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A closely followed crypto trader believes that conditions are nearly ripe for Ethereum (ETH) to witness a surge to fresh record highs.

Crypto strategist Justin Bennett tells his 115,400 followers on the social media platform X that it’s only a matter of time before Ethereum fully reclaims resistance at $4,000 as support.

According to Bennett, Bitcoin has been on a grind-up this month and traders will eventually rotate some of their BTC profits to ETH to capture more upside potential.

“ETH has struggled at $4,000 for obvious technical reasons, and BTC has stolen the show so far in December.

But I’m betting we will see some of those Bitcoin profits flow into Ethereum soon.

If ETH can clear $4,000-$4,100, there isn’t much stopping a sprint to $4,800 and potentially mid $5,000 to complete this channel.

Time for a new Ethereum ATH (all-time high).”

At time of writing, Ethereum is trading for $3,873.

For the rest of December, Bennett thinks that the two largest crypto assets by market cap will outperform the rest of the digital asset market.

“Focusing on BTC and ETH for the next two weeks makes the most sense, IMO (in my opinion).

Alts will have their time again, but probably not before we see some crazy bullish moves from Bitcoin and Ethereum through the end of the year.”

Looking at Bitcoin itself, the trader says that BTC is in the midst of a Christmas rally, and he expects the crypto king to shatter its diagonal resistance en route to new all-time highs.

“Bitcoin going full Santa Claus mode.

Pullbacks might be hard to come by through the end of the year, especially with the speculation of BTC becoming a US reserve asset under Trump.

Wouldn’t be surprised to see $116,000 or even $125,000 through the end of December.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $106,339.

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Generated Image: Midjourney

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ETH

Ethereum Price Falls Short Above $4,000: Will Bulls Try Again?

Published

5 days ago

December 18, 2024

admin

Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price failed to settle above the $4,000 zone. ETH is correcting gains and might struggle to stay above the $3,820 support zone.

Ethereum started a downside correction from the $4,100 zone.
The price is trading below $3,980 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $3,940 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
The pair could continue to move down if it fails to stay above the $2,820 support zone.

Ethereum Price Fails Again

Ethereum price struggled to stay above the $4,000 level and underperformed Bitcoin. ETH started a fresh decline and traded below the $4,000 support zone.

There was a move below the $3,980 and $3,940 support levels. Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $3,940 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The pair even dipped below the $3,850 level. A low was formed at $3,837 and the price is now consolidating losses.

Ethereum price is now trading below $3,920 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,900 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $4,107 swing high to the $3,837 low.

The first major resistance is near the $3,970 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $4,107 swing high to the $3,837 low.

The main resistance is now forming near $4,000. A clear move above the $4,000 resistance might send the price toward the $4,120 resistance. An upside break above the $4,120 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,250 resistance zone or even $4,320.

More Losses In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,900 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,820 level. The first major support sits near the $3,780 zone.

A clear move below the $3,780 support might push the price toward the $3,650 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,550 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,500.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,820

Major Resistance Level – $3,970

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