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Bitcoin price risks falling to $44k if key support breaks

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As the recent Bitcoin price recovery stalls, there is a risk that the coin could drop by 25% in the coming weeks.

Bitcoin (BTC) recovered by 27% from its lowest point on Aug. 5 but faced strong resistance at $62,000. It has recently lost key support at $60,000 and was trading at $59,000 on Aug. 13.

Data from CoinGlass shows that Bitcoin’s 24-hour volume in the spot market has stabilized at $34 billion. However, open interest in the futures market has moved sideways in recent days, standing at $28 billion, down from last month’s high of over $37 billion.

One likely reason for the low open interest is that many Bitcoin investors suffered substantial liquidations as the coin dropped to $49,000 and then quickly rebounded to $62,000.

There are also concerns about the U.S. presidential election, with most polls indicating a close race between candidates. Polymarket odds have tilted towards Harris, showing her leading in key states like Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Donald Trump has endorsed Bitcoin and insisted that his administration will not sell the vast coins it holds. He has also stated that he would fire Gary Gensler, the Securities and Exchange Commission chair who has focused on lawsuits during his tenure.

Bitcoin price
Bitcoin price chart | Source: TradingView

Technically, Bitcoin faces substantial risks. It has already formed the highly-feared death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages have crossed each other. Additionally, the two lines of the MACD indicator have slipped below the neutral point.

At the same time, as shown above, Bitcoin has formed a series of lower lows and lower highs, indicating a downtrend.

Therefore, a drop below this month’s low of $49,000 will be a sign that bears have prevailed and that the falling broadening wedge pattern has been invalidated. Such a move could lead to a further decline to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement point at $44,900, which is 25% below the Aug. 13 level.



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Bitcoin ETFs See $19,000,000,000 in Net Flows As BlackRock Becomes Third-Largest BTC Holder: Bloomberg Analyst

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Spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds have witnessed more than $19.3 billion of net inflows this year, according to Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg ETF analyst.

Balchunas tells his 319,100 followers on the social media platform X that the number is “surprisingly strong” and argues that it is the most important bellwether of success given Grayscale’s GBTC unlock and net price movement.

Source: Eric Balchunas/X

Balchunas also notes US ETFs are on pace to pace Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator, as the top holders of BTC.

“BlackRock alone is already #3 and on pace to be #1 late next year, and will likely stay there for a very long time.”

Source: Eric Balchunas/X

The Bloomberg analyst also argues that ETF holders offer the top crypto asset some stability in the face of volatility.

“So IBIT investors woke up on Monday to a -14% move over the weekend after stomaching an 8% decline the week prior and what did they do? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. $0 flows. Compared to some of these degens these boomers are like the Rock of Gibraltar. You guys are so lucky to have them.”

Source: Eric Balchunas/X

IBIT is BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust.

BTC is trading at $60,719 at time of writing. The top-ranked crypto asset by market cap is up more than 1.5% in the past 24 hours and more than 8% in the past week.

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Bitcoin Pioneer Chun Wang to Command SpaceX's First Mission Over Earth's Polar Regions

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Chun Wang, the co-founder of Bitcoin mining pool f2pool and a well-known figure in the Bitcoin community, is set to command SpaceX’s first human spaceflight mission to explore Earth’s polar regions from orbit. Wang, who began mining Bitcoin back in 2011, said he has been eagerly preparing for this mission for the past 2.5 years and has been involved in every aspect of the mission, from the initial proposal and planning to the trajectory design and crew selection.

“Named in honor of the ship that helped explorers first reach Earth’s Arctic and Antarctic regions, Fram2 will be commanded by Chun Wang, an entrepreneur and adventurer from Malta,” SpaceX announced. “Wang aims to use the mission to highlight the crew’s explorational spirit, bring a sense of wonder and curiosity to the larger public, and highlight how technology can help push the boundaries of exploration of Earth and through the mission’s research.”

“This mission represents a new chapter in space exploration,” said Wang. “I’ve read many sci-fi stories about the first human missions to Mars, usually led by NASA or some fictional government. Rarely does anyone dare to imagine such a mission may be carried out privately. But now, I increasingly believe that someday we will reach Mars — and it may be a person, or a company, not a nation, who gets there.”

Joining Wang on this mission is an international team of adventurers, including Norway’s Jannicke Mikkelsen, Australia’s Eric Philips, and Germany’s Rabea Rogge. Over the course of 3 to 5 days, the crew will observe the polar regions from Dragon’s cupola at an altitude of 425 to 450 km. They will study phenomena such as auroras and unusual light emissions, known as STEVE (Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement), and conduct a variety of research to better understand the effects of spaceflight on the human body, to gain insights into space physics and atmospheric science.





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Bitcoin is a reservoir of power

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In a recent speech for the Texas Blockchain Council, U.S. Senator Ted Cruz referred to Bitcoin as an energy safety blanket for Texas’s grid infrastructure.

Cruz described Bitcoin (BTC) as a “reservoir of power,” suggesting that it could serve as an energy safety net for the state’s grid infrastructure during extreme weather events or times of economic uncertainty.

“What Bitcoin presents is an opportunity in real-time to enhance the resiliency of our grid,” said Cruz.

These comments come as Bitcoin mining in Texas has sparked concerns over noise pollution and health issues for residents, highlighting the need for better regulations.

Ted Cruz and crypto

The Texas Blockchain Council endorsed Ted Cruz for reelection to the U.S. Senate on August 12, according to Cointelegraph. They cited his support for Bitcoin and its potential benefits for Texas’ energy grid. Cruz, who has previously spoken at TBC events, is currently leading Democrat Colin Allred by eight points in a recent poll.

In his speech, Cruz emphasized that Texas, the leading U.S. state in wind energy production, faces challenges during severe weather when renewable energy sources like wind and solar often fail to generate sufficient power.

During such events, Cruz argued that Bitcoin miners could be swiftly shut down, redirecting the electricity they consume to critical needs like heating homes and powering hospitals.

“Bitcoin is a reservoir of power — a safety blanket the state of Texas,” said Cruz.

Texas has been a hotbed for crypto mining disputes between miners and the government. Recently, a Texas crypto mining firm, Lejilex, sued the SEC, challenging its authority over exchange-traded crypto and disputing the classification of certain tokens as securities.



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