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Think Dogecoin Has Topped Out? Two Factors That Say ‘No Way’

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

In an analysis provided by crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), Dogecoin (DOGE) emerges as an altcoin defying current market skepticism, with technical indicators suggesting a bullish continuation rather than a peak.

Dogecoin Is Still Bullish

Kevin’s latest post on X highlights Dogecoin’s performance against its 50 and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA). “Dogecoin is still seeing fast expansion on the 50 and 200 simple moving averages after its weekly golden cross occurred,” he noted. This golden cross, a bullish indicator where the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA, suggests sustained upward momentum.

Further examining the Fibonacci retracement levels, Kevin pointed out that Dogecoin is “above the macro golden pocket at .26 cents and is battling the macro .786.” The ‘golden pocket’—typically located between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci levels—is often considered a crucial support zone. Kevin argues that maintaining a price above this level is bullish.

Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin price analysis, 1-week chart | Source: X @Kev_Capital_TA

“If you think this chart is bearish in its current spot then you need some help. Not gonna focus on individual altcoins very much because BTC will determine the next move in the market no matter what your altcoin chart looks like but needed to remind people who are bad mouthing how crazy they look when we’re at the same price we were at in November when the market was rallying hard. Nothing has changed and cycle tops don’t occur when everyone is bearish,” Kevin expounded.

Kevin further illustrated the erratic nature of crypto market sentiment, contrasting reactions from November and January. “When Dogecoin was hitting .35 cents in November, everyone was screaming to the hills that they were so bullish. DOGE at .35 cents in January, everyone is screaming that Doge sucks, I should have sold this thing a long time ago. Do you see how market psychology works? Pretty interesting,” he detailed.

Bitcoin Needs To Move First

Kevin also discussed Bitcoin’s influence on the broader crypto market, emphasizing its role as a leading indicator for altcoins like Dogecoin. He labeled yesterday’s market reaction to the crypto executive order by US President Donald Trump as a non-impactful in the long run.

“BTC time and time again has failed to break the 1.703 FIB at 106.8K. Even though we broke out of this bullish falling channel on the daily time frame, we have failed to see any real money flow come into the asset if anything it has been decreasing over the last 48 hours. The Trump executive order was an obvious buy the rumor, sell the news event like all events are, so to me, that was always a nothing burger,” he elaborated.

Despite these challenges, Kevin remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential for recovery. “I still think we’re experiencing seasonality in BTC as January’s are always really bad months, especially in the post halving year. I believe the goal should be to demoralize and anger as many investors as possible before starting the next leg higher, which should come within the next 1-3 weeks. Stay tuned!” he predicts.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.35.

Dogecoin price
DOGE breakout is still on hold, 4-hour chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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Crypto Trader Warns of Potential 33% Dogecoin Drop, Unveils Downside Price Target for Ethereum

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A closely followed crypto strategist is warning that top memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) is at risk of heading to much lower levels amid the marketwide correction.

Pseudonymous analyst Cheds tells his 353,200 followers on the social media platform X that he thinks DOGE could witness a 33% corrective move if it loses a key support area.

“DOGE $0.11-$0.12 range incoming. Mark $0.16.”

In a strategy session, Cheds explains why he thinks DOGE could tumble before potentially bottoming out.

“There’s no reason to get excited [about DOGE]. It’s a bad chart. It looks like [$0.11] is going to come and test lower. [DOGE has] a really strong descending supply trend.”

Source: Cheds/YouTube

At time of writing, DOGE is trading for $0.166.

Turning to Ethereum (ETH), the crypto strategist believes that the native asset of the top smart contract protocol is headed toward its high time frame support at around $1,000.

“ETH now $1,840 from $3,400 below. Probably worth a sniff when it tags the $1,200-$1,300 range.”

Image
Source: Cheds/X

At time of writing, ETH is worth $1,808.

Looking at the payments altcoin XRP, Cheds says that bulls have the upper hand as long as the coin is trading above $2. But he also says that holders should consider paring back risk if XRP moves below the key price level.

At time of writing, XRP is worth $2.12.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Featured Image: Shutterstock/Ruslan__Grebeshkov/Viaire



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Elon Musk, Dogecoin Proponent and U.S. Agency Figurehead, Says ‘No DOGE in D.O.G.E.’

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Shaurya Malwa

Shaurya is the Co-Leader of the CoinDesk tokens and data team in Asia with a focus on crypto derivatives, DeFi, market microstructure, and protocol analysis.

Shaurya holds over $1,000 in BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX, SUSHI, CRV, NEAR, YFI, YFII, SHIB, DOGE, USDT, USDC, BNB, MANA, MLN, LINK, XMR, ALGO, VET, CAKE, AAVE, COMP, ROOK, TRX, SNX, RUNE, FTM, ZIL, KSM, ENJ, CKB, JOE, GHST, PERP, BTRFLY, OHM, BANANA, ROME, BURGER, SPIRIT, and ORCA.

He provides over $1,000 to liquidity pools on Compound, Curve, SushiSwap, PancakeSwap, BurgerSwap, Orca, AnySwap, SpiritSwap, Rook Protocol, Yearn Finance, Synthetix, Harvest, Redacted Cartel, OlympusDAO, Rome, Trader Joe, and SUN.





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Dogecoin (DOGE) Bulls In Trouble—Can They Prevent a Drop Below $0.15?

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Dogecoin started a fresh decline from the $0.1880 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is declining and might test the $0.150 support zone.

  • DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1850 and $0.1750 levels.
  • The price is trading below the $0.1750 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.170 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The price could extend losses if it breaks the $0.1620 support zone.

Dogecoin Price Dips Further

Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear $0.200, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE dipped below the $0.1880 and $0.1820 support levels.

The bears were able to push the price below the $0.1750 support level. It even traded close to the $0.1620 support. A low was formed at $0.1628 and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.2057 swing high to the $0.1628 low.

Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1750 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.170 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.170 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair.

The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1730 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.1770 level. A close above the $0.1770 resistance might send the price toward the $0.1850 resistance.

Dogecoin Price

The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.2057 swing high to the $0.1628 low is also near the $0.1850 zone. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.1880 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1950.

More Losses In DOGE?

If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1770 level, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1635 level. The next major support is near the $0.1620 level.

The main support sits at $0.1550. If there is a downside break below the $0.1550 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might decline toward the $0.1320 level or even $0.120 in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.1620 and $0.1550.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.1720 and $0.1770.



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