Donald Trump
The real winner of the 2024 US elections will be crypto
Published
3 months agoon
By
adminDisclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.
Crypto is the darling of the 2024 elections, and I’m totally here for it. For the first time in history, two presidential candidates are actively courting the crypto vote. Donald Trump made his pitch at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference addressing crypto voters, which was met with an astonishing vote of support from the crypto community. Democrats, unwilling to concede the crypto vote to Trump, held a crypto reset meeting with prominent industry leaders and also launched Crypto for Harris.
However, in the not-so-distant past, many proclaimed crypto “dead.” The industry experienced a brutal crypto winter, losing over two trillion in market cap in 2022 and global scrutiny from regulators. Now, two years later, crypto has emerged as the dominant player in the 2024 elections. Game on.
The SEC’s villain origin story
Crypto’s ascension into a key player on the political stage is rooted in its antagonistic sparring with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. According to Binance attorneys, Gary Gensler approached Binance to become an advisor in 2019, but the company rejected his offer.
Since 2021, there has been a considerable uptick in SEC crypto-related cases since President Joe Biden appointed Gary Gensler SEC Chair/Biden. Coincidence? I think not. Three court cases that truly establish the SEC as the chief crypto supervillain:
- Number one, in the Telegram court case, the company had to return over a billion US dollars from a token raise. Ushering the reign in of SAFTs, Simple Agreement For Future Tokens contracts, and the ICO boom in the US.
- Number two is the Ripple Labs case, which ultimately found Ripple (XRP) to be a security on the institutional side but not a security on the retail side.
- Third, the BitMEX case, where the arrests of the founders of such top-tier exchange for AML/KYC violations, usually a slap on the wrist, shook the industry.
The legal actions taken against these companies were like warning shots fired by the SEC, foreshadowing the heavy hand they would take towards major crypto companies.
The switch up: From a friend to a foe
Once crypto winter hit, after Terra Luna collapsed, public sentiment was that bad actors in space need to be removed and held accountable. Seizing on the opportunity, the SEC began its crypto crackdown, handing out Wells notices like Halloween candy, forcing some companies to divest from US operations or close up shop to stop the bleeding.
Even companies once seen as allies became targets. The irony is that the SEC accused Coinbase of operating an illicit exchange. Coinbase has acted as a custodian of the US government, working directly with the US Marshals Service to sell Bitcoin (BTC) confiscated from the “illicit” website, the Silk Road.
This is a rather strange “UNO reverse” move by the SEC since Coinbase is US-based, a BitLicense holder, along with being a publicly traded company.
Crypto fights back
A major noticeable change is the crypto industry has gone on the offensive, accusing federal regulators of refusing to create reasonable crypto regulations and guidelines for the industry. Gemini COO Marshall Beard voiced his frustration in an interview with Bloomberg TV: “We’ve been asking for broader regulation, we’ve been doing this for a decade now, and the US does not have a broad crypto regulation framework.”
Key players in the crypto space beefed up government relations efforts by partnering with lobbying firms and donating campaign dollars to crypto-friendly candidates. Some have even hit back by counter-suing the SEC.
According to Open Secrets, a campaign finance tracking site, crypto political campaign contributions have dramatically increased from the 2020 election cycle to 2022. Nearly 50% of the corporate donations are coming from crypto companies. To top it off, Fairshake is the largest Super PAC, crypto industry-funded, in this campaign cycle, raising over $200 million. Solidifying crypto’s dominance and influence in the 2024 elections.
Key voting block in swing states
Crypto voters are taking front and center in the 2024 US Presidential elections. Perianne Boring, CEO and founder of the Chamber of Digital Commerce, accurately predicted this scenario in a 2022 CNBC interview:
“I think that the watershed moment for crypto and politics is likely to be in 2024 and I think the next presidential election. The candidate that is able to figure out how to leverage blockchain to tap into the crypto community is going to be our next president.”
Political analysts anticipate the US Presidential election to be a very tight race, where small factions in the electorate may hold the key to victory. The crypto industry has taken note, going to painstaking lengths to position crypto as a wedge issue, collecting extensive data and research about swing voters.
Data from a recent Harris poll suggests that one in five battleground state voters consider crypto a key issue. The industry as a whole has crypto voters who are very engaged, very active, and very aware of their power in the upcoming election.
Stand With Crypto, a pro-crypto advocacy group, has already amassed close to 1.5 million online registrations. Their America Loves Crypto Tour is hitting five battleground states in September to increase crypto voter turnout.
Playing all sides to win
Crypto lobbying groups have pledged no allegiance to any side and actively donate to both Republicans and Democrats. However, that has not stopped crypto leaders like Arthur Hayes and Charles Hoskinson from weighing in on the elections. With some going as far as endorsing candidates.
The Winklevoss twins have thrown their support behind Donald Trump, while Ripple’s co-founder, Chris Larsen, is backing Kamala Harris. Crypto industry visibility has surpassed anything seen in previous campaign cycles. It’s positioned its community as a key voting demographic so that candidates must earn their votes.
Regardless of which candidate wins, crypto has proven to be the real winner of the 2024 elections by coming back from a brutal crypto winter and an equally difficult assault from federal regulators: Going from being written off completely by mainstream media to artfully mastering DC politics, rising from the ashes like a Phoenix.
Courage Kimber
Courage Kimber is a web3 strategist and blockchain consultant. Courage has worked in the web industry for over ten years. During that time, she’s gained a wealth of experience in web strategy management, e-commerce, and digital transformation. In recent years, she’s ventured into the blockchain space and consulting for companies and C-Suite execs on content strategy and management. She is highly passionate about her work and takes pride in helping others.
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Donald Trump
Michael Saylor is willing to advise Trump on the crypto policy
Published
3 days agoon
December 21, 2024By
adminMicroStrategy Inc. co-founder and executive Chairman Michael Saylor says he is willing to advise Trump on cryptocurrency policy when the crypto advisory council is set.
During the Dec. 18 episode of the Open Interest show on Bloomberg Television, Saylor voiced his willingness to provide his advice on the digital assets policy to President-elect Donald Trump, either publicly or confidently, if he is asked to do so.
Before expressing his willingness to advise Trump on the crypto policy, Saylor admitted that he had already met “with a lot of people” in the incoming administration but declined to specify the personalities nor mentioned if he already met Trump.
Is Saylor fit for a position?
Since the 2020s, Michael Saylor has been one of the key Bitcoin advocates and investors. Saylor is one who puts money where his mouth is, as he personally spent around one billion dollars on BTC. In 2020, Saylor took to X (Twitter at the time) to announce that he personally owns 17,732 bitcoins and that he acquired these coins before MicroStrategy (MSTR) made the first massive purchase of bitcoins. YahooFinance! reports that currently MicroStrategy owns around 440,000 BTC, which is close to a 2% share of the entire BTC supply. MicroStrategy made headlines on the eve of the latest BTC price peak when the company was included in the Nasdaq 100 index.
Michael Saylor names Bitcoin an apex property of the human race and has an insatiable thirst for bitcoins. He compares Bitcoin to the territories like Manhattan or Alaska that were bought by the early colonist administration, specifying that Bitcoin is rather a kind of cyberspace. That’s why MicroStrategy aims to own bitcoins in bulk. According to Saylor, buying as much of this “space” as possible is crucial for the United States. This vision speaks to the statement posted by Donald Trump on the Truth Social platform. “We want all the remaining Bitcoin to be MADE IN THE USA!” the post reads.
Saylor singled out Trump as the most crypto-friendly Republican politician. It seems that Saylor shares the President-elect’s views on Bitcoin. Although not an outright GOP supporter, in September, Saylor made claims that he sees Republicans as a more progressive party when it comes to cryptocurrency regulation. He names regulation pressure decrease, treating crypto as a tool to boost the U.S. economy, and encouraging individuals to pursue their economic aims using digital finance as progressive characteristics of the Republican approach to the crypto industry.
What Do We Know About the Crypto Advisory Council?
Trump proposed the creation of a crypto advisory council during his now famous speech at the Nashville cryptocurrency conference in July 2024. As of December, not much information about the preparations of this council has been made public.
The participating companies’ lineup is not clear yet. However, it has been reported that such brands as Coinbase, Ripple Labs, Paradigm, and Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) are seeking interactions with the incoming administration. Allegedly, an a16z rep was involved in advising the Trump team during the presidential campaign. On December 6, Trump introduced entrepreneur and venture capitalist David O. Sacks as the “White House A.I. and Crypto Czar” via the Truth Social post.
It’s worth saying that, to say the least, before 2024, Trump wasn’t an avid crypto enthusiast. In the past, the President-elect made a series of anti-crypto remarks, calling Bitcoin “not money” and saying that the value of cryptocurrencies is based on thin air.
However, the 2024 Presidential campaign saw a drastic change in Trump’s stance on crypto. He started to take donations in digital currencies, visited a major crypto conference in Nashville where he promised to make America “a crypto capital of the world,” and made several important proposals concerning the cryptocurrency policy.
On top of tax cuts for the U.S. cryptocurrency companies, the removal of Gary Gensler from the SEC, and the creation of the strategic Bitcoin reserve, Trump announced the creation of the advisory body with the leading position granted to the richest man on Earth and his passionate supporter Elon Musk. This unofficial agency is called The Department of Government Efficiency, or simply DOGE, a reference to a legendary memecoin, a notorious soft place of a Tesla CEO. Who knows just what else to expect from Donald Trump when he goes crypto?
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China
China May Be On the Verge of Ending Its Bitcoin Ban
Published
6 days agoon
December 18, 2024By
adminLook, I think it’s only a matter of time before China pulls a complete 180 on its Bitcoin ban. Yes, they outlawed trading and mining back in 2021, but honestly, a lot has changed since then — especially this year. Bitcoin’s momentum globally has been insane.
We’ve seen US President-Elect Donald Trump calling to stockpile Bitcoin; Bitcoin ETFs get approved, Fed Chair Jerome Powell calling Bitcoin “digital gold,” Larry Fink flipping pro-Bitcoin, and even Putin saying nice things about it. With all of this happening, I wouldn’t be shocked if China has already started quietly stacking sats (buying bitcoin).
Here’s why I think that: China doesn’t like to announce what it’s doing beforehand — it’s just not how they operate. Former Binance CEO CZ talked about this recently at the Bitcoin MENA conference in Abu Dhabi, saying that while the US loves to make big public statements about upcoming policies (like Trump announcing Bitcoin plans to court voters), Asian countries prefer to move in silence.
And let’s not forget China doesn’t have elections. They don’t need to win over public opinion like Trump does. If they’re making moves with Bitcoin, they’ll do it quietly — and we’ll find out when they’re ready to make it official.
Now, with Trump’s big push for Bitcoin and crypto, I can’t see China sitting on the sidelines for too long. This is turning into a global race, and if China wants to stay competitive, they can’t afford to miss the Bitcoin train. My gut tells me they’re already planning to unban Bitcoin and crypto — and I wouldn’t be surprised if it happens as early as Q1 next year, especially if Trump takes office.
Another big hint? Hong Kong. China has a long history of using Hong Kong as a sandbox to test things before rolling them out on the mainland. And this year, we’ve seen Hong Kong make major moves — approving Bitcoin and crypto ETFs and greenlighting more crypto exchanges. Let’s be real: this isn’t a coincidence. They are planning to eliminate crypto taxes for institutions. I think China is watching carefully, and these are early steps toward a broader shift.
In my opinion, China has likely been quietly accumulating bitcoin all along. When the time is right, they’ll unban it — and not just to compete with the US, but to lead. Watch this space. I think it’s going to happen much sooner than most people expect.
This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin Sell-Off Likely When This Metric Reaches 4%, Analyst Explains
Published
1 week agoon
December 14, 2024By
adminWhile Bitcoin (BTC) fluctuates around the critical $100,000 price level, some investors may seek the ideal opportunity to take profits and exit the market. In this context, a CryptoQuant analysis highlights a key BTC metric that can serve as a valuable tool for crafting an exit strategy.
Have Profits In Bitcoin? Keep An Eye On This Indicator
In a Quicktake blog post published today, CryptoQuant contributor Onchain Edge shared insights into timing the sale of BTC during the current bull market. The analyst emphasized the importance of the Bitcoin supply in loss metric, noting its potential to signal when to start exiting the market to preserve profits.
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For those unfamiliar with Bitcoin, the supply in loss measures the percentage of BTC held at a loss based on its last moved price. A low percentage of supply in loss typically indicates peak market euphoria and serves as a warning to secure profits before a bear market correction begins.
According to the CryptoQuant analysis, when BTC supply in loss drops below 4%, it signals a good time for investors to consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) out of their BTC holdings and wait for the next bear market lows. Currently, the BTC supply in loss sits at 8.14%.
DCA is an investment strategy where investors allocate a fixed amount of money to an asset at regular intervals, regardless of its price. This method helps reduce the impact of market volatility and lowers the average cost per unit over time. The analyst adds:
Why? Below 4% means a lot of people are in a profit this is the peak bullrun phase. Trust me you don’t want to be bagholding because you thought we will never see a bear market again. Be fearful when others are greedy.
Analysts Confident Of Further Upside In BTC Price
While tracking the BTC supply in loss metric can help investors safeguard their profits, recent forecasts from crypto analysts suggest there might still be room for further upside before this indicator becomes crucial.
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According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, BTC forms a classic cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart. The premier cryptocurrency looks poised to break out of the bullish formation, with targets as high as $275,000.
Similarly, Donald Trump’s victory has brought fresh optimism in the crypto industry. In the recently concluded Bitcoin MENA conference in Abu Dhabi, Trump’s former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, noted that BTC investors can “expect more than $100,000” during the ongoing market cycle.
Other forecasts remain equally bullish. Tom Dunleavy, Chief Investment Officer at MV Global, projects BTC to reach $250,000, while Ethereum (ETH) might climb to $12,000 during this market cycle. BTC trades at $100,983 at press time, up a modest 0.1% in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
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