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Michael Burry Ditches Gold as US CPI Hints at Fed Rate Cut
Published
4 months agoon
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adminMichael Burry who famously called the 2008 financial crisis has recently decided to sell his entire position in Sprott Physical Gold Trust ($PHYS). Over the past six months, the trust recorded a 23% increase, and gold acted as a protective measure against inflation.
The decision of Burry to close this position may indicate some changes in his view on the economic situation, especially taking into consideration the slow down of inflation in the US.
Michael Burry Ditches Gold as US CPI Cools
Michael Burry has sold out his entire position in the Sprott Physical Gold Trust ($PHYS). Within the last six months, the trust reported a good increase of 23%; this may have been due to gold’s general function of being an inflation-proof asset.
Burry’s decision to exit this position indicates a change in his investment approach, given that he is seemingly stepping away from inflation-linked investments.
Burry shockingly sold out of all his Gold
He is now heavily bullish on the consumer, strength of the dollar, China, and the US Job Market
We think we have a good reason why he changed his mind on the US economy…
🧵 A thread worth reading below pic.twitter.com/sryRQSmZYU
— Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ (@burrytracker) August 15, 2024
This comes after the most recent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation has slowed down considerably. In July, the CPI went up by 0.2% on the month, and the annual rate fell to 2.9%, the slowest since March 2021. This decline in inflation could be viewed as the Federal Reserve contemplating a reduction in interest rates, which may have played a role in Burry’s thinking.
Burry Bullish Shift Towards Consumer Spending and the US Dollar
In addition to selling his gold position, Michael Burry has made a significant bet on the US consumer and the strength of the dollar. He has taken a substantial stake in Shift4 Payments ($FOUR), a payment processing company serving over 200,000 businesses in sectors like retail, hospitality, and restaurants.
This position now makes up 13.97% of Burry’s portfolio showing that he still believes in consumer spending.
This decision is timely given that the latest retail sales figures for July revealed a 1% increase, which is much higher than the predicted 0.3%. Burry’s investment in Shift4 Payments seems to be a strategic move to benefit from this continuing consumer sentiment. This move towards consumer-related stocks may also signify his increasing confidence in the strength of the US economy as inflation declines and the dollar appreciates.
Investments in Real Estate Signal Confidence in Recovery
Expanding his investment range, Burry has also invested in the real estate investment trust, Hudson Pacific Properties ($HPP), which has lost more than 49% of its value in the current year. Burry, who has been famous for his bearish approach to investment, seems to be betting on the rebound of the beaten-down commercial real estate.
Hudson Pacific Properties has not been performing well of late but Burry’s bet can be seen as him thinking that the company is set to bounce back especially if the Federal Reserve decides to reduce rates which is usually positive for the real estate sector. This investment is consistent with Burry’s past approach of investing in sectors or assets that are currently unfavored but have the capability of bouncing back.
Following the recent inflation numbers, Bitcoin has suffered a sharp pullback and is now trading at $57,200, down more than 4% in the past 24 hours, and dipped to $56,750 at one point. This decrease in BTC price has resulted in a liquidation of other major cryptocurrencies. Ethereum (ETH) for instance dipped by 5% trading at $2,543, while XRP price has plummeted by 2% to $0.5584.
Consequently, the crypto market’s sensitivity to U.S. economic data has become increasingly evident, as investors appear to favor stability over riskier assets amid the shifting economic landscape.
Kelvin Munene Murithi
Kelvin is a distinguished writer specializing in crypto and finance, backed by a Bachelor’s in Actuarial Science. Recognized for incisive analysis and insightful content, he has an adept command of English and excels at thorough research and timely delivery.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Robert Kiyosaki Hints At Economic Depression Ahead, What It Means For BTC?
Published
5 hours agoon
December 23, 2024By
adminRich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki has issued a stark warning while hinting towards an economic depression ahead. In a recent X post, the renowned author said that the global market crash has already started, as he predicted earlier, which indicates that the financial market might enter a “depression” phase. Notably, this comes as the crypto market records immense volatility, sparking concerns over what’s next for Bitcoin (BTC).
Robert Kiyosaki Hints At Economic Depression Ahead
Robert Kiyosaki, in a recent X post, has revealed a stark warning of a looming economic depression. The Rich Dad Poor Dad author warned that a global market crash has already begun, citing Europe, China, and the U.S. as regions facing significant downturns.
In his post, Kiyosaki urged caution, advising individuals to safeguard their finances and maintain their jobs. “Global crash has started. Europe, China, USA going down. Depression ahead?” he asked while emphasizing the enduring value of assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin. He added, “For many people, crashes are the best times to get rich.”
This warning aligns with Kiyosaki’s earlier prediction of what he called the “biggest crash in history.” Earlier this month, he encouraged his followers to prepare for financial turmoil, stating, “Please be proactive and get rich… before the BOOMER’s go BUST.”
However, this recent comment from Robert Kiyosaki indicates his sustained confidence in BTC. As the crypto market faces heightened volatility, Bitcoin could emerge as a hedge against traditional market instability, he noted. Besides, it also indicates that the flagship crypto, alongside gold and silver, might continue to gain traction amid this economic turmoil.
What’s Next For BTC?
Bitcoin price today has continued its volatile trading, losing nearly 1.5% over the last 24 hours to $95,323. The crypto touched a high and low of $97,260 and $93,690 in the last 24 hours, showcasing the highly volatile scenario in the market.
In addition, the US Spot Bitcoin ETF also recorded significant outflow, with BlackRock Bitcoin ETF witnessing its largest outflux since its launch. This has weighed on the investors’ sentiment, sparking concerns over a waning institutional interest.
However, despite that, many experts remained confident on the asset’s future trajectory. For context, in a recent X post, Peter Brandt shared a new BTC price target, indicating his confidence in the digital asset.
On the other hand, institutions like Metaplanet have also continued to boost their BTC holdings. These moves indicates that the institutions, as well as many investors, are bullish towards the long-term potential of the crypto. Besides, as Robert Kiyosaki said, the recent dip also provides a buying opportunity to investors, which might further boost Bitcoin to its new ATH ahead.
Rupam Roy
Rupam is a seasoned professional with three years of experience in the financial market, where he has developed a reputation as a meticulous research analyst and insightful journalist. He thrives on exploring the dynamic nuances of the financial landscape. Currently serving as a sub-editor at Coingape, Rupam’s expertise extends beyond conventional boundaries. His role involves breaking stories, analyzing AI-related developments, providing real-time updates on the crypto market, and presenting insightful economic news.
Rupam’s career is characterized by a deep passion for unraveling the complexities of finance and delivering impactful stories that resonate with a diverse audience.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Tron’s Justin Sun Offloads 50% ETH Holdings, Ethereum Price Crash Imminent?
Published
8 hours agoon
December 23, 2024By
adminTron founder Justin Sun has been heavily offloading his ETH holdings with Ethereum price crashing 17% following the rejection at $4,000. Over the past 7 days, Sun has offloaded another 50% of his holdings worth $143 million. Market analysts predict that ETH price could further take a dip below $3,000 once again before resuming upside momentum.
Tron’s Justin Sun on ETH Selling Spree
Justin Sun is on a massive Ethereum selling spree since the coin resumed its upward journey after Donald Trump’s election win. This continued even until last week, when Tron founder offloaded $143 million worth of ETH causing Ethereum price to tank over 15% amid the crypto market crash.
Blockchain analytics firm Spot On Chain reported that Justin Sun redeemed 39,999 ETH (valued at $143 million) from liquid staking platforms Lido Finance and EtherFi. He subsequently deposited the entire amount into HTX.
Since November 10, as Ethereum price has trended upward, Sun has deposited a total of 108,919 ETH (worth $400 million) to HTX at an average price of $3,674. Notably, many of these deposits occurred near local price peaks.
Spot On Chain also revealed that Justin Sun currently has 42,904 ETH (valued at $139 million) in the process of unstaking from Lido Finance. The Tron founder might potentially send this funds to HTX later.
Ethereum Price Drop Below $3,000 Coming?
With Ethereum price losing its crucial support of $3,500, the market sentiment for the world’s largest altcoin has turned bearish. Last week, crypto market analysts turned bearish on Ethereum expecting the ETH price to drop $2,800 on selloff by whales.
Popular market analyst IncomeSharks stated that it was a “low-volume weekend,” for Ethereum following a volatile week for stocks. The analysts added that it won’t be the right time to sell.
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator, a tool used to gauge buying and selling pressure, remains steady, oscillating within a channel. Recent Ethereum buyers are still in profit, providing some support for the market. However, the below chart shows that there’s still scope for Ethereum to take a dip to $3,000.
Prominent crypto analyst “I am Crypto Wolf” also highlighted a bullish outlook with a potential inverse head-and-shoulders (iHS) pattern. According to the analyst, Ethereum price chart is currently forming the “right shoulder” of the iHS continuation pattern.
This setup could provide the momentum needed to surpass the $4,000 resistance and aim for a $10,000 target by May. A breakout is anticipated by the end of January, though a retest of the $3,000 level remains a possibility before the rally takes off, he noted.
Bhushan Akolkar
Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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CryptoQuant Hails Binance Reserve Amid High Leverage Trading
Published
14 hours agoon
December 23, 2024By
adminCrypto analytics platform CryptoQuant has conducted a deep dive research into Binance and other centralized exchanges to uncover how susceptible they are to liquidity risks. With the crypto ecosystem trading at a very high premium, exchanges require high liquidity to meet growing demands. Of its findings, CryptoQuant singles out Binance and OKX as platforms to watch out for.
What Makes Binance Stand Out from Centralized Exchanges?
According to CryptoQuant, it analyzed the leverage levels of top centralized exchanges. It conducted this exercise to evaluate their liquidity, default risk and how crypto reserves backs trading activity. The analysis also employs leverage ratio calculation to estimate trader’s exposures.
Based on this, the analytics firm singled out Binance as an exchange with robust reserves. The trading platform maintains this reserve despite the significant growth in open interest this year. This is signficant, considering how Binance Futures list new tokens to fuel this expansion including Solana’s Fartcoin.
“Its reserves in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDT comfortably exceed its open interest. Binance also reported the lowest and most stable leverage ratio among major exchanges, with a ratio of 12.8 in December 2023, rising slightly to 13.5 in December 2024,” the CryptoQaunt report reads.
As pointed out, this stability and the 2.6x expansion in Bitcoin open interest on the platform from $4.45 billion to $11.64 billion implies that the exchange can handle unexpected liquidations.
Centralized Exchange Leverage Risk on the Midst of the Upcoming Bull Run
We assess the leverage levels of various crypto exchanges to evaluate their liquidity, default risk, and the extent to which their perpetual futures trading activity is backed by their crypto reserves.
Our… pic.twitter.com/NAadJSAlVT
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 21, 2024
As the report hinted, smaller exchanges like OKX also maintain low leverage ratios.
Centralized Exchanges and Avoiding the FTX Saga
In addition to the Binance spotlight, CryptoQuant also mentioned Gate io, Bybit, and Deribit. However, the report noted that these trading platforms have the highest leverage ratios in the market pegged at 106, 86, and 32, respectively. Notably, this figures show open interests for Bitcoin and Ethereum is higher than the existing reserves available on these centralized exchanges.
The analysis concluded by flagging the impact of high leverage trading, one of the major causes of the FTX Derivatives Exchange collapse. This report serves as an eye opener that can help traders manage risk per platforms they trade on.
Meanwhile, FTX is at the tail end of its bankruptcy proceedings. As Coingape reported earlier, FTX has set January 3 as the date to commence creditor repayment.
Godfrey Benjamin
Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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