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Meme Coins Die — Bloggers’ Advertising is Ineffective
Published
8 mins agoon
November 26, 2024By
adminThe vast majority of meme coins promoted by influencers in X end up “dead” — their value drops by 90% or more within three months.
The attention surrounding meme coins has led many famous X personalities to promote these tokens as a quick way to make money. However, the research by CoinWire shows the unpleasant reality: most meme coins have no value, and many investors face heavy losses.
“Our research reveals a sobering truth: most of these meme coins are, in fact, dead, and the majority of investors end up with significant losses.”
CoinWire report
To understand the meme coin situation, the experts analyzed data from over 1,500 tokens endorsed by 377 influential X users. They selected 377 of them with at least 10,000 followers who frequently promote meme coins. They then compiled a list of 1,567 meme coins that were promoted over the past three months.
Using Dune Analytics, experts collected information on the price when they were first promoted, the current price, and the price after one week, one month, and three months. A meme coin is considered dead if its current value has fallen by 90% or more compared to the initial promotion.
“76% of Twitter influencers have promoted meme coins that are now dead. Two out of three meme coins they promote are worthless. This means that many influencer-driven promotions essentially set up investors for failure.”
CoinWire report
The real effectiveness of meme coin promotion
The actual situation with meme coins differs significantly from influencers’ positive picture.
Stats show that these projects rarely meet their expectations: after a week, 80% of meme coins promoted by influencers lose 70% of their value.
After a month, about 90% of these tokens lost about 80% in value, and after three months, 86% of them fell in price by 10 times. As analysts note, this trend indicates significant instability and volatility of meme coins backed by influential individuals. In addition, most investors end up facing serious losses, often just a few weeks after investing.
Achieving high returns is almost impossible
One main factor that makes meme coins attractive is their potential to generate significant returns.
However, in reality, this almost never happens. Only 1% of influencers successfully promoted meme coins. Furthermore, only 3% of meme coins promoted by influencers ever achieved such a significant increase.
Interestingly, the more followers an influencer has, the worse the performance of the meme coins they promote. Influencers with over 200,000 followers tend to perform the worst, with their meme coin promotions losing 39% of their investment within a week and 89% of their investment within three months.
In contrast to more prominent influencers, those with fewer than 50,000 followers perform better, with 25% of their revenue positive within a week and a 141% increase within three months. This may indicate that smaller influencers are more sincere in their promotional approaches, while larger ones often prioritize financial gain over the quality of the projects they support.
As for influencer earnings from meme coin promotions, analysts used TweetHunter’s X earnings calculator to estimate the potential profit from a sponsored tweet.
While investors often lose money, influencers benefit from promoting meme coins. They earn an average of $399 for each promotional tweet that attracts about 15,000 views. In this way, influencers promote even the most dubious tokens in the hopes of making a high profit.
Influencer promotion is mostly harmful
The data highlights a disturbing reality: meme coin promotion by influencers is mostly doing more harm than good for ordinary investors. 76% of influencers promote tokens without activity, and the probability of getting the desired 10x return is extremely low.
“Investors need to be cautious, questioning the true value behind these promotions and avoiding decisions driven by social media hype alone.”
CoinWire report
A CoinWire study shows that X meme coin hype is good for influencers but almost always disastrous for investors. Most of these tokens quickly lose their value. The chances of serious profits for investors who believe the buzz are minimal.
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Hashdex Files Second Amendment for Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF Approval
Published
1 hour agoon
November 26, 2024By
adminAsset management firm Hashdex has made further progress toward launching a cryptocurrency-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States. According to an announcement on Nov. 25, the company has submitted its second amended S-1 application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Hashdex Second Amendment for Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF
Hashdex’s latest filing represents another step in its ongoing efforts to secure regulatory approval for the Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF. The ETF aims to provide investors with exposure to a diversified portfolio of cryptocurrencies.
Initially, the fund will include Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), the only two assets currently listed in the Nasdaq Crypto US Index. However, the filing noted that the portfolio could expand to include other digital currencies over time.
The amended filing comes after Hashdex’s initial S-1 application was modified in October when the SEC sought additional time to review the proposal. The SEC has historically been cautious in approving cryptocurrency-related products, and the amended filings demonstrate Hashdex’s ongoing compliance efforts to meet regulatory requirements. Despite the US SEC’s stance, firms have continued to file for Spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) like the latest one by WisdomTree for an XRP ETF.
Growing Interest in Crypto Index ETFs
Crypto index ETFs have emerged as a key area of focus for asset managers as demand for diversified investment products grows. Industry observers compare these ETFs to traditional index funds, such as those tracking the S&P 500, which provide investors with broad market exposure.
“Index ETFs are efficient for investors — just like how people buy the S&P 500 in an ETF. This will be the same in crypto,” said Katalin Tischhauser, head of investment research at Sygnum, a cryptocurrency-focused financial institution.
Hashdex is not alone in its pursuit of a cryptocurrency index ETF. Other asset managers, such as Franklin Templeton and Grayscale, are also seeking approval for similar products. The Franklin Crypto Index ETF would track the CF Institutional Digital Asset Index, which, like the Nasdaq Crypto US Index, currently focuses on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Grayscale’s Digital Large Cap Fund, which holds a basket of cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana (SOL), and XRP, has also applied for conversion to an ETF.
Potential Regulatory Changes and Market Implications
The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrency ETFs in the United States could shift significantly in the coming months. The SEC’s current Chair, Gary Gensler, has announced plans to step down on Jan. 20, 2025. This timeline coincides with the start of Donald Trump’s second presidential term. Trump, who has expressed a pro-crypto stance, has previously criticized Gensler’s strict approach to cryptocurrency regulation and promised reforms aimed at fostering growth in the sector.
Regulatory analysts suggest that the leadership transition at the SEC may impact the approval process for cryptocurrency-related financial products. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart stated that approval for index ETFs holding altcoins like XRP and Solana may depend on whether the SEC considers these smaller assets compliant with existing rules.
“Regulatory concerns about altcoins in index ETFs could be reduced if most of the allocation remains in Bitcoin and Ethereum,” Seyffart explained. He added that while there is optimism about these products, the ultimate decisions will likely hinge on the incoming SEC administration’s priorities and approach.
Kelvin Munene Murithi
Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Bitcoin Dips to $93,000 With $400 Million in Longs Rekt. Where to From Here?
Published
3 hours agoon
November 26, 2024By
adminBitcoin witnessed a sharp sell-off on Monday, with the asset’s single-day performance giving up more than half of the gains made last week.
The world’s largest crypto fell 4.8% on the day to just above $93,000, with Monday’s drop totaling more than $4,800. For context, that’s more than 55% of last week’s $8,100 runup.
Still, analysts say the move is likely part of traders rebalancing their positions as they look to the end of the year, particularly in late December, which has proven to be a favorable month in the past.
“We see a combination of two catalysts pushing Bitcoin’s price down temporarily,” Ryan McMillin, chief investment officer at crypto fund manager Merkle Tree Capital, told Decrypt.
He pointed to a “sell wall” just below the “psychological barrier” right around $100,000, where traders are looking to capitalize on an explosive run following President-elect Donald Trump’s victory three weeks ago.
McMillin also pointed to a build-up of leveraged longs, or those betting on higher prices, as “too tempting” for market makers not to chase.
In other words, market makers who facilitate liquidity may intentionally drive prices down to trigger a liquidation of those leveraged longs.
Liquidations spiked on Monday to $550 million, 70% of which came from long positions. It follows a similar trend observed on Sunday. Still, McMillin says this is just part of normal market behavior.
“There isn’t much liquidity below $92,000, so that looks like the floor for this move,” McMillin said. “We expect the market to go and retest $100,000 before the week is out.”
Others agree, claiming Monday’s move is a part of typical market dynamics with traders hedging against potential downside risks, likely in response to recent moves.
“Pullbacks like these are not uncommon in bull markets,” Nick Forster, founder of DeFi derivatives protocol, Derive, told Decrypt. “We are seeing strong structural tailwinds for Bitcoin, bolstered by favorable conditions such as the interest-rate cutting cycle and evolving regulatory frameworks.”
Other cryptos in the top 10 by market capitalization have also dipped, with Dogecoin (DOGE) taking the most significant hit, down about 9.5% to $0.38, CoinGecko data shows.
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