Arthur Hayes
Bitcoin To $15 Million Possible Once Powell Is Out: Arthur Hayes
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Arthur Hayes believes the long arc of US policy now points toward money creation on a scale that could push Bitcoin into “multi-million” territory—and, in a more extreme scenario, as high as $15 million per coin. In a wide-ranging interview hosted by CoinFund’s Chris Perkins, the BitMEX co-founder and noted macro commentator tied the path of Bitcoin explicitly to a looming political and institutional showdown at the Federal Reserve, arguing that Jerome Powell can delay—but not ultimately prevent—the return of aggressive stimulus under a Trump administration.
Bitcoin To $15 Million Possible Under Trump?
From Jackson Hole, where markets are braced for Powell’s remarks, Hayes framed the near-term setup as a test of the Fed chair’s pride and independence in the face of overt political pressure. “Supposedly Powell is this Volcker 2.0… Do I think there’s a high probability that Powell sticks it out and just says f*** you to Trump and doesn’t cut just because he’s a human and human beings don’t like to be put in these sort of situations? Yes,” Hayes said.
He added that while “ultimately the Fed will cut at some point,” the chair may refuse to signal imminent easing now precisely to demonstrate autonomy: “What a better way to prove that you are an independent monetary actor than to say no, I’m sticking with my guns.”
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That posture, however, only postpones what Hayes sees as the inevitable: an overtly inflationary policy mix once Powell is replaced or overruled. “Trump and Scott Bessent have laid out exactly what they want to do. Run it hot, inflationary,” he said, using the interview to expand a thesis he plans to publish next week on how Washington could weaponize stablecoins to finance the state while marginalizing the Fed’s control over front-end rates. In a line that doubles as both meme and policy critique, Hayes previewed his framing: “I changed the meme… it’s going to say it gets, you know, it puts the dollars on its skin or it gets the sanctions again.”
Hayes contends the policy lever is straightforward: pull trillions sitting in the offshore eurodollar system into on-chain dollar stablecoins by withdrawing de facto guarantees for non-US bank branches and by deputizing US big-tech platforms to distribute yield-bearing dollar accounts globally—backed by Treasury bills. He estimates the total addressable pool at $10–13 trillion from eurodollars alone, with additional “foreign retail deposits” across emerging markets.
Once that capital sits in stablecoins, he argues, the Treasury can place bills “at whatever price [it] wants, unconstrained by what Powell or whoever his successor does,” effectively neutering Fed funds while creating a “sink of tens of trillions of dollars” to finance deficits. The geopolitical enforcement mechanism, in his telling, is blunt: deny access to US financial rails—or sanction foreign elites—if local regulators resist.
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The market impact, he says, is unambiguously bullish for crypto. With on-chain dollars paying a modest yield, users can frictionlessly move into basis-trade tokens, spend with crypto cash cards, and post stablecoins as collateral across DeFi. “TVL… should go into the tens of trillions pretty quickly if… US monetary authorities follow through on this national policy of pro-stablecoin and let’s shove dollars to all these places in the world.”
Against that backdrop, Hayes places Bitcoin at the apex of the risk spectrum. He calls it “the best performing asset in human history since it launched in 2009,” and rejects the idea that latecomers have missed the move: “I wouldn’t say that just because you’re coming in at 2025 and Bitcoin’s at 120,000 or whatever it is that you’ve missed the boat. We still have a long way to go.”
Pressed on price, Hayes links the $15 million figure to a particular personnel outcome at the Fed: “If that guy [Zervos] gets in, you know, Bitcoin will be at like 15 million because he’s just going to do yield curve control, you know, printing money, immediate 300 basis point cuts.”
While not a base case, the scenario illustrates his conviction that the political economy points to structurally looser policy—and structurally higher Bitcoin. In the immediate term, Hayes remains fully invested and is prepared to buy weakness around Jackson Hole. “If… Powell… doesn’t talk about cuts at all and market tanks 15–20%, I’ve got some extra cash and I’ll be going shopping.”
At press time, BTC traded at $113,569.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Altcoins
BitMEX Founder Arthur Hayes Dumps Ethereum and Two Altcoins, Warns of Imminent Pullbacks in Bitcoin and ETH
Published
3 weeks agoon
August 3, 2025By
admin
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes is unloading his altcoin positions, believing that the crypto market will witness a correction this month.
In a new post on the social media platform X, blockchain tracking firm Lookonchain spotted Hayes selling millions of dollars worth of Ethereum (ETH) as well as the memecoin Pepe (PEPE) and the stablecoin-focused project Ethena (ENA).
“Arthur Hayes sold 2,373 ETH ($8.32 million), 7.76M ENA ($4.62 million) and 38.86 billion PEPE( $414,700)…”
The crypto veteran says he’s selling his altcoins because he believes that Q3 will be a period of sluggish economic growth. Hayes believes monetary policies are not loose enough to stimulate the economy, especially with Trump’s tariffs on the horizon.
According to Hayes, macroconditions are ripe to trigger significant retracements for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum.
“Why? US Tariff bill coming due in 3Q … at least the market believes that after NFP (non-farm payroll) print. No major economy is creating enough credit fast enough to boost nominal GDP. So BTC tests $100,000, ETH tests $3,000.”
Despite his short-term bearish stance on crypto, Hayes believes that the asset class is still in a strong uptrend
Late last month, he unveiled his year-end price targets for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
“My year-end targets:
Bitcoin = $250,000.
Ether = $10,000.”
At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $113,197, while ETH is worth $3,420.
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Arthur Hayes
Bitcoin to reach $250K, Ethereum $10K by year-end
Published
4 weeks agoon
July 23, 2025By
admin

What happens when the world is trapped in endless wars, drowning in debt, and unwilling to raise taxes? According to Arthur Hayes, it sets the stage for one of the biggest crypto rallies in history.
Summary
- Arthur Hayes sees wartime deficit spending and central bank liquidity as major catalysts for crypto.
- He forecasts Bitcoin reaching $250K and Ethereum $10K by the end of 2025.
- Crypto, in his view, remains the clearest hedge against currency debasement and sovereign debt crises.
Hayes outlined his macro thesis in a July 23 article, predicting that by the end of 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $250,000 and Ethereum (ETH) could reach $10,000. He argues that both military spending and strategic business investments are propelling the U.S. economy into a period of wartime-like credit expansion.
This surge in liquidity, he says, will find its way into assets that are scarce, global, and accessible, like crypto. Rather than seeing inflation as a threat, Hayes views it as the fuel for the next crypto bull run.
A war-inflated credit cycle could benefit crypto
Hayes sees the current geopolitical order, particularly the expanding wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, as a catalyst for runaway government borrowing. Citing the U.S. defense budget, which surpassed $1 trillion in 2024, and expanding programs in Europe and Asia, he describes a global environment primed for aggressive fiscal expansion.
This surge in public spending, he notes, will be funded not by higher taxes but by central bank balance sheets. As real interest rates are forced negative to keep debt service sustainable, Hayes believes inflation will reignite, and risk assets like crypto will benefit most.
Hayes compares it to a new type of quantitative easing that subtly raises asset prices while directing capital into politically supported sectors. He believes that crypto is one of the few places this excess money can flow without causing social unrest.
Unlike food or housing, where rising prices hurt the average person, Bitcoin and Ethereum benefit from inflation without creating backlash. Crypto becomes, in his words, the perfect “escape valve.”
Regulation and institutional adoption move in crypto’s favor
Hayes also notes a changing regulatory environment. With growing bipartisan support for crypto, retirement funds opening up to digital assets, and institutional players ramping up their involvement, the market may be on the verge of a new phase of adoption.
Trump’s second presidency, he suggests, could accelerate this trend through tax incentives and clearer regulation. The view that the supply of cryptocurrency is fixed whereas the supply of fiat currency is expanding quickly lies at the core of Hayes’ perspective.
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24/7 Cryptocurrency News
Arthur Hayes Just Dropped a Bold Price Signal for This Token
Published
1 month agoon
July 12, 2025By
admin
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes is making a big bet on Ethena, scooping up $1.505 million worth of tokens as the ENA price dips. Hayes’ purchase comes via multiple transactions across major platforms, signaling potential upside in the token. This move comes on the heels of Ethena’s listing on the largest Korean exchange, Upbit. Can Hayes’ move spark a rebound in ENA’s price?
Arthur Hayes Accumulates Ethena
According to a recent revelation by on-chain analyst @EmberCN, Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, has accumulated $1.505 million in ENA tokens over the past day. In an X post, the analyst revealed that a wallet address, apparently connected to the BitMEX co-founder, has purchased about 4.2 million ENA tokens via multiple transactions.
Recently, Arthur Hayes expressed his optimism about a ‘monster altseason,’ with Ethereum leading the rally. Hayes’ latest ENA purchase further solidifies his bullish stance on the potential altcoin bull run.

Interestingly, the transactions took place over the last 24 hours, with Hayes using different platforms to acquire the tokens. The breakdown of the transactions reveals that Hayes transferred 755,000 USDC to Binance, which was then withdrawn as 2.1 million ENA tokens.
Additionally, he transferred 248,000 USDC to Wintermute, receiving 700,000 ENA tokens in return. Hayes also sent 502,000 USDC to Galaxy Digital, which resulted in the withdrawal of 1.4 million ENA tokens. These transactions cumulatively amount to a substantial investment in the Ethena token.
Upbit Lists ENA
It is noteworthy that Arthur Hayes’ Ethena purchase comes on the heels of Upbit listing the token. In an X post yesterday, Hayes wrote, “ENA listed on largest Korean exchange. It’s time for liftoff!”
$ENA listed on largest Korean exchange. It’s time for liftoff!
Yachtzee 😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍 pic.twitter.com/6V4FeUiYmq
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) July 11, 2025
With a dominant 81% market share and little competition, Ethena is poised for significant growth in the synthetic dollar sector. According to Conor Ryder, Head of Research, the platform has the potential to generate over a billion dollars in revenue. Immediately after Upbit announced the listing of ENA on its KRW, BTC, and USDT markets, the ENA price surged by 20%.
ENA Price Dips: Will It Rebound?
Significantly, Arthur Hayes bought the tokens when the ENA price dipped to a low of $0.22. Now, the token has surged to reach $0.33, after hitting a daily high of $0.37.
As of press time, Ethena is trading at $0.3371, down by 7.4%. However, over the past week, ENA has seen a notable growth of 32%. The 24-hour trading volume has declined by a massive 54%, reaching $518 million.


According to CoinGape’s Ethena price prediction, the ENA price has a maximum upper limit of $0.4526016. However, market experts believe that the token is poised to surge past a high of $1.
Nynu V Jamal
Nynu V Jamal is a Senior Journalist at CoinGape. She boasts more than 3 years of experience in content writing, with expertise in crypto and blockchain. She has contributed to platforms like CoinEdition and CryptoTale, demonstrating her proficiency in navigating the dynamic crypto landscape.
Beyond her journalistic pursuits, Nynu is a literary enthusiast, having served as an Assistant Professor of English Language and Literature. She is a Master’s degree holder in English Literature and a UGC NET qualifier. Her academic background has enabled her to publish research papers on literature, while also nurturing her creative side as a published poet.
Her creative side extends to music, crafts, and art, which she actively explores. Her unique blend of analytical and creative skills allows her to craft engaging stories that captivate audiences. Stay updated with Nynu on LinkedIn
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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