Donald Trump
Polymarket taps Nate Silver as advisor ahead of US election
Published
4 months agoon
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adminPolymarket, a leading blockchain-based prediction market, has appointed Nate Silver, a well-known statistician, as an advisor.
This appointment shows Polymarket’s swift rise, as it currently accommodates 80% of the wagers on U.S. elections.
Silver is also a writer and journalist who aims to help Polymarket build its forecasting around news events.
“I grew up following Nate’s work on election forecasting and it’s a dream come true to welcome him to Polymarket’s advisory board,” said Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket. “Over the course of his career Nate has played a pivotal role in mainstreaming political forecasting. This election cycle, Polymarket has emerged as the key destination for election forecasts, and Nate’s guidance will be critical in helping us take our offering to the next level.”
Axios was the first to report this news on Tuesday.
Polymarket
Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, Polymarket allows users to wager on various outcomes, with a notable focus on U.S. presidential elections. The platform has seen over $262 million in bets on the 2024 presidential race, with users currently favoring former President Donald Trump.
Despite its success, Polymarket is not accessible to U.S. users due to Commodity Futures Trading Commission restrictions. The company conducts all trades internationally and is currently looking into introducing a regulated product in the U.S. So far, Polymarket has overseen more than $400 million in trades this year, with substantial activity during the first presidential debate.
Trump’s popularity on Polymarket surged to over 70% following a recent assassination attempt, a figure he frequently highlights on Truth Social.
Polymarket, backed by $70 million in venture capital from investors like Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, is growing in the prediction market space.
Who is Nate Silver?
Silver, renowned for his accurate 2008 election forecasts on FiveThirtyEight, believes prediction markets will become essential tools for investors assessing news and predicting future outcomes.
He emphasizes the importance of probabilities in decision-making, citing the current debate within the Democratic Party about President Joe Biden’s re-election bid. While advising Polymarket, Silver will also continue his work on his Substack newsletter and a new book project.
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Donald Trump
Trump Wants Teresa Goody Guillén to Head the SEC
Published
1 day agoon
November 20, 2024By
adminSoon-to-be President Donald Trump is looking at Teresa Goody Guillén, an experienced Securities attorney with a strong background in traditional finance and blockchain regulation, as a potential candidate to head the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
If chosen, her appointment could mark a significant shift in the agency’s regulatory stance compared to the current ‘anti-crypto’ approach under Gary Gensler.
The Trump administration has expressed its intention to move away from what it coined as “regulation by enforcement” in the cryptocurrency space. During his campaign, Trump promised to fire Gensler on his first day in office, and reports suggest that Gensler is already getting ready to resign before Trump takes office, for a second time, on Jan 20.
Trump’s team is said to be looking for someone who is knowledgeable about digital assets and can soften the SEC’s stance on harsh crypto regulations until Congress offers a more definitive legislative direction. The blockchain and finance moguls see Goody Guillén as a perfect fit for this vision. Her supporters point out her firm grasp of security law and thoughtful approach to regulation. Guillén’s unique blend of experience with the SEC and her advocacy of blockchain companies has earned her considerable backing from both crypto leaders and traditional finance executives.
Goody Guillén is a partner at BakerHostetler, where she co-heads the firm’s blockchain division. According to her LinkedIn, she worked in the SEC’s office as the general counsel from 2009 to 2011. She then collaborated with former SEC Chair Harvey Pitt to provide counsel on enforcement issues.
This combination of insider knowledge and advocacy against the SEC’s enforcement actions has made her an ideal candidate for the position, especially in the wake of Trump’s team looking for a pro-crypto regulator to revamp the SEC. Brendan Playford, co-founder of the decentralized data provider Masa, referred to her as “an instant change-maker” who has the potential to restructure the finance industry.
Goody Guillén is one of many competitive groups of candidates for the SEC Chair position, which also includes major figures like Robert Stebbins from Willkie Farr & Gallagher, Brad Bondi from Paul Hastings, former SEC commissioner Paul Atkins, and Brain Brooks, who previously served as Acting Controller of the Currency.
The Trump transition team is moving quickly this time around, and it is planning to announce the new SEC chair before Thanksgiving, as reported by CoinDesk. This urgency brings to light the administration’s focus on rapidly changing financial regulations. If Goody Guillén is appointed, her leadership could lead to significant shifts in how the SEC handles crypto regulations. With the Trump administration already making some bold and controversial picks for Cabinet positions, many are keeping a close eye, as this could mean a make-or-break for regulatory reforms in the next four years.
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$100k
Why $100,000 Bitcoin Is Right Around The Corner
Published
2 days agoon
November 19, 2024By
adminIf you have been following Bitcoin news today, like I have, you can not be more bullish on Bitcoin. Seriously, what a time to be alive!
Just today:
- MicroStrategy purchased another 51,780 BTC for $4.6 billion and announced its plans to raise $1.75 billion to buy more bitcoin
- Semler Scientific bought another 215 BTC for $17.7 million
- Genius Group launched its Bitcoin treasury by purchasing 110 BTC for $10 million
- MARA Holdings announced a $700 million raise to buy more BTC
- Metaplanet issued ¥1.75B debt offering to buy more BTC
- Global healthcare group Cosmos Health adopted BTC as a treasury reserve asset
Insane, right?
The corporate Bitcoin adoption is going absolutely parabolic. The race among public companies to stack the most satoshis has kicked into hyperdrive.
Some other news:
- Donald Trump is meeting with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and is expected to discuss appointments
- Donald Trump’s media $DJT in talks to purchase crypto trading platform Bakkt
- Options trading on BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF could be listed as soon as tomorrow
It’s only Monday, and my head is already spinning! With this tidal wave of positive adoption, I’d be downright shocked if we don’t blast through $100,000 per Bitcoin this week.
I expect a flood of more bullish news and serious FOMO buying pressure this week. Seriously, tighten your seatbelts, folks—with this momentum, Bitcoin hitting a hundred grand is coming sooner than you imagined!
This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.
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24/7 Cryptocurrency News
Poland Presidential Candidate Calls for Bitcoin Reserve In Election Pitch
Published
3 days agoon
November 18, 2024By
adminPoland Presidential Candidate Slawomir Mentzen has recently pitched for a strategic Bitcoin Reserve as part of his election pitch. Drawing a leaf from Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, global leaders have joined the bandwagon. Bitcoin investor Mentzen eyes a similar paradigm shift in Polish elections as BTC price a massive rally over $93,000.
Poland Eyes Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Like United States
In a post on the X platform on November 19, Slawomir Mentzen, the Polish presidential candidate of the KORWiN party, demanded that Poland create its own strategic Bitcoin reserve. Interestingly, Mentzen also proposed having crypto-friendly regulations along with support from the national banks for building this reserve. He wrote:
“If I become the President of Poland, our country will become a cryptocurrency haven, with very friendly regulations, low taxes, and a supportive approach from banks and regulators. BTC to the Moon!”
Election in Poland will tentatively happen around May 2025, and hence a Bitcoin push early on could lead to a shift in the course of elections in the coming months. Although Slawomir Mentzen is the candidate of a smaller party, he can gain significant ground with this BTC push.
Several market analysts think that the Bitcoin Game Theory will soon play out among nation-states, creating a snowball effect in no time. In the United States, top Bitcoin leaders like Michael Saylor, and Cynthia Lummis have started pitching President-elect Donald Trump about the importance of having a BTC reserve, and how it can reduce the US national debt by a staggering $16 trillion.
It is clear that leaders across nation-states have started seeing Bitcoin as a crucial reserve asset similar to gold. Senator Cynthia Lummis also proposed that state-federal banks sell some of the gold and use the proceeds to buy BTC.
Słamowir Mentzen Is A Bitcoin Businessman
Amid the strategic Bitcoin Reserve pitching reports, Polish Presidential candidate Slamowir Mentzen revealed that he had invested all his money into Bitcoins a decade before in 2013.
“In 2013, I bought cryptocurrencies with all the funds I had. I went all-in and did very well, but that was 2013,” he said during a conversation on a YouTube channel run by Filip Kowiarski. Furthermore, he also addressed accusations of pursuing others to buy BTC or providing any similar advice. In his interview, he said:
“I have been holding Bitcoins for years, I have been holding cryptocurrencies. I bought them back in 2013, at the beginning of this year I sold a little bit (…), but I hold the vast majority. Some people accuse me of trying to sell cryptocurrencies and saying: buy them. I am absolutely not trying to sell cryptocurrencies to anyone, I have not bought any cryptocurrencies for years, it is a very risky investment”.
BTC Price to Rally Over $100K?
As of press time, the Bitcoin price is trading at $90,547, with a market cap of $1.791 billion. Several market analysts predict BTC will hit $100K by the year-end, however, bulls seem to be taking a wait-and-watch approach. BTC rallied over 32% in a month
Popular crypto analyst Rekt Capital stated that the Bitcoin top hasn’t arrived yet and there’s still 3-4 weeks of rally ahead before calling a top as per the historical trends.
In the 2013, it took 6 weeks of upside into Price Discovery before #BTC experienced any sort of deeper pullback
In the 2017 cycle, BTC rallied 8 weeks into Price Discovery before a deeper pullback
In the 2020/2021 cycle, $BTC rallied 4 weeks into Price Discovery before a deeper…
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) November 17, 2024
Bhushan Akolkar
Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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