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Bitcoin ETF outflows slow down, $100k BTC still in sight
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4 hours agoon
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adminSpot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded two consecutive outflow days as the top cryptocurrency corrected almost 3% after the U.S. Federal Reserve hinted that further interest rate cuts might not be coming.
After three consecutive inflow days bringing in over 2.43 billion between Nov. 11 and Nov. 13, the weekly inflows were offset by two consecutive outflow days.
On Nov. 14, Bitcoin ETF products saw their third-largest outflow since launch, with approximately $400.7 million withdrawn. Outflows eased the following day as BTC rebounded from support near $87,500, with $239.6 million exiting the funds, according to data from Farside Investors.
BlackRock’s IBIT was the only fund to record inflows on Nov. 15, as it continued its seven-day inflow streak, bringing in $130.4 million. Outflows came from:
- Fidelity’s FBTC: $175.1 million
- ARK and 21Shares’ ARKB: $108.6
- Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust: $47 million
- Grayscale’s GBTC: $22.5 million
- VanEck’s HODL: 7.7 million
- Bitwise’s BITB: 7.4
- Valkyrie’s BRRR: $1.7 million.
The other three ETF offerings saw no flows on the day.
BTC set for $100,000
Bitcoin’s drop to a weekly low of $86,572, along with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Nov. 14 speech in Dallas. Powell stated there’s no urgency to lower rates, which seems to have driven the ETF outflows. However, this hasn’t dampened the broader market’s optimism.
Prominent Bitcoin advocates such as Michael Saylor and Matthew Sigel, along with the larger crypto community, remain optimistic about BTC’s trajectory, predicting it could reach $100,000 by year-end—or potentially climb even higher.
As reported by crypto.news, Saylor anticipates Bitcoin hitting $100,000 before the end of 2024, attributing this outlook to Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections, which he described as the “biggest event for Bitcoin in the past four years.”
Polymarket bettors are also highly bullish on Bitcoin, with a poll suggesting a 65% chance of BTC reaching $100,000 before New Year’s Eve.
On X, pseudonymous trader Crypto Eagles told his 99,000+ followers that Bitcoin has broken out of a multi-year inverse head and shoulders pattern — a bullish structure often preceding upward rallies — setting the stage for a potential climb to six figures.
Analyst Rekt Capital, whose commentary previously suggested BTC price targets in the range of $120,000 to $160,000, said in a Nov. 16 post that Bitcoin has only just entered its parabolic phase, which historically lasts around 300 days. With the current cycle only 11 days in, there’s a lot of room for further growth from current levels.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading above $90,900, up 1.3% in the past 24 hours, while IntoTheBlock’s market sentiment indicator signaled a mostly bullish outlook.
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Real Vision Analyst Jamie Coutts Issues Bitcoin Warning Amid Strong Dollar Rally, Says Macro Backdrop Soured
Published
4 hours agoon
November 17, 2024By
adminReal Vision’s head crypto analyst Jamie Coutts says that the US dollar is on the verge of foiling the rally for Bitcoin (BTC) and digital assets.
While the long-term bullish structure is still intact, Coutts says that a strong dollar is threatening to derail BTC’s movement in the short term.
“The macro backdrop has soured. Dollar strength is not good for Bitcoin. Ann Funding rates hit 40% 2 days ago. My liquidity framework is sensitive to the short to medium-term changes in momentum. In the long term, the picture is Bullish; in the Short term, they suggest caution.”
Zooming in on the dollar index (DXY), which pits the USD against a basket of other major foreign currencies, Coutts says it’s trading just below a critical resistance level at 106 that wouldn’t bode well for BTC if it breaks.
“DXY is right at the resistance level. A break above here would not be good for risk assets.”
Over the longer term, Coutts believes there is a strong relationship between Bitcoin and global liquidity, or the amount of money sloshing around in the world’s economy. The analyst says that regardless of shorter-term volatility, BTC should continue to run higher over the next year or two along with a rise in M2 money supply.
“Longer term, this is where I am at for this cycle; a 12-month forecast based on linear relationship with liquidity. But Bitcoin cycles are not linear. I think we go much higher than this.”
At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $91,350.
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Bitcoin ETF
Bitcoin ETF options coming ‘soon’ following CFTC clearance
Published
7 hours agoon
November 17, 2024By
adminThe U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued an advisory through its Division of Clearing and Risk stating it would no longer have a role in clearing Bitcoin ETF options.
The agency is transferring this responsibility to the Options Clearing Corporation, according to a prepared statement.
“[..] In light of relevant precedents in the courts, it is substantially likely these spot commodity ETF shares would be held to be securities. Therefore, DCR’s position is the listing of these shares on SEC-registered national securities exchanges does not implicate the CFTC’s jurisdiction.”
CFTC staff advisory.
According to the commission, the OCC, which serves as the “sole issuer of all equity options” in the U.S., now holds the final authority to decide whether these options will be listed.
Experts believe the OCC’s approval could be imminent, with ETF analyst Eric Balchunas predicting it will come “very soon.”
Meanwhile, market commentator Andrew said the CFTC’s move came much quicker than expected, as approval was initially anticipated by late Q1 2025, but this decision could speed things up.
Bitwise Invest’s Jeff Park suggested that while he was optimistic about the chances of a year-end approval, he wouldn’t “short the odd.”
The advisory follows the SEC’s approval last month, which cleared applications from the New York Stock Exchange and the Chicago Board Options Exchange to list and trade Bitcoin ETF options.
Options contracts give investors the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specified price before a set date. The SEC believes options trading could bring “better price efficiency” and “less volatility” to Bitcoin ETFs, helping to stabilize the market while making it more transparent and efficient overall.
Bitcoin advocates view the approval of Bitcoin ETF options as a game-changer, bringing more liquidity to the market. See below.
Earlier this year, Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein advocated for the swift approval of Bitcoin ETF options, saying that these offerings could pull in more players, like broker-dealers, and deepen Bitcoin’s ties with traditional finance.
Crypto influencer Mario Nawfal, in a recent social media post, highlighted the buzz around Bitcoin ETF options, saying institutional investors are “drooling” over the opportunities.
“This is your mainstream finance world, now featuring Bitcoin,” he wrote.
Bitcoin reacted positively to the development, breaking past the $91,000 resistance level it struggled with over the past two days. At press time, the flagship cryptocurrency was trading at $91,293, up 2.4%.
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Acquisition
Kaixin plans crypto mining expansion amid Bitcoin’s new all-time high
Published
10 hours agoon
November 17, 2024By
adminChinese electric vehicle manufacturer Kaixin is looking for a strategic shift with plans to acquire a controlling stake in a Middle Eastern cryptocurrency mining operation.
The announcement depicts a major jump and diversification from its traditional automotive business.
Kaixin in advanced stages of acquisition
According to Kaixin’s press release, the Beijing-based company is in advanced stages of evaluating the potential acquisition.
The target operation features cost-efficient Bitcoin mining machines and provides comprehensive cloud hosting services to meet growing industry demand.
Kaixing stated that the facility’s key advantage lies in its access to stable, long-term energy supplies. The company stated that this is crucial for maintaining profitable operations.
This energy security aspect appears to be a primary driver behind the strategic choice of location.
Kaixin currently operates as a leading new energy vehicle manufacturer in China. The company maintains professional teams across R&D, production, and marketing.
Unlike many traditional automotive companies, Kaixin’s move into cryptocurrency mining represents a different and bold strategic pivot.
The company aims to use its existing expertise in sustainable operations while expanding into the crypto sector.
Kaixin stated in its press release:
“This acquisition represents our commitment to exploring new growth avenues while maintaining our core automotive excellence.”
However, the exact timeline for when the deal will close remains unclear as the company continues its evaluation process.
The global crypto market cap has also surged past $3.04 trillion as Bitcoin (BTC) has created new all-time highs in the past few days. Alongside BTC, several other altcoins have exhibited double-digit gains in the last seven days.
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