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This Week in Coins: Bitcoin Ends in the Red, but Some Alts Survive a Crazy Week

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This week in Coins
Illustration by Mitchell Preffer for Decrypt.

When people talk about crypto’s volatile nature, they’re referring to weeks like this. 

Bitcoin was at one point trading for below $50,000 per coin on Monday after a jobs report sparked fears that the U.S. economy was headed in the wrong direction.

And a phenomenon dubbed the “carry trade”—a well-known trick where traders around the world use a different currency to buy risk assets denominated in dollars—seemed to be coming undone when the Japanese yen started rising against the greenback. 

The surge in the yen’s value, which was caused by the Japanese central bank raising interest rates, spooked investors, who then flogged risk assets.

This, combined with tensions in the Middle East, meant everything was hit—and hard—including Bitcoin. But fast-forward a few days and major coins and tokens were up again (with U.S. stocks) on news that showed that unemployment filings were actually not as bad as expected.

The price of Bitcoin rolling into the weekend was $60,440, according to CoinGecko. That’s a dip over the week of 3%—and given where things started, a marked relief.

Ethereum was knocked harder by the early week volatility. Experts told Decrypt that ETH investors are less loyal to the coin than Bitcoin or Solana, and therefore it’s prone to bigger sell-offs.

Now, the price of Ethereum stands at $2,605 after losing more than 12% of its value over a seven-day period.

Most major altcoins are also down over the week—except for XRP, the seventh-biggest digital coin by market cap. News broke earlier in the week that Ripple, the company whose founders created XRP, had been ordered to pay a $125 million fine to the Securities and Exchange Commission. 

The ruling—which ends a 2020 lawsuit—was deemed a win because the regulator had asked for a $2 billion penalty. 

XRP surged on the result, but it is up just 2% over the week now, priced at $0.58 after dropping from $0.64. Zooming out over a 30-day period, though, and the coin is up over 30%.

A major gainer over the past week was Sui, which surged on news that crypto asset manager Grayscale was launching a fund for the asset. Created last year by ex-Meta engineers, the coin has surged over 35% in seven days and is now priced at $0.87.

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Polymarket on the Hunt for $50 Million Amid Potential Token Launch: Report

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Blockchain-based predictions platform Polymarket is seeking an additional $50 million in new capital amid potential plans to launch a token, The Information reported Monday.

Investors in the round will be issued token warrants, giving them the right to purchase tokens if Polymarket decides to launch them in the future, the outlet reported, citing anonymous sources.

It’s unclear whether the tokens will provide additional utility within the platform. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan did not immediately return a request for comment.

It follows the platform’s $70 million raise over two rounds this year, where it picked up $25 million in a Series A led by General Catalyst and an additional $45 million in Series B funding with participation from Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin.

Polymarket has been riding high on U.S. election fervor this year, capturing nearly $1 billion in trade volume from those taking a punt on who will become the country’s 47th president.

Built atop the Ethereum and Polygon blockchain networks, Polymarket allows participants to buy and sell shares in different possible outcomes of real-world events. The price of one “share” in a prediction market ranges from $0.00 to $1, and its price correlates to its percentage chance of winning, or its “odds.”

While speculation on who will take the White House in November has helped fuel the platform’s recent surge in popularity, Polymarket also allows betting on pop culture, sporting, and other political events.

And traders are taking outsized bets this year, with total trading volume reaching its highest point on the platform last month, topping out at $472.8 million, according to one Dune dashboard.

Its popularity has led those within the Polymarket community to opine in recent weeks on the possibility of a token to help fund operations, as the platform does not currently charge users fees.

Traders have started altering their behavior in response to the speculation, attempting to artificially boost their trading volume in hopes of securing a larger airdrop reward, according to whales, or large traders, monitoring the activity, Decrypt previously reported.

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Cardano’s Chang Hard Fork Introduces On-Chain Governance

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On Sept. 1 at 21:44 UTC, layer-1 blockchain Cardano executed the ‘Chang’ hard fork at block 10,764,778, entering the “Voltaire Era” and introducing on-chain governance using its native token ADA.

Following the hard fork, ADA token holders now have the power to elect representatives and vote on key development proposals.

According to the Cardano roadmap, the Voltaire era “will provide the final pieces required for the Cardano network to become a self-sustaining system.” It added that the introduction of a voting and treasury system will enable network participants to “use their stake and voting rights to influence the future development of the network.”

Not mincing his words, Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson lauded the hard fork as “one of the greatest technical achievements in human history.”

In a tweet, the Cardano Foundation wrote that the hard fork “marks a major milestone for the Cardano blockchain, ecosystem, and community––fulfilling the promise of a truly self-governing, decentralized network.”

What is a hard fork?

A hard fork occurs when changes are made to a blockchain’s rules, resulting in a new, parallel blockchain that runs alongside the original. Cardano’s latest hard fork is named in honor of Phil Chang, the executive who spearheaded the Voltaire initiative at IOHK.

Under Cardano’s new governance model, the Cardano Foundation, Input Output Global (IOHK), and Emurgo no longer hold exclusive authority over decisions related to hard forks and other major upgrades.

The CIP-1694 lays out that three key bodies will form the foundation of Cardano’s new governance model: the constitutional committee (CC), delegate representatives (Dreps), and stake pool operators (SOPs).

The Chang hard fork is being rolled out in two phases. The first phase, currently live, introduced the constitutional committee, responsible for overseeing the governance transition.

Phase 2 will introduce DReps, letting ADA holders delegate their voting power to streamline governance, along with an on-chain voting system, all set for full implementation by 2025.

The hard fork also triggered the activation of Plutus v3, which delivers advanced smart contract efficiency, cryptographic primitives, and governance integrations.

However, the much-anticipated upgrade couldn’t prevent Cardano’s price from sinking alongside the wider crypto market, with ADA slipping by 2.6% over the past 24 hours, per data from CoinGecko.

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Native BTC Staking Is Coming to Bitcoin Layer-2 Networks, Babylon Says

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Staking Bitcoin is fast becoming a reality—a functionality once the sole privilege of proof-of-stake crypto networks.

Thanks to Babylon, HODLers can already lock up their BTC, which will soon be used to secure and earn yield from multiple staking-based blockchains at a time. While this has enormous implications for the entire crypto economy, its consequences may be most strongly felt in an ecosystem that’s just getting started: Bitcoin layer-2 networks.

“Bitcoin L2s [are] definitely a very important part of our customers,” said David Tse, co-founder of Babylon, in an interview with Decrypt. “Bitcoin staking becomes a mechanism where the L2s can get security from Bitcoin.”

Since the rise of Bitcoin’s Ordinals protocol in early 2023, developer activity and experimentation on Bitcoin have seen a stark revival. In particular, after Robin Linus unveiled the computational framework “BitVM” last October, a flurry of new models for decentralized Bitcoin layers have come onto the scene.

The term “Bitcoin L2” is thrown around loosely, but is generally understood as a system that builds “on top of Bitcoin.” It either complements Bitcoin, inherits its decentralization and security, or uses BTC as a currency—or some combination of the three.

Babylon adjusts that understanding to include being secured by BTC the asset—not just the network.

“Bitcoin L2 is a very important source of demand for us,” said Tse. “They want to get liquidity from Bitcoin, [and] they want to get security from the most secure chain in the world.”

The co-founder said he’s already in conversation with Build On Bitcoin (BOB), a hybrid Ethereum and Bitcoin L2, to potentially introduce Bitcoin staking to the network.

To clarify, Babylon’s Bitcoin staking functionality does not require a “wrapped” or bridged version of BTC on a separate blockchain. All staked coins are locked up on layer-1, and are fully controlled by their owners’ Bitcoin private keys.

Earlier this month, Babylon launched Phase 1 of its staking mainnet, opening the floodgates for users to lock up their BTC for future staking. At first, the team capped their system to hold up to 1,000 BTC, which was well under the demand that Babylon had already accrued for their product.

This triggered an on-chain race and fee war among users to see their staking deposits processed first, which spiked the Bitcoin network’s transaction fees far higher than even the team expected.

“The 1,000 Bitcoin cap is very much for security reasons,” Tse said. “We expect as the cap increases, the competition in terms of the gas war will be lower.”

Compared to altcoin chains, the co-founder said that accessing Bitcoin staking will be much easier. Unlike Ethereum, Babylon’s delegated staking model lets validators handle the technical burden of running the network and providing security.
Furthermore, whereas Ethereum requires at least 32 ETH ($80,800) to solo stake, Babylon imposes no such minimums aside from the cost to process the transaction.

After that, a user’s Bitcoin will be able to generate them what Babylon calls safe yield—potentially across multiple blockchains at once. The only risk involved would be slashing risk at a protocol level, if the validator you trust with your stake behaves dishonestly.

Theoretically, a protocol like Babylon could put to work hundreds of billions of dollars in BTC that is currently idle, bolstering its current role as a store of value asset.

When asked whether BTC staking could pose a competitive threat to the value of altcoins that once held this functionality over BTC, Tse provided a more optimistic outlook. He said Babylon could save proof-of-stake chains from needing to rapidly dilute their native assets to keep their systems secure, by securing their networks using BTC capital instead.

“It is very expensive to attract people to buy the native asset in order to provide staking,” he explained. “They end up paying a very high yield. Therefore, it is very unhealthy for the tokens of these projects.”

Tse predicts a future where staking on Bitcoin is as popular as it is on Ethereum, where about 28% of the circulating supply is currently staked. However, that staked capital would still be unlocked through liquid staking tokens with which stakers can still access other emerging Bitcoin applications, like lending, borrowing, and trading.

“I think that is why staking is such a fundamental use case of an asset,” he concluded, “and that is why we’re excited about giving this to the biggest asset.”

Edited by Ryan Ozawa

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