CFTC
Kalshi’s New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss
Published
6 days agoon
By
admin“Appellee KalshiEx LLC (‘LLC’), knowing that this Court’s review was imminent, has raced to launch its election gambling contracts on the same day the District Court issued a memorandum opinion, before Appellant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (‘Commission’ or ‘CFTC’) has had the opportunity to file this motion for stay pending appeal about the serious legal issues and public interests at stake,” the CFTC said in its filing.
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CFTC
Wintermute to launch Polymarket competitor with Chaos Labs
Published
2 days agoon
September 17, 2024By
adminWintermute plans to foray into the on-chain prediction market, with its first betting pool focused on the U.S. presidential elections.
The crypto trading firm and market maker Wintermute disclosed ongoing work on an on-chain betting platform, OutcomeMarket. The decentralized protocol will utilize Oracle technology from Chaos Labs to handle pricing and risk management.
According to the announcement, Wintermute’s prediction platform will launch with two tokens: TRUMP and HARRIS, representing the Republican and Democratic U.S. presidential candidates.
OutcomeMarket is said to debut on major blockchain networks like Ethereum (ETH), Coinbase’s Base, and layer-2 chain Arbitrum (ARB). The web3 startup added that tokens will appear across decentralized finance ecosystems and exchanges to better the trading experience.
Tokens via OutcomeMarket will be usable in DeFi and listed on multiple trading venues, expanding utility and improving accessibility for a broader audience
Wintermute on new U.S. election prediction platform
Wintermute eyes Polymarket’s arena, but CFTC oversight looms
Wintermute’s latest venture could look to take market share from Polymarket, one of the largest on-chain outcome betting platforms, with over $1 billion in election-related wagers.
Bloomberg integrated Polymarket’s election data into its terminal, further legitimizing decentralized prediction markets. This collaboration occurred despite regulations preventing U.S. bettors from using Polymarket.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has taken a firm stance against election betting contracts, arguing that big-money wagers may influence outcomes.
CFTC lawyers attempted to delay Kalshi from listing its prediction market, but a judge overruled it. Still, the regulator continues to challenge Kalshi in court.
In a Sept. 17 speech at Georgetown University, CFTC chair Rostin Behnam said the watchdog would also scrutinize offshore betting platforms with U.S. users. Behnam emphasized that the agency’s proposed ban on prediction markets is part of a fight against what it views as illegal activity and market manipulation.
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CFTC
'An Explosion of Election Gambling' Is Nigh, CFTC Warns Appeals Court
Published
4 days agoon
September 15, 2024By
adminThe regulator pleaded with the court to halt Kalshi’s political prediction markets for the duration of the CFTC’s appeal.
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CFTC
Even Temporarily Blocking Election Contracts Risks ‘Irreparable’ Harm, Kalshi Argues
Published
5 days agoon
September 14, 2024By
adminKalshi, which won a significant victory in court last week when a federal judge ruled its political prediction markets should be allowed to trade in the U.S., said the CFTC wouldn’t suffer any major harm if its new contracts were allowed to trade during the appeal process, but the company would “suffer substantial – indeed, irreparable – harm” if it’s blocked from letting people bet on the outcome of the 2024 elections.
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