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Number of bets on Polymarket surpassed 1.5m in July

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The blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket saw impressive growth last month, especially since the start of the debate around the U.S. elections.

According to data provided by Dune Analytics, the total number of bets on Polymarket surpassed the 1.5 million mark in July. The total number of bets since the launch of the market prediction platform is currently sitting at 5.29 million.

Number of bets on Polymarket surpassed 1.5m in July - 1
Number of bets on Polymarket | Source: Dune Analytics

Moreover, data from Dune Analytics shows that the cumulative bet trading volume on Polymarket has reached just over $1 billion. The betting volume for July alone is up 219% from the past month — rising from $111.56 million to $355.23 million.

The surge in the Polymarket trading volume comes as the debate around the U.S. presidential elections heats up. According to data from Polymarket, the total amount of bets on the upcoming elections has reached $439 million.

Per the market prediction platform, there’s a 57% chance that Donald Trump could win the U.S. elections in November with over $54 million in bets. Trump’s competitor, Vice President Kamala Harris, currently has a 39% chance of becoming the 47th U.S. president with a betting volume of $38.5 million.

According to a crypto.news report on July 24, Polymarket joined forces with MoonPay to allow non-crypto users to use the Polygon-based market prediction platform. 



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Blockchain

Eclipse launches public mainnet of first SVM L2 on Ethereum

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Eclipse Foundation announced on Nov. 7 that Eclipse, a Solana Virtual Machine-powered layer-2 on Ethereum, had launched its public mainnet.

The milestone is a key step in Eclipse’s quest to bring the best of both Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) to users, Eclipse Foundation said in a press release.

Vijay Chetty, CEO of Eclipse, noted that bridging these leading networks for decentralized applications and finance could drive a new wave of ecosystem development. Key areas likely to see growth from increased dApp activity include DeFi, consumer applications, and gaming.

“Eclipse is uniquely positioned as the first solution to bridge the gap between Solana and Ethereum, offering a powerful platform that caters to both communities. Our goal is to empower developers from both ecosystems to build and scale their dApps like never before, unlocking new opportunities across the largest networks in the industry.”

Vijay Chetty.

Eclipse’s launch of the layer-2 public mainnet follows its developer-focused mainnet release in October. Since then, the platform has expanded its ecosystem by integrating projects such as Orca, Nucleus, and Save.

Developers on Eclipse can utilize Solana’s parallel execution capabilities and Ethereum’s liquidity and security, alongside access to Ethereum’s vast user community and asset base. Eclipse’s architecture enables developers to leverage the Solana Virtual Machine for scaling and enhanced user experiences.

As a result, Eclipse aims to eliminate the previous fragmentation that required developers to choose between the two ecosystems.



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Bitcoin

Benjamin Cowen Issues Bitcoin Alert, Says Potential Plunge ‘That Scares People’ Incoming – Here’s His Outlook

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Widely followed analyst Benjamin Cowen is issuing a warning on Bitcoin (BTC) as the flagship crypto asset trades near its all-time high.

In a new video, Cowen tells his 820,000 YouTube subscribers that Bitcoin could turn bearish around one month after the US general election.

“I just want to put that out there as one potential outcome that following the election, there’s going to be a lot of really bold calls as to what will happen. And what I think could happen is a drop sometime in early December that scares people. And I think it might be around the time of the labor market release [Non-Farm Payroll report is scheduled for December 6th].”

According to Cowen, Bitcoin could drop somewhere between 12% to 46% from the current level if the bearish scenario plays out.

“What is unclear to me right now is whether that drop by Bitcoin is just back-testing this [around $65,000] and then going up in 2025 or if it’s back-testing down here [around $40,000] and then going up. That is what I still remain somewhat unsure of…”

Source: Benjamin Cowen/YouTube

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $73,813, down about 2% from its all-time high of around $75,400.

The widely followed analyst says that his envisaged Bitcoin correction in December would likely be temporary if it happens.

“I could envision a scenario where after the political outcomes are all decided if Bitcoin doesn’t immediately move up and then it starts to crash people might assume that the cycle is over. But it could very well just simply be the soft landing scenario…

…you could get a situation where you know Bitcoin sort of falls here and then rallies on up to new all-time highs in 2025.”

Source: Benjamin Cowen/YouTube

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cryptocurrency

TRUMP, MAGA, and other Trump-themed tokens crash after election day

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Donald Trump-themed meme coins TRUMP, MAGA, TREMP, and STRUMP have tanked, with their total market capitalization down over 21% on the day, after Trump secured a victory in the U.S. election.

MAGA (TRUMP), the largest Trump-themed meme coin in terms of market cap fell 50.7% over the past 24 hours, exchanging hands at $1.71 when writing. The altcoin’s market cap fell from $212 million seen on Nov. 6 to $79 million when writing.

MAGA Hat (MAGA) a meme token inspired by Trump’s iconic red hat worn during his political campaigns also collapsed by 51% with its market cap falling to $39 million. 

Dark MAGA (DMAGA) which saw the highest gains on Nov. 5, climbing from $0.008 to $0.0018 overnight. The meme coin has since plunged by 62% from its pre-election level and was trading at $0.0045, wiping out over $13.5 million from its market cap. Similarly, Super Trump (STRUMP) also faced a sharp drop of 54.9%, with its market cap shedding $11 million.

Other popular meme coins that previously capitalized on Trump’s presidential victory but have crashed at press time, include Doland Tremp (TREMP), TRUMPCOIN, TRUMP 47 (47), and Pepe Trump (PTRUMP) which suffered losses between 50-65%.

Traders seemed to have sold the news, a familiar trend for meme coins, which often experience sharp sell-offs after hype peaks—just as with Dogecoin (DOGE), the industry’s first and largest meme coin.

Dogecoin’s meteoric rise leading up to Elon Musk’s Saturday Night Live appearance in May 2021 became a classic case of traders selling the news. DOGE rallied to an all-time high of $0.73 ahead of the May 8 airing date as Musk, an avid Dogecoin supporter, teased his role on SNL. 

However, the hype fizzled quickly during and after the broadcast, as traders rushed to offload their holdings with the price of DOGE dropping over 30% within hours. At current prices, the token remains 74% below its all-time high.

This pattern also seems evident in PolitiFi tokens, which are often referred to as “event coins,” as they move in tandem with political developments. However, the downturn comes despite Trump’s victory, which could mean the hype around this meme coin subset is waning.

A likely scenario is that a lot of the liquidity from these PolitiFi tokens is flowing into Bitcoin (BTC) and other altcoins as the flagship crypto has been printing new highs over the past day fueling hopes that the bull market is starting.

Prominent altcoins like Ethena (ENA) and Raydium (RAY) have posted double-digit gains, while the overall meme coin market is up over 13%, suggesting that PolitiFi tokens are facing an isolated sell-off now that the elections are over.



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