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The lack of soft forks is due to a lack of interest— not a lack of process

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As I explained in a Take two weeks ago, I think the threat (or promise, depending on your perspective) of protocol ossification is somewhat exaggerated, at least at this point in time.

Yes, the rate of soft forks has slowed down significantly over the years, the last one having been Taproot in 2021. But it seems this has more to do with a lack of interest in the potential upgrades that’ve been proposed since then, rather than it being due to the lack of a good process for deploying protocol upgrades. (Although that is not exactly a solved problem either.)

Bitcoin Core developers are generally funded on a no-strings-attached basis or outright volunteers, meaning they’re not required to work on any specific part of the codebase. As such, their time and energy will be dedicated to whatever they find most interesting or important to work on. So far, that hasn’t really been any of the soft fork proposals: the various covenant-style opcodes aren’t unequivocally perceived to offer the type of groundbreaking use cases that deserve prioritization, and while Drivechains sound great in theory, their major downside is still that miners can ultimately steal coins from them.

But even if Bitcoin Core developers aren’t interested, that doesn’t mean it’s impossible to upgrade Bitcoin. For better or worse, anyone with the right skillset (admittedly not a very low bar) can always deploy a soft fork through an alternative client, even as a user activated soft fork (UASF). Yet, despite some rumblings from time to time, no one has done this yet.

I suspect this is at least in part because the proponents of these soft forks aren’t convinced a UASF would actually be successful. And if a UASF wouldn’t be successful, maybe the upgrade is not worth doing in the first place…

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.



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Bitaxe

The Future Of Home Bitcoin Mining Is Bright

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Perhaps the best way to decentralize the Bitcoin network is through home mining, and things are trending in the right direction.

Yesterday, Solo Satoshi announced the Bitaxe Touch, the latest device in the world of home bitcoin mining.

This new device will utilize the BM1370 ASIC chip from the Bitmain S21 Pro and will be able to reach a hashrate of up to 1.6 TH/s.

It will also feature a touch screen that displays Bitcoin network stats including the total network hashrate, overall network difficulty and the block height.

Part of what’s fueling innovation like the Bitaxe Touch is the work of Open Source Miners United, a Discord group started by Skot from Bitaxe with over 5,500 members where home mining enthusiasts share ideas and blueprints for new devices.

The group has been set up so that anyone who wants to contribute to the development of the Bitaxe project can do so, and it even offers grants to certain contributors.

The work of such contributors will likely be made easier when Block releases its own ASIC chip, which mining device developers will be able to use in their machines.

And for those of you who aren’t so technically-inclined but who still want to get into the home mining space (and who live in colder climates), you can always purchase a Heatbit, which is essentially a plug-and-play home mining device that also serves as a space heater and an air purifier.

Even with all of these new devices coming to market, I still believe we’re in the early innings of the home bitcoin mining movement and that this space will continue to blossom as more developers and everyday people enter into it.

Indeed, the future of home mining is looking bright.





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America

Buying Greenland Would Be A Huge Boost to US Bitcoin Mining

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In less than two weeks, the United States will have a new administration in office, but there’s already much debate about President-elect Donald Trump and his policies.

One of the most controversial — his expressed interest in purchasing Greenland for strategic, economic and political reasons.

Trump claims that buying Greenland would be vital to U.S. national security, both for monitoring and defense purposes given its location near Canada and Russia, as well as its energy.

On that note, Greenland is of interest given its vast amount of natural resources in hydropower, wind power, geothermal energy, and rare earth minerals. This is particularly interesting from a Bitcoin perspective, especially given Greenland’s cold climate and lack of Bitcoin mining there currently now presents an entirely new opportunity for the country.

The majority of American Bitcoin mining today is done in the states of Texas, Georgia, New York and North Dakota. Purchasing Greenland could give the United States the opportunity to mine in more favorable conditions and further increase and decentralize the hashrate of Bitcoin.

Image via Muad Dib

This could also be a strategic play for America, considering Russia’s Vladimir Putin had signed a law to legalize Bitcoin mining in August of 2024 and stated in 2022 that the country has “some competitive advantages” in Bitcoin mining given its cold climate.

With Donald Trump’s ongoing support of American Bitcoin miners and expressed interest in leading in this industry before competing countries embrace it — this gives Trump the opportunity to drastically expand U.S. dominance in Bitcoin mining under favorable conditions.

This wouldn’t just be a win for America, but Greenland would also benefit from it as well. Greenland is highly dependent on the Danish government for financial support, and Bitcoin mining could offer an alternative economic avenue. Greenland would then have the full support of the United States government to utilize their natural and untapped resources to mine Bitcoin and get anything else they need support in. Greenland would then be able to create more jobs to build the needed infrastructure to run these operations and bring in additional revenue from the mined bitcoin. And as the price of Bitcoin goes up, that only makes the mined BTC and mining operations all the more valuable. Seems like a win-win to me.

Trump is very eager to acquire Greenland and make it a U.S. territory. If he does, it could be a massive boost for Bitcoin as well.

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.





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bear market

Don't Buy The Bitcoin Dip

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With bitcoin’s price dipping significantly below $100k again, the “buy the dip” cheerleaders are out in full force.

But I’m here to offer a different perspective: Don’t buy the dip.

Before I continue, let me please make it clear that nothing that I write in this Take is investment advice.

Why would I say such a thing? Is it that I hate bitcoin all of a sudden?

No.

I have other reasons for making such a statement.

The first is that I’m trying to keep you from becoming exit liquidity for people like this:

The second is that I like to buy bitcoin when it’s truly selling at a discount, not just when it appears to be selling at one.

Let me explain.

Right now, bitcoin is trading about 13% off of its all-time highs. While that may be a significant discount for an asset in the world of traditional finance, it’s hardly more than a daily fluctuation in the world of bitcoin.

In the four-year bitcoin cycles, bitcoin’s price tends to skyrocket during the years of and after its halving. And then the year that follows tends to be pretty terrible for bitcoin’s price. During that year, bitcoin’s price hits a low, which tends to be in the range of the prior cycle’s high.

That was a bit confusing, so let me give you an example.

In 2022, the last “pretty terrible” year, bitcoin’s price dropped to about $15,500, which was actually about $3,500 lower than bitcoin’s top from the previous cycle — $20,000.

If something comparable were to happen in 2026, we’d see bitcoin’s price at approximately $53k (23% below the previous cycle’s all-time high of $69k). Now, that would be a significant discount and a dip worth buying.

I don’t share this perspective to dissuade you from continuing with something like a dollar-cost averaging bitcoin investment strategy (one of the best strategies out there for the average retail investor). Instead, I share it because if a loved one came to me and asked me if now was a good time to buy bitcoin, I’d say “not really.”

I try to maximize the financial upside (in fiat terms) of investing in bitcoin as much as possible for those who ask me about investing in it — especially those who are new to it. And while I could maybe help someone trade in and out of a bitcoin position in the next year or so, I don’t like to do this, as I encourage people to buy and hold bitcoin for the long haul.

But, Frank, the U.S. might announce a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and other nations may follow suit! And look at all the companies buying bitcoin for their treasuries!

Yes, these things are happening, and so are things like Bhutan selling bitcoin and so have things like Germany selling bitcoin and Tesla selling bitcoin.

Up until now, all bitcoin price cycles have been similar. So, while it looks like we have another year of bitcoin price upside in store for us, I think we drop far lower than this current price level when the tables turn.

And that’s when I’ll be proactively buying.

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.





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