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US CPI Expected To Spike, Will It Impact Fed’s Rate Cut Decision?
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4 months agoon
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adminThe US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for July, which is scheduled to be released by the Labor Department on Wednesday, August 14, is expected to spike. This has fueled discussions about whether it will hinder the US Federal Reserve’s rate cut plans at their upcoming meeting. According to market estimates, inflation is expected to rise 0.2%, following a drop of -0.1% in the prior month.
US CPI Inflation Likely To Spike
The global financial market, including the crypto sector, is eagerly waiting for the upcoming US CPI inflation data next week. The data will provide cues on the current inflationary pressures, which in turn could impact the US Federal Reserve’s decision with their policy rate plans.
According to Wall Street estimates, the July inflation is expected to come in at 0.2%, following a drop of 0.1% in the previous month. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, the inflation is likely to stay at 3%, unchanged from the prior month’s figure.
Simultaneously, the market is anticipating the Core CPI inflation, which excludes the food and energy prices, to come in at 0.2%, up from the 0.1% noted in June. However, on a YoY basis, the Core inflation is anticipated to show a cooling figure of 3.2% in July from 3.3% noted in the preceding month.
The anticipated spike in the monthly US CPI inflation figure has weighed on the market participants’ sentiment. However, a flurry of market experts have shrugged off the concerns, hinting that a smaller acceleration in the figure is not likely to impact the central bank’s decision.
US PPI In Focus
Another key metric, the US PPI inflation figures, is also scheduled for next week. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is another figure after the US CPI that the US Federal Reserve considers while deciding on its policy rate plans.
According to market estimates, the US PPI inflation is expected to remain unchanged at 0.2% in July. However, the Core PPI is expected to come in at 0.2% for the month, after remaining unchanged in the prior month.
Meanwhile, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, there are 51% odds of a 25 bps rate cut by the Federal Reserve at their September meeting. Simultaneously, the bet over a 50 bps rate cut has recently spiked to 49%, after the weaker job data fueled concerns over a potential US recession.
Crypto Market Braces For Impact
The global crypto market has witnessed tumultuous trading lately on the heels of global economic concerns. The Bank of Japan’s move to raise its interest rate has weighed on the market sentiment, triggering a massive selloff in the global stocks and crypto market. However, the BOJ’s consideration of a dovish approach moving forward has allayed some concerns.
In addition, the recent woes over the US economy heading towards a recession have also dampened the market sentiment. Despite that, the market seems to be recovering lately following a massive decline.
For context, BTC price dropped to as low as $49,100 level this week, before noting a rebound to $62,000 mark. In addition, a recent Bitcoin price analysis indicates that the crypto could hit $64,000 soon, following which it could continue its run toward the $70K mark.
Meanwhile, commenting on the upcoming US CPI inflation, Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins recently said that the central bank should start trimming the interest rates now. Additionally, she mentioned that the decision will also depend on the last challenge, i.e. the upcoming inflation figures next week.
Rupam Roy
Rupam, a seasoned professional with 3 years in the financial market, has honed his skills as a meticulous research analyst and insightful journalist. He finds joy in exploring the dynamic nuances of the financial landscape. Currently working as a sub-editor at Coingape, Rupam’s expertise goes beyond conventional boundaries. His contributions encompass breaking stories, delving into AI-related developments, providing real-time crypto market updates, and presenting insightful economic news. Rupam’s journey is marked by a passion for unraveling the intricacies of finance and delivering impactful stories that resonate with a diverse audience.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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CryptoQuant Hails Binance Reserve Amid High Leverage Trading
Published
2 hours agoon
December 23, 2024By
adminCrypto analytics platform CryptoQuant has conducted a deep dive research into Binance and other centralized exchanges to uncover how susceptible they are to liquidity risks. With the crypto ecosystem trading at a very high premium, exchanges require high liquidity to meet growing demands. Of its findings, CryptoQuant singles out Binance and OKX as platforms to watch out for.
What Makes Binance Stand Out from Centralized Exchanges?
According to CryptoQuant, it analyzed the leverage levels of top centralized exchanges. It conducted this exercise to evaluate their liquidity, default risk and how crypto reserves backs trading activity. The analysis also employs leverage ratio calculation to estimate trader’s exposures.
Based on this, the analytics firm singled out Binance as an exchange with robust reserves. The trading platform maintains this reserve despite the significant growth in open interest this year. This is signficant, considering how Binance Futures list new tokens to fuel this expansion including Solana’s Fartcoin.
“Its reserves in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDT comfortably exceed its open interest. Binance also reported the lowest and most stable leverage ratio among major exchanges, with a ratio of 12.8 in December 2023, rising slightly to 13.5 in December 2024,” the CryptoQaunt report reads.
As pointed out, this stability and the 2.6x expansion in Bitcoin open interest on the platform from $4.45 billion to $11.64 billion implies that the exchange can handle unexpected liquidations.
Centralized Exchange Leverage Risk on the Midst of the Upcoming Bull Run
We assess the leverage levels of various crypto exchanges to evaluate their liquidity, default risk, and the extent to which their perpetual futures trading activity is backed by their crypto reserves.
Our… pic.twitter.com/NAadJSAlVT
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 21, 2024
As the report hinted, smaller exchanges like OKX also maintain low leverage ratios.
Centralized Exchanges and Avoiding the FTX Saga
In addition to the Binance spotlight, CryptoQuant also mentioned Gate io, Bybit, and Deribit. However, the report noted that these trading platforms have the highest leverage ratios in the market pegged at 106, 86, and 32, respectively. Notably, this figures show open interests for Bitcoin and Ethereum is higher than the existing reserves available on these centralized exchanges.
The analysis concluded by flagging the impact of high leverage trading, one of the major causes of the FTX Derivatives Exchange collapse. This report serves as an eye opener that can help traders manage risk per platforms they trade on.
Meanwhile, FTX is at the tail end of its bankruptcy proceedings. As Coingape reported earlier, FTX has set January 3 as the date to commence creditor repayment.
Godfrey Benjamin
Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Ripple Transfers 90M Coins, What’s Happening?
Published
11 hours agoon
December 22, 2024By
adminXRP has regained its footing above the $2 support level, fueled by significant whale activity. In only 30 minutes, 90 tokens, worth approximately $202,5 million, were transferred to unknown wallets.
Ripple has emerged as one of the top post-election performers, quadrupling in value since November 5. This impressive rally, alongside gains in other cryptocurrencies, has spotlighted digital assets and fueled speculation about their potential trajectory heading into 2025.
XRP Whales Make Massive Moves, Sparking Price Speculation
XRP has regained its footing above the $2 support level, fueled by significant whale activity. In only 30 minutes, 90 tokens, worth approximately $202,5 million, were transferred to unknown wallets.
The unusually large withdrawals, flagged by Whale Alert, have sparked heightened interest among investors and increased speculation about the token’s future price movement.
🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 40,000,000 #XRP (89,678,944 USD) transferred from #Ripple to unknown wallethttps://t.co/YmHOFWz1q9
— Whale Alert (@whale_alert) December 21, 2024
Whale Alert reveals that the recent XRP transfers consisted of two significant transactions. The largest involved 50 million tokens, valued at approximately $112.5 million, moved to a newly created wallet. The second transaction saw 40 million tokens worth $90 million sent to a recently activated address.
🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 50,000,000 #XRP (111,697,462 USD) transferred from #Ripple to unknown wallethttps://t.co/nWwkUGOhWA
— Whale Alert (@whale_alert) December 21, 2024
The destination wallets are not linked to any known cryptocurrency exchanges, leading investors to speculate that high-net-worth individuals or institutional investors may be accumulating Ripple. This has fueled expectations of further price movement. Also, recently, renowned hedge fund manager Scott Melker has revealed that former President Donald Trump is actively accumulating XRP and HBAR tokens.
Crypto analysts think that large transfers to exchanges from unknown wallets are often a bullish indicator. This is a signal that the whales-the major holders-are moving their holdings to cold storage, which typically reflects a long strategy, rather than short-term selling. This can set up a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency’s price. However, the reversal situation results usually with reversal outcome so it’s interesting the price is still on the rise.
This development comes as a US appeals court announces the filing deadlines for the opening and reply briefs by Ripple and its CEO, Brad Garlinghouse.
Holding Steady at Key Support, Awaiting Next Move
XRP and the broader cryptocurrency market have remained relatively flat in recent days, with the token holding critical support levels that could spark a renewed uptrend. At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $2.25, reflecting a slight 0.35% rise over the past 24 hours.
If the bulls stay in control, Ripple may continue its upside, having key resistances between $3.62 and $4.30. A break above such a range could send prices towards $5.73. At 46, though, the RSI rests, showing that sellers have still managed to be at the helm and cap upside momentum. Increased buying pressure will, thus, be critical for resuming the uptrend.
The Awesome Oscillator supports a bullish divergence with the histogram bars turning positive, yet still remaining in negative territory. This indeed would hint at a possible reversal, though additional buying pressure needs to be generated to confirm the uptrend.
The critical support level that traders should watch is at $2.20. A drop below this might set off panic and send prices lower.
In spite of this uncertainty and the possible bearishness of it all, this token is still attracting a great deal of interest from institutional investors-a fact that points to its long-term potential.
Teuta Franjkovic
Teuta is a seasoned writer and editor with over 15 years of expertise in macroeconomics, technology, and the crypto and blockchain sectors.
She began her career in 2005 as a lifestyle writer for *Cosmopolitan* before transitioning to business and economic reporting for renowned outlets like *Forbes* and *Bloomberg*.
Inspired by thought leaders like Don and Alex Tapscott and Laura Shin, Teuta embraced blockchain’s potential, viewing cryptocurrency as one of humanity’s most transformative innovations.
Since 2014, she has specialized in fintech, focusing on crypto, blockchain, NFTs, and Web3. Known for her strong collaboration and communication skills, Teuta also holds dual MAs in Political Science and Law.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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How Low Will Ethereum Price Go By The End of December?
Published
14 hours agoon
December 22, 2024By
adminIn a recent analysis, crypto analyst Justin Bennett provided insights into how low the Ethereum price could drop by the end of December. This came as the analyst revealed that buyers need to step or ETH could enter next week with a bearish outlook.
How Low Ethereum Price Can Go By Year-End
In an X post, Justin Bennett suggested that the Ethereum price could drop to as low as $3,027 by year-end. While analyzing ETH’s daily chart, the analyst stated that ETH needs to flip $3,541 as support to turn bullish next week. If that doesn’t happen, he remarked there is a decent chance that Ethereum drops lower. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that ETH could even drop to as low as $2,560 if it loses the $3,027 support level.
In an earlier X post, the crypto analyst stated that he is bullish on the Ethereum price based on the overall setup going into 2025. however, he believes that buyers still have work to do. He gave an example of how ETH needs to recover $3,540 on the weekly time frame to look bullish next week.
These buyers already look to be stepping in, as there has been an accumulation trend among ETH whales. Coingape reported that Ethereum whales are buying the dip as ETH eyes a quick rally to $4,000.
These whales have withdrawn 17,698 ETH worth $61.66 million from the crypto exchange Binance. Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial has also gotten in on the act as the DeFi project accumulated more ETH on this dip.
Correction Might Be Over
In an X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto provided a more bullish outlook for the Ethereum price, stating that the correction might be over. The analyst made this statement based on his Ichimoku cloud analysis.
Titan of Crypto stated that Ethereum has retested both Tenkan and Kijun. He added that the worst-case scenario would be a retest of the Kumo Cloud SSB, Ichimoku’s strongest line.
According to a CoinGape market analysis, this might indeed be the last dip before ETH hits five digits. There are predictions that the Ethereum price could hit $15,937 by May 2025.
Boluwatife Adeyemi
Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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