Markets
Too Soon? Bitcoin Price Spike to $200K Is ‘Achievable’ in 2025, Says Analyst
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2 weeks agoon
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adminNot long after Bitcoin’s climb past $100,000, some analysts are predicting that the asset’s price could double in a year’s time.
In a Thursday research note, Standard Chartered’s Global Head of Digital Assets Research Geoff Kendrick wrote that Bitcoin’s record-setting rally has been bolstered primarily by flows from institutional investors, who are flocking to spot ETFs. Meanwhile, the laser-eyed, Bitcoin-buying firm MicroStrategy has been vacuuming up the asset at a faster-than-expected clip.
“In 2025, we expect institutional flows to continue at or above the 2024 pace,” Kendrick wrote, noting that regulatory shifts under President-elect Donald Trump could stoke stronger flows. “Against this backdrop, we think our end-2025 Bitcoin price target around the $200,000 level is achievable.”
Since MicroStrategy, a self-described Bitcoin development firm, unveiled a $42 billion plan to buy Bitcoin over the next three years using equity and debt, the company has been “running well ahead” of schedule, Kendrick wrote. Indeed, the company’s trove of 402,100 Bitcoin, worth over $40.5 billion, has grown by 150,000 Bitcoin since Election Day—a more than $15 billion jump.
When it comes to Bitcoin flows beyond MicroStrategy, the Standard Chartered analyst sees pension funds allocating to spot Bitcoin ETFs at a heightened pace in 2025. If U.S. retirement funds or global sovereign wealth funds notch notable allocations too, Standard Chartered would grow even more bullish on Bitcoin’s price, Kendrick wrote.
As one of President-elect Donald Trump’s many crypto promises, a U.S. strategic reserve of Bitcoin would also be particularly bullish, Kendrick added, even though he sees it as a “low-probability” event.
On Wednesday, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong wrote on X (formerly known as Twitter) that “every government” should consider establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve.
As the Standard Chartered analyst focused on Bitcoin’s price by the end of 2025, others focused on what the move above (and below) $100,000 could mean in the short term.
Matt Mena, a crypto research strategist at 21Shares, pointed to the $100,000 mark as a key psychological milestone for Bitcoin Thursday. In a statement, he said that the historic breakthrough could “attract a new wave of investors,” who had previously been sitting on the sidelines.
Those who are already in the Bitcoin market, however, might take profits as the asset crosses the $100,000 barrier, according to Brent Kenwell, an investment analyst at eToro. In a statement, he said Thursday, “It would not be surprising to see Bitcoin—which is up more than 40% since the election—see a bit of a pause.”
After peaking around $103,600 Thursday, the price of Bitcoin slipped as low as $93,000. But on Friday afternoon, BTC again touched $102,000 after creeping upward following Thursday’s surprise flash crash, and it still remains above the $100,000 mark as of this writing.
Prior to the asset’s fall below Wednesday’s historic mark, FXTM Senior Market Analyst Lukman Otunuga had said in a statement that a deeper pullback could be in the cards. That prediction quickly proved accurate.
“A strong weekly close above $100,000 may signal further upside,” he wrote. “However, should prices slip below this key level—bears could target $95,000.”
Edited by Andrew Hayward
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DeFi
DeFi Protocol Usual’s Surge Catapults Hashnote’s Tokenized Treasury Over BlackRock’s BUIDL
Published
12 hours agoon
December 22, 2024By
adminThere’s been a change of guard at the rankings of the $3.4 billion tokenized Treasuries market.
Asset manager Hashnote’s USYC token zoomed over $1.2 billion in market capitalization, growing five-fold in size over the past three months, rwa.xyz data shows. It has toppled the $450 million BUIDL, issued by asset management behemoth BlackRock and tokenization firm Securitize, which was the largest product by size since April.
USYC is the token representation of the Hashnote International Short Duration Yield Fund, which, according to the company’s website, invests in reverse repo agreements on U.S. government-backed securities and Treasury bills held in custody at the Bank of New York Mellon.
Hashnote’s quick growth underscores the importance of interconnecting tokenized products with decentralized finance (DeFi) applications and presenting their tokens available as building blocks for other products — or composability, in crypto lingo — to scale and reach broader adoption. It also showcases crypto investors’ appetite for yield-generating stablecoins, which are increasingly backed by tokenized products.
USYC, for example, has greatly benefited from the rapid ascent of the budding decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Usual and its real-world asset-backed, yield-generating stablecoin, USD0.
Usual is pursuing the market share of centralized stablecoins like Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC by redistributing a portion of revenues from its stablecoin’s backing assets to holders. USD0 is primarily backed by USYC currently, but the protocol aims to add more RWAs to reserves in the future. It has recently announced the addition of Ethena’s USDtb stablecoin, which is built on top of BUIDL.
“The bull market triggered a massive inflow into stablecoins, yet the core issue with the largest stablecoins remains: they lack rewards for end users and do not give access to the yield they generate,” said David Shuttleworth, partner at Anagram. “Moreover, users do not get access to the protocol’s equity by holding USDT or USDC.”
“Usual’s appeal is that it redistributes the yield along with ownership in the protocol back to users,” he added.
The protocol, and hence its USD0 stablecoin, has raked in $1.3 billion over the past few months as crypto investors chased on-chain yield opportunities. Another significant catalyst of growth was the protocol’s governance token (USUAL) airdrop and exchange listing on Wednesday. USUAL started trading on Binance on Wednesday, and vastly outperformed the shaky broader crypto market, appreciating some 50% since then, per CoinGecko data.
BlackRock’s BUIDL also enjoyed rapid growth earlier this year, driven by DeFi platform Ondo Finance making the token the key reserve asset of its own yield-earning product, the Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries (OUSG) token.
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Markets
Chainlink price double bottoms as whales accumulate
Published
16 hours agoon
December 22, 2024By
adminChainlink formed a double-bottom pattern, pointing to a potential rebound, as signs showed that some whales were accumulating the token.
Chainlink (LINK), the biggest oracle provider, bottomed at $20.12 on Friday and rebounded to $22.50 on Sunday, Dec. 22. Still, the coin remains about 27% from its highest point this month, meaning that it is in a bear market.
A potential catalyst for the LINK token is that whales are accumulating it. According to LookOnChain, nine new wallets withdrew 362,380 coins from Binance in the last two days. These coins are now valued at over $8.19 million.
Crypto.news reported last week that another whale accumulated 65,000 LINK coins valued at $1.8 million.
These whales bought Chainlink a week after World Liberty Financial (WLFI), the DeFi platform launched by the Trump family, bought over 78,300 LINK tokens valued at over $1.7 million. It’s worth noting that President-elect Trump and his family mostly own WLFI tokens.
Chainlink, known in the crypto industry for its fundamentals, is the biggest oracle in the sector with over $35 billion in total value secured. That figure is higher than its biggest competitors like Chronicle, Pyth, Edge, and Redstone.
Chainlink’s ecosystem will likely grow as more chains and networks embrace its technology. Justin Sun’s Tron, the most recent chain to use its oracles, has switched from WINKLink to Chainlink.
Chainlink has also formed major partnerships in the Real World Asset tokenization industry, including by companies like Coinbase, Emirates NBD, SWIFT, and UBS.
Chainlink price formed a double-bottom pattern
LINK, like other cryptocurrencies, has dropped sharply in the past few days as concerns about the Federal Reserve remained.
The token has remained above the 50-day moving average on the daily chart. Most importantly, it has formed a double-bottom chart pattern at $20.12. This pattern happens when an asset fails to move below a specific price two times. It is one of the most bullish reversal patterns in the market.
LINK has also formed an inverse hammer pattern, a popular reversal sign. Therefore, the coin is likely to bounce back in the next few days as investors target the key psychological at $30, which is about 35% above the current level.
On the flip side, the bullish view will become invalid if the coin drops below the double-bottom point at $20.12.
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Markets
Dog Memecoins Rebound as Bitcoin Reaches $98,000
Published
2 days agoon
December 21, 2024By
adminSolana-based bonk (BONK) led growth among dog-themed memes Saturday as bitcoin staged a recovery rally to above $98,000, a day after Friday’s bloodbath that pushed it near $93,000.
BONK surged 30%, CoinGecko data shows, with dogecoin (DOGE), shiba inu (SHIB), dogwifhat (WIF) and floki (FLOKI) surging as much as 20%. The dog-themed token category gained 8% on average in the past 24 hours, beating a market-wide jump of 4.5% as tracked by the broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index.
Memecoins are known for their high volatility and tend to outperform major tokens during price rallies, serving as a leveraged bet on the overall crypto market sentiment.
However, in this case, fundamentals are helping back gains and sentiment among some memecoins. FLOKI was named alongside ether (ETH) and Avalanche’s AVAX as a utility token in a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) meeting last month.
The derivatives regulator proposed in a Global Markets Advisory Committee (GMAC) a new class of assets termed utility tokens, which fulfill six criteria that include providing their holder “immediately available, non-incidental consumptive use” in a crypto platform without including “governance and voting abilities.”
“FLOKI was recently highlighted by the CFTC’s Global Markets Advisory Committee as a case study of a utility token, which is a big deal and validates Floki’s utility-first approach,” Floki lead developer B told CoinDesk in a Telegram message. “Floki’s Valhalla metaverse game will go live in early Q1 2024, and the recently released Floki Trading Bot has generated over a million dollars in fees.
“This puts Floki on an entirely different level from other memecoins, especially when the market turns and people start to pay attention to fundamentals again,” B added.
Elsewhere, interest in BONK comes as a host of activities intend to deflate token supply gain traction among users — a move that has historically contributed to higher prices.
BonkDAO, a decentralized group of bonk believers that maintain the token, burned 100 billion tokens from the circulating supply in November and targeted a trillion token burn in December. This could increase the token’s value due to scarcity.
The feat could meet its target in the weeks ahead, observers say.
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