Dogecoin Price
$1.4B at Risk If DOGE Falls Below This Level
Published
3 months agoon
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adminDogecoin price broke out of a falling wedge in the early hours of Monday Morning, signaling a bearish reversal. The 4-hour price chart shows DOGE has gotten some relief from the downtrend as the price has picked up over the last few hours. However, DOGE price is not out of the woods yet, as Futures data shows that there is increasing sell pressure on the asset, which puts over $1.4 billion worth of DOGE at risk of sinking into losses.
Dogecoin Price Facing Rejection at Resistance
The current trend for DOGE price is downward, indicated by the price trading below the 200-day (black line at $0.115) and hovering just above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) (green line at $0.105). The recent price action suggests continued bearish momentum.
The nearest resistance level for Dogecoin’s price is $0.105 (aligned with the 50-day EMA), while a more significant resistance exists at 0.11518 (200-day EMA).
The immediate support is around $0.093 (orange line), and stronger support lies in the $0.080 – $0.085 range (grey zone).
The rising wedge has broken downwards, which is a bearish sign. The most recent candles suggest increasing selling pressure as prices approach support levels.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.34, which is neutral but shows a slight bearish bias, as it’s trending down from overbought levels. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is at -0.11, indicating mild selling pressure, which could increase if the Dogecoin price continues to drop.
There has been a consistent volume during the wedge formation, with a spike during the breakdown. This confirms the bearish breakout, with volume supporting the downward move.
Dogecoin price prediction shows that if it surges above the 200-day EMA, it may invalidate the falling wedge bearish reversal pattern and rise to $0.14 as the new price target.
On-Chain and Futures Support Correction
The Dogecoin open interest (OI) dropped by 1.95% in the last 24 hours, indicating that the DOGE market is losing funds. DOGE price also dropped 1% during the same period of time to trade at $0.105.
Combining these two data points shows that DOGE traders who are Long on the asset are closing their positions.
Additionally, the 4-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) from Coinalyze, which shows the difference between buy and sell volumes within the last 4 hours, is negative, indicating that more people are selling than buying.
When both OI and CVD decrease, it indicates that traders are closing Long positions, signaling a bearish trend.
Data from IntoTheBlock revealed that over $1.4 billion worth of DOGE is at risk of losing value if the Dogecoin price slips below $0.09.
Currently, 45.16% of all DOGE holders are in profit. If the price slides below this crucial support level, the percentage of profitable holders could drop by 19%.
On a positive note, data from Messari Research analytics shows that Dogecoin’s active addresses recently witnessed a spike, which suggests that investors may be taking an interest in the blockchain.
Overall, the bearish Futures metrics outweigh the single on-chain metric from the Dogecoin blockchain. While active addresses suggest real users and activity on the network, the current selling pressure on DOGE may suppress the metric’s impact.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Immediate support for Dogecoin is around $0.093. Stronger support is located in the $0.080 – $0.085 range. If the price approaches these support levels, it may determine whether Dogecoin can stabilize or continue to decline.
If Dogecoin surges above the 200-day EMA ($0.11518), it could invalidate the bearish falling wedge pattern and potentially rise to $0.14. However, if the price continues to decline, it may test lower support levels.
If Dogecoin’s price falls below $0.09, over $1.4 billion worth of DOGE could be at risk of losing value. This drop could also affect 45.16% of DOGE holders who are currently in profit, potentially reducing their gains by 19%.
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Evans Karanja
Evans Karanja is a content writer and scriptwriter with a focus on crypto, blockchain, and video gaming. He has worked with various startups in the past, helping them create engaging and high-quality content that captures the essence of their brand. Evans is also an avid crypto trader and investor, and he believes that blockchain will revolutionize many industries in the years to come. When he is not writing, you can find him playing video games or chasing waterfalls.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) has recently experienced a staggering rally. Over the span of eight days, DOGE surged nearly 200%, reaching a local peak at $0.4385 on Tuesday. This explosive growth propelled the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) to almost 93, signaling strongly overbought conditions.
Since then, the Dogecoin price corrected by 19%, trading at $0.37 as of press time. However, according to crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), who has gained significant attention on X for his Dogecoin price analyses, the correction phase may not be over yet. In a series of updates, Kevin addresses how low Dogecoin can go before resuming its upward trajectory.
How Low Can Dogecoin Go?
“My first price target and a level we will want to hold for Dogecoin is the $0.30-0.26 range, which is the golden pocket retrace levels,” Kevin stated. “That’s a 30-40% correction from the local top, which in a bull market is a perfect size correction.”
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Kevin further explained the significance of RSI levels in predicting market movements. “A healthy 1-3 week correction/consolidation to cool off indicators would be the most beneficial thing that can happen to Dogecoin. Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021,” he noted. “My opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the technical data I am looking at.”
Drawing parallels to the previous bull market, he added: “Back in the 2020-2021 bull market for Dogecoin, it hit a 90+ on daily RSI three times, each time marking a local top or consolidation period before the next leg up. We just hit 90+ on the daily RSI for the first time, signaling that we potentially have 1-2 more legs up remaining in this bull market before we find the macro top. PS: The second and third legs were both bigger than the first leg.”
On the lower time frames, the Dogecoin price action formed a symmetrical triangle, a chart pattern often associated with periods of consolidation that precede significant price movements. Kevin observed: “Tracking this weird Dogecoin symmetrical triangle. Honestly a 50/50 which way this breaks. I still favor the correction due to daily RSI being 90+.”
The symmetrical triangle can serve as either a continuation or a reversal pattern, depending on market conditions. For the Dogecoin price, the breakdown from the triangle aligns with Kevin’s expectation of a correction due to overbought RSI levels.
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To estimate the potential magnitude of the price drop following the breakdown from the symmetrical triangle, traders measure the height of the triangle’s base—the widest part of the formation. This measurement is then projected downward from the point of breakdown, providing a target for the price movement.
Applying this method to Dogecoin suggests a correction towards the $0.28 price level, which aligns closely with Kevin’s analysis targeting the $0.30-$0.26 range. “Looks like the correction I have been calling for the last couple of days is beginning on Dogecoin,” Kevin confirmed after observing the market movement. “Can’t go straight up, folks. Dips are healthy and reset the indicators so we can go higher. Hopefully nobody gets mad at me anymore for delivering the truth.”
As of press time, Dogecoin is trading at approximately $0.37, having retraced about 19% from its local top. The price appears to have found temporary support at $0.35, but with the daily RSI only resetting to 80—still in overbought territory—a continuation of the correction cannot be ruled out.
“A healthy 1-3 week correction/consolidation to cool off indicators would be the most beneficial thing that can happen to Dogecoin,” Kevin reiterated. “Happened multiple times on the way up in 2020-2021. My opinion still remains this occurs soon based off the technical data I am looking at.”
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Dogecoin Co-Founder Reveals How To Make DOGE Deflationary
Published
1 week agoon
November 13, 2024By
adminDogecoin co-founder Billy Markus has revealed how to make DOGE deflationary. The foremost meme coin’s total supply is unlimited, as it has a fixed yearly issuance of 5 billion coins, which could ultimately impact its value over time.
Dogecoin Founder Reveals How To Make DOGE Deflationary
In an X post, Billy Markus shared the GitHub code to remove Dogecoin’s inflation. He mentioned that anyone who was looking to make DOGE deflationary could simply make a pull request and convince the community and miners to use the new version.
The top meme coin currently has a total supply of 146.78 billion DOGE. That figure is bound to grow over time since 5 billion coins come into circulation yearly through mining rewards. However, this inflation rate decreases yearly compared to the coin’s total supply.
Billy Markus’ revelation came following criticisms about Dogecoin’s ‘infinite’ supply. Interestingly, he likened DOGE to Bitcoin while defending the former’s inflationary status. Markus claimed that DOGE and BTC are the “same with very minor parameter changes.”
He made this statement because Bitcoin’s total supply can increase from 21 million if the community and miners agree. Meanwhile, Markus also noted that based on its 21 million supply, BTC will continue to witness a supply shock until 2140.
Meanwhile, in another X post, The DOGE co-founder again highlighted the community’s power in determining the meme coin’s inflationary status. He remarked that the community is literally in control and has always been since Dogecoin is an open-source proof-of-work (PoW) cryptocurrency, and miners agreed to the code.
Elon Musk Says Inflationary Status Is A Feature Not A Bug
Following Billy Markus’ revelation on how to make DOGE deflationary, Elon Musk responded that he thinks Dogecoin’s flat inflation is a feature, not a bug. Flat inflation refers to how the meme coin’s inflation percentage decreases over time.
Markus agreed that Dogecoin’s inflationary status is ideal since it is intended to be used as a currency. He added that this meme coin’s inflation status is steady and predictable, with a percentage that goes down over time. He suggested that this makes DOGE better than the Dollar as a currency since its inflation rate is much lower.
Musk’s statement comes after Donald Trump appointed him to lead the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E). It is worth mentioning that the world’s richest man coined the department’s name. The similarity between D.O.G.E and DOGE is believed to be deliberate since Musk is known for indirectly shilling the foremost meme coin.
Boluwatife Adeyemi
Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Rare Indicator Hints $1 Dogecoin Price Is Inevitable In November?
Published
1 week agoon
November 13, 2024By
adminDogecoin price has retraced by 12.2% in the last 24 hours after surging to a new yearly high of $0.4346. As traders book profit from Bitcoin and large caps, a rare indicator on the Dogecoin chart suggests the meme coin could hit $1 in November. This would constitute a 170% increase from the current price of $0.3679. Will DOGE pull this off and soar to a one-digit price tag this month?
Rare Technical Indicator Signals Major Dogecoin Breakout
A lesser-used onchain indicator called the Market Cap to its Realized Cap (MVRV) indicates that DOGE price still has room to rise. The MVRV Z-Score uses a z-score standard deviation between market value and realized value (MVRV) to identify DOGE market tops and bottoms.
According to this metric, the Dogecoin price hit bottom exactly 2 years ago today and has risen. Historically, values over ‘5.38’ indicate the price is overbought, and values below -0.25 indicate the price was oversold.
Currently, the DOGE MVRV Z-score is at 2.7 and is headed up. This suggests that while dogecoin is fast approaching the overvalued zone, there is still room to move, which could catapult the price to $1 and beyond.
DOGE Price Surge: Is a $1 Target Achievable This Month?
Dogecoin price is currently 170% away from hitting the $1 mark, and on-chain metrics suggest that this target is achievable this month.
Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought at 83.85, the average directional index (ADX), which shows how volatile a market is, is currently at 26 and moving higher. Usually, a value above 25 suggests high market volatility, which can signal a continued price increase.
Crypto analyst Ali Charts also noted that while historically, Dogecoin price topped out after MVRV crossed 78%, today’s price correction reset the MVRV to 45.65%, suggesting that DOGE still has room to climb.
Key Resistance Levels Dogecoin Needs to Break for $1
Dogecoin’s price currently sports a gigantic cup and handle in the 1-week chart timeframe. Cup and handles are generally bullish reversal patterns, and this one hints at the DOGE price soaring as high as $1.5 before hitting a major resistance.
However, on the way up, Dogecoin may encounter resistance levels of around $0.5 and $0.76, which coincides with its previous all-time high.
On the flip side, $0.35 is a local support level that the DOGE price may fall to if bears persist. Below that, the $0.2 resistance-turned-support is strong enough to hold the price up against high sell pressure.
If the price falls below $0.2, the current bullish thesis would be invalidated, and the Dogecoin price forecast indicates the meme coin would enter a bear market.
DOGE price is currently retracing, taking a breather before the next leg up. After the Trump-Vance published a circular naming Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy as the heads of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), investors are watching the DOGE price closely as it could erupt to $1.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Yes, it’s possible. On-chain metrics and technical indicators suggest room for growth. If the bullish momentum continues, DOGE could surge 170% to reach $1 in November.
The MVRV Z-Score is an on-chain metric that measures the difference between Dogecoin’s market cap and its realized cap. It helps identify tops and bottoms in the market. A rising MVRV Z-Score indicates the potential for further price gains.
Dogecoin price has pulled back by 12.2% after a strong rally to a yearly high of $0.4346 as traders are taking profits. However, a rare indicator suggests there is still potential for further gains.
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Evans Karanja
Evans Karanja is a crypto analyst and journalist with a deep focus on blockchain technology, cryptocurrency, and the video gaming industry. His extensive experience includes collaborating with various startups to deliver insightful and high-quality analyses that resonate with their target audiences. As an avid crypto trader and investor, Evans is passionate about the transformative potential of blockchain across diverse sectors. Outside of his professional pursuits, he enjoys playing video games and exploring scenic waterfalls.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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