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Similarities Between October 2023 And 2024 Suggests The Bitcoin Price May Still Experience ‘Uptober’

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Bitcoin has yet to rally in October, with many bullish proponents awaiting the resumption of an uptrend. Among those closely monitoring the price action in anticipation of an uptrend is a well-known analyst on the social media platform X. This analyst, who goes by the name Ash Crypto, recently highlighted a striking similarity between Bitcoin’s current price behavior and a notable pattern observed earlier in 2023. Ash Crypto pointed to Bitcoin’s decline in early October 2023, which ultimately reversed into a multi-month rally to its current all-time high.

Explaining The Similar Price Action

October 2023 was the turning point for the price of Bitcoin and many cryptocurrencies. It was during this month that the crypto industry finally broke out of a lengthy bear cycle, with Bitcoin heralding the charge toward renewed optimism and significant price gains.

For the first time since January, Bitcoin’s market capitalization surged by an impressive 28.52%, sparking a shift in market dynamics that rippled throughout the industry. Although altcoins followed a similar upward trajectory, their gains were modest compared to Bitcoin. However, their collective impact was able to push the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization past the $1.25 trillion mark for the first time since May 2022.

However, while October 2023 was the start of the new bull cycle, what most investors don’t know or have forgotten is that the month started on a negative note. As Ash Crypto pointed out, the price of Bitcoin dropped by 7.5% in the first week of October 2023. According to the BTC/USD price chart, this decline saw the price of Bitcoin fall below $26,500. However, it soon rebounded from this point. By the end of October 2023, Bitcoin had rallied to close the month at over $35,000, representing a remarkable 33% increase from the month’s low.

Fast forward to October 2024, and it appears that Bitcoin is once again repeating its pattern from the previous year. At the start of the month, Bitcoin was trading just below $64,000, a strong position given its recent bullish trends. However, in a movement similar to October 2023, the cryptocurrency experienced another sharp decline, this time dropping by 6.5% within the first three days. Notably, the price briefly touched $60,750 during this period.

What Does This Mean For Bitcoin?

If history were to repeat itself in full, Bitcoin could maybe or maybe not drop a little bit more before rebounding to the upside. According to Ash Crypto’s projection, a similar 33% surge would see Bitcoin shooting above its current all-time high, with a monthly close right in the middle of $75,000 and $76,000.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin has recovered a bit and is now trading at $61,580. Despite this early setback, many bullish investors are keeping a close eye on Bitcoin in anticipation of Uptober coming to fruition. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price above $61,000 once again | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Crypto Analyst Says Solana-Based BONK Is In Prime Position For Legendary Rally

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Lately, top meme based cryptocurrencies like Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Pepe (PEPE) have been witnessing a spike in their prices. This bullish trend appears to have extended to Solana based meme coin Bonk (BONK), as its price movements has been showing signs of an impending bullish surge. With respect to this, a crypto analyst has suggested that Bonk is currently well-positioned for a significant upward movement. 

Analyst Predicts Legendary Target At $0.000033

Bluntz, a prominent crypto trader and analyst has revealed the next bullish target for Bonk. In an X (formerly Twitter) post on September 30, Bluntz revealed that Bonk is currently in a prime position for a”turbo green week.”

He disclosed that the meme coin had experienced a quick and minor price dip during the week. However, the analyst sees this price decline as a positive sign, suggesting that it creates an opportunity for Bonk to enter a significantly bullish position, potentially triggering a legendary rally. 

Sharing a chart depicting Bonk’s price movements from the past month, Bluntz indicated in his price chart that the meme coin could experience an accelerated price increase to new highs. Presenting an illustration of his predictions of Bonk’s future price movements, the analyst disclosed that the meme coin would rise between the range of $0.000028 and $0.000027 before falling to the support level between $0.000026 and $0.000025. 

BONK 1
Source: X

After this, Bonk is expected to skyrocket to $0.00003, before dropping back to $0.000028. For his final price surge in his projected turbo green week, Bluntz revealed that Bonk will reach a new price high of $0.000033. The analyst also revealed that for Bonk to experience a bullish price breakout, the meme coin will have to undergo three days of essential sideways trading. 

Presently the price of Bonk is trading at $0.00002, reflecting a slight increase of 3.86% in the past week. A jump to projected highs at $0.000033 would require the meme coin to rise by approximately 65% from its current price. 

BONK Set To Outperform PEPE

While maintaining an optimistic outlook on Bonk’s price, Bluntz disclosed that the meme coin may be taking out the meme coin leadership from Pepe. This suggests that as Bonk is gaining more momentum, Pepe’s performance is slowing down after experiencing a significant price increase. 

BONK 2
Source: X

The analyst has identified a “higher low” on the BONK/PEPE chart, which indicates that Bonk is positioning itself for a stronger price rally than Pepe. Typically, a higher low occurs when the price of a cryptocurrency pulls back but maintains its value above its previous low level, signaling a potential continuation of an uptrend.

In the case of Bonk, Bluntz has revealed that it is currently among top meme coins like Dogwifhat (WIF), and Pepe which are presently showing signs of a strong bullish development. Despite this analysis, the cryptocurrency has declined by over 10% in the past 24 hours. 

BONK price chart from Tradingview.com
Price falls to $0.000021 | Source: BONKUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin Starts October In The Red After Crash To $61,000, Is ‘Uptober’ A Myth?

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Bitcoin started the month of October on a negative note, deviating from what many investors had expected leading up to the month. Bitcoin, which had been on a notable price increase earlier, started to face setbacks as September ended, leading up to the first 24 hours of October.

The first 24 hours of October have been riddled with outflows from the crypto industry. Bitcoin, in particular, fell below $61,000, according to Coinmarketcap, as tensions started to rise in the Middle East. Going by this decline, it has raised questions as to the outlook for Bitcoin in the rest of the month. 

Current Bitcoin Price Action

The buzz leading into October centered around expectations that Bitcoin would extend its bullish momentum and break through key resistance levels. According to price data, Bitcoin ended the month of September 7.11% above where it started, even peaking above $66,000 at one point.

However, at the time of writing, Bitcoin has fallen by almost 7% from the September peak. Furthermore, Coinmarketcap data shows that Bitcoin has been down by 3.6% in the past 24 hours. The swift downturn has altered the market’s sentiment, with the once-bullish outlook giving way to fear and uncertainty. The Fear and Greed Index, which gauges the market’s emotions and risk appetite, now reads 39 and signals “Fear.” It would seem crypto investors are now panicking, with crypto analyst Kaleo even calling this to attention on social media platform X.

Bitcoin’s price action is highly sensitive to events in the world. Notably, the recent decline in the price of Bitcoin can be attributed to geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Its recent performance in the face of geopolitical turmoil casts doubts on its role as a safe haven asset. 

Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which are meant to prop up the Bitcoin spot price, also ended eight consecutive days of inflows with massive outflows on October 1, most likely in reaction to the Middle East tensions. According to Spot Bitcoin ETF flow data from Farside Investors, institutional investors pulled out $246.2 million yesterday.

Bitcoin
Source: FarsideUK

Is Uptober A Myth?

The optimistic outlook seems to have faded quickly among many crypto investors. However, many participants are still holding on to the bullish outlook, especially considering the month still has a long way to go before its conclusion. 

History shows, more often than not, that October has always been a positive month for Bitcoin. Most importantly, the positive performance was mostly in the second half of the month. Considering the month is only at its beginning, it is more logical to wait and examine how the price action plays out for the rest of the week before drawing any conclusion on Uptober. 

In the face of these tensions, Bitcoin’s potential role as a safe haven asset similar to gold could rise among market participants in the rest of the month and beyond.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price suffers from bearish pressure | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com





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CryptoQuant CEO Reveals Where We Are This Cycle

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

The Bitcoin mid-September rally has slowed down leading up to the end of the month. Although it ended September at a green monthly candle close, the cryptocurrency has fallen below the psychological $65,000 price mark again, with the fear and greed index returning from greed to neutral sentiment. This seems to have caused some second-guessing among Bitcoin investors. However, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju is not entertaining any such thought.

According to Ki Young Ju, Bitcoin is still in the middle of a bull cycle. This is positive news for Bitcoin investors, as the crypto industry is now transitioning into a historically bullish fourth quarter of the year. 

Bitcoin Bull Market Not Over

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju is part of fervent Bitcoin investors who remain unfazed by the recent price fluctuations. However, his stance isn’t just based on speculations but is backed by technical price data and analysis. Ki Young Ju draws his bullish outlook on the Bitcoin growth rate difference, which presents an interesting outlook on the cryptocurrency. Essentially, the Bitcoin growth rate difference compares the market cap of Bitcoin to its realized cap in order to gauge its bullish or bearish strength.

The market cap of a cryptocurrency is the total value of all coins in circulation, calculated by multiplying the current price by the total supply. In contrast, the realized cap takes into account the actual value paid for each BTC in circulation based on the price at which each coin last moved. A higher market cap growth rate suggests the spot price of the average coin has increased compared to the last it was moved.

According to a Bitcoin technical chart he shared on social media platform X, Ki Young Ju noted that Bitcoin’s market cap is still growing faster than its realized cap, which continues to point to a bull cycle. Notably, the analyst has mentioned in an earlier analysis of the growth rate difference that this trend, which started in late 2023, typically lasts for an average of two years. 

Bitcoin bull market
Source: CryptoQuant

What Does This Mean For BTC?

Going by past bull cycle trends, which Ki Young Ju noted typically lasts for about two years, Bitcoin is expected to continue in a bull cycle for at least more than a year going forward. Furthermore, current fundamentals point to steady growth for Bitcoin as inflows continue to pour in from institutional investors.

Speaking of institutional investors, Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which ended last week with the largest inflow ($494.27 million) since July 22, have begun the new week on a positive note. Particularly, they registered $61.3 million in net inflows yesterday, which is a sign of good things to come. Institutional involvement, especially through vehicles like Spot Bitcoin ETFs, is a crucial factor in BTC’s sustained price growth.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $64,080.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price fails to clear $64,000 resistance | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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