blackrock

No, BlackRock Won’t Ossify Bitcoin

Published

1 month ago

November 16, 2024

admin

In his Take from Wednesday, Shinobi argued that the surge of institutional bitcoin adoption will lead to premature ossification of the Bitcoin protocol. While I share his concern to an extent, I am less convinced this is necessarily true.

Bitcoin is inherently a permissionsless system. For protocol changes specifically, it “just” requires users to upgrade their software. And when it comes to deploying soft forks, it really only needs a majority of miners to upgrade. (This is admittedly a simplification for the sake of brevity, but I’d say it’s still “true enough” to state it this way.)

Miners will for the most part follow economic incentives. If a protocol upgrade makes Bitcoin (say) more scalable or more private, there is actually good reason to think this would make Bitcoin more valuable, which in turn means there is good reason to think miners will activate the upgrade.

Even in an extreme scenario where a soft fork occurs through a user activated soft fork (UASF) that splits the blockchain, and even if in this scenario the institutions prefer the legacy version of the chain (this is the scenario Shinobi is ultimately envisioning), it’s not obvious to me that the non-upgraded chain would “win”.

Just owning lots of bitcoin does not give you a “say” on which side of a chain split is more valuable. Initially, everyone receives coins on both sides. Only if you’re willing to buy or sell these coins (eg.: “dump” coins on one side of the split to get more coins on the other side) does your economic weight matter. But this means you have to take a risk: skin in the game.

Would big institutions really be willing to bet everything they own on the version of the protocol without the upgrade? That’s a big assumption to make.

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

Source link

21 Million

No, BlackRock Can't Change Bitcoin

Published

1 day ago

December 21, 2024

admin

Recently, BlackRock released an educational video explaining Bitcoin, which I thought was great—it’s amazing to see Bitcoin being discussed on such a massive platform. But, of course, Bitcoin X (Twitter) had a meltdown over one specific line in the video: “There is no guarantee that Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap will not be changed.”

HealthRnager from Natural News claimed, “Bitcoin has become far too centralized, and now the wrong people largely control its algorithms. They are TELLING you in advance what they plan to do.”

Now, let me be clear: this is total nonsense. The controversy is overhyped, and the idea that BlackRock would—or even could—change bitcoin’s supply is laughable. The statement in their video is technically true, but it’s just a legal disclaimer. It doesn’t mean BlackRock is plotting to inflate bitcoin’s supply. And even if they were, they don’t have the power to pull it off.

Bitcoin’s 21 million cap is fundamental—it’s not up for debate. The entire Bitcoin ecosystem—miners, developers, and nodes—operates on this core principle. Without it, Bitcoin wouldn’t be Bitcoin. And while BlackRock is a financial giant and holds over 500,000 Bitcoin for its ETF, its influence over Bitcoin is practically nonexistent.

Bitcoin is a proof-of-work (PoW) system, not a proof-of-stake (PoS) system. It doesn’t matter how much bitcoin BlackRock owns; economic nodes hold the real power.

Let’s play devil’s advocate for a second. Say BlackRock tries to propose a protocol change to increase bitcoin’s supply. What happens? The vast network of nodes would simply reject it. Bitcoin’s history proves this. Remember Roger Ver and the Bitcoin Cash fork? He had significant influence and holdings, yet his version of bitcoin became irrelevant because the majority of economic actors didn’t follow him.

If Bitcoin could be controlled by a single entity like BlackRock, it would’ve failed a long time ago. The U.S. government, with its endless money printer, could easily acquire 10% of the supply if that’s all it took to control Bitcoin. But that’s not how Bitcoin works. Its decentralized nature ensures no single entity—no matter how powerful—can dictate its terms.

So, stop worrying about BlackRock “changing” Bitcoin. Their influence has hard limits. Even if they tried to push developers to change the protocol, nodes would reject it. Bitcoin’s decentralization is its greatest strength, and no one—not BlackRock, not Michael Saylor—can change that.

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

Source link

Bitcoin

BlackRock’s New Bitcoin Ad Is A Monumental Paradigm Shift

Published

4 days ago

December 19, 2024

admin

Follow Nikolaus On &Xopf; Here For Daily Posts

Yesterday, BlackRock released a new video aimed at educating people interested in Bitcoin on the asset class.

The video is quite good, honestly. I think they took inspiration from Saifedean Ammous’ book “The Bitcoin Standard,” which discusses the history of money from the beginning of time and how it has changed and evolved throughout history.

Launched in January, IBIT has now topped $50 Billion in assets as investors are increasingly using the ETP to get efficient exposure to bitcoin’s price. Yet many investors are still relatively new to the digital assets space. For those looking to learn more about what bitcoin is… pic.twitter.com/8wh9CW0xYa
— Jay Jacobs (@JayJacobsCFA) December 17, 2024

Seeing this type of educational Bitcoin content from a $11.5 trillion asset manager is something that I think will really resonate with their target audiences.

Watching the video, there was one moment in particular that stood out to me. BlackRock was highlighting where Bitcoin is today and said, “Bitcoin is no longer seen as the radical idea it was 15 years ago. Over 500 million people around the world now use cryptocurrency, with over 50% holding or investing in Bitcoin.”

That right there screams to me that Bitcoin is becoming recognized as a legit and established asset class in the eyes of the financial elite, and then eventually the mainstream.

In the early days, Bitcoin really was such a radical new idea that probably 99% of people could not conceptualize. However, over time, Bitcoin has proven itself time and time again to be a legit asset and people are now interested in embracing this new form of money. It feels like there has been a sincere paradigm shift and that we are slowly, but surely, leaving the point in history where the majority of people think Bitcoin is a scam and bad for any other generic FUD that has already been thoroughly debunked.

With that being said, I’m not saying everyone is on the verge of becoming a bitcoin maximalist or anything, but I do think that more and more people are becoming accepting to the fact that Bitcoin is here to stay and that it’s not going anywhere — which I would think eventually leads to people saying “I should probably own some bitcoin then.”

This isn’t just anyone saying Bitcoin is becoming a legit asset, this is the world’s largest asset manager. BlackRock is putting their reputation behind Bitcoin and projecting confidence in the long-term success of it. And so far it has been an amazing play by them embracing Bitcoin, with their spot Bitcoin ETF being the most successful ETF launch in history.

When they speak highly of a potentially profitable investment, people listen. I think in particular, the wealthy and accredited investors are the first to take notice and advantage of BlackRock’s signalling here. Eventually this will be followed by retail investors.

I believe Bitcoin is set to enter an entirely new paradigm unlike anything we’ve seen before.

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

Source link

Bitcoin

Put Options for BlackRock’s Bitcoin (BTC) ETF at $30, $35 See High Volume – What’s Happening?

Published

7 days ago

December 16, 2024

admin

Surging volumes in put options linked to BlackRock’s Nasdaq-listed spot bitcoin ETF (IBIT) could be interpreted as bearish sentiment. That’s not necessarily the case.

On Friday, more than 13,000 contracts of the $30 out-of-the-money (OTM) put option expiring May 16 changed hands as the ETF rose 1.7% to $57.91, according to data from Amberdata. Volume in the $35 put option expiring Jan. 16, 2026, topped 10,000 contracts.

Most of the activity probably stems from market participants looking to generate passive income through “cash-secured put selling” rather than outright purchase of the options as bearish bets, according to Greg Magadini, Amberdata’s director of derivatives.

A put seller, offering insurance against price drops in return for a premium, is obligated to purchase the underlying asset at a predetermined price on or before a specific expiration date. (That’s opposed to the buyer of the put, who has the right but not the obligation to sell the asset.)

That means savvy traders often write OTM puts to acquire the underlying asset at a lower price while pocketing the premium received by selling the put option. They do so by continuously maintaining the cash required to purchase the asset if the owner of the put option exercises their right to sell the asset.

Hence, the strategy is called “cash-secured” selling of puts. In IBIT’s case, sellers of the $35 put expiring in January 2026 will keep the premium if IBIT stays above that level until expiry. If IBIT drops below $35, the put sellers must buy the ETF at that price while keeping the premium received. The sellers of the $30 put expiring in May next year face a similar payoff scenario.

“The $35 Puts for Jan 2026 traded +10k contract with an IV range of 73.52% to 69.94%, VWAP at 70.75% suggests net selling from the street… potentially Cash Secured put selling flows (for traders who missed the rally),” Magadini said in a note shared with CoinDesk.

IBIT options volume on Friday. (Amberdata)

Saxo Bank’s analyst suggested cash-secured put selling as the preferred strategy in Nvidia early this year.

Calls are pricier than puts

Overall, IBIT call options, which offer an asymmetric upside to buyers, continue to trade pricer than puts.

As of Friday, call-put skews, with maturities ranging from five to 126 days, were positive, signaling relative richness of implied volatility for calls. The bullish sentiment is consistent with the pricing in options tied to bitcoin and trading on Deribit.

On Friday, IBIT recorded a net inflow of $393 million, representing the majority of the total inflow of $428.9 million across the 11 spot ETFs listed in the U.S, according to data tracked by Farside Investors.