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Analyst Unveils ‘Most Brutal Scenario for Ethereum’ (ETH), Warns Bitcoin (BTC) Could Witness More Losses

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A crypto strategist is issuing a warning on Ethereum, saying that ETH is now in the midst of a major correction.

Pseudonymous analyst Ali Martinez tells his 56,500 followers on the social media platform X that Ethereum is now bearish after breaking below support at $3,400.

The trader shares a chart suggesting that ETH may witness an over 14% decline from current levels after confirming a bear pennant breakdown.

“The most brutal scenario for Ethereum right now is breaching the $3,400 support level. Such a move could confirm a bear pennant formation on the daily chart, potentially triggering a major correction for ETH down to $2,800.” 

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Source: Ali Martinez/X

A bear pennant is a technical pattern indicating the continuation of downward price action.

Looking at on-chain data, Martinez says that the $2,850 level may offer support for Ethereum as it is the price area where 1.99 million addresses collectively bought a total of 1.64 million ETH.

“Ethereum dropping below $3,460 is a problem for the bulls! Given the lack of support, it increases the chances for a further ETH correction toward $2,850 or lower.” 

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

At time of writing, Ethereum is trading for $3,284, down over 6% in the last 24 hours.

Looking at Bitcoin (BTC), the trader says that the crypto king will likely see more downside moves if it starts trading below the 200 exponential moving average (EMA) on the four-hour chart.

“The 200 EMA on the Bitcoin four-hour chart has been formidable support. Since early February, it has prevented BTC from dropping further.

For this reason, I’m paying close attention to this level because if it holds, it guarantees a rebound, but if it breaks as it did in mid-January, it could lead to more losses for BTC.” 

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $65,592 while the 200 EMA on the four-hour chart is hovering at $65,549.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Crashes 5% To Lowest Level In 3 Months, What Happens Next?

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Recent data shows that the Bitcoin mining difficulty is on the decline and has hit its lowest since May. This is significant considering what this could mean for the Bitcoin ecosystem, specifically Bitcoin’s price.

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops To 79.5 T

Data from CoinWarz shows that Bitcoin mining difficulty has dropped to 79.5 T at block 851,204 and hasn’t changed in the last 24 hours. This mining difficulty has continued to fall for a while, with further data from CoinWarz showing that it is down 5% in the last seven and 30 days. 

Bitcoin mining difficulty refers to how hard it is for miners to mine a new block on the Bitcoin network. The difficulty usually reduces when there is less computational power on the power and increases when miners are mining faster than the block average time of ten minutes. The recent drop in mining difficulty suggests that more miners are leaving the Bitcoin network.

This is most likely due to the effects of the Bitcoin halving, which cut miners’ rewards in half. This has reduced the revenue from their mining operations, with many miners struggling to stay afloat, especially with increased competition. Bitcoin’s price action since the halving has also not helped, as the drop in the flagship crypto’s price has also affected their income. 

Bitcoin miner f2pool recently highlighted the profitability of various categories of miners at Bitcoin’s current price. The mining firm noted that only ASICs with a Unit Power of 26 W/T or less can make a profit at Bitcoin’s current price range. 

Bitcoin mining

Crypto analyst James Van Straten also recently highlighted how “weak and inefficient miners” continue to be purged from the Bitcoin network. He claimed that the recent drop in mining difficulty shows that miner capitulation is closer to ending. Due to the low profitability that miners have faced since the halving, some have had to offload a significant amount of their Bitcoin reserves to meet operational costs, and others have had to exit the Bitcoin ecosystem entirely. 

What This Means For Bitcoin’s Price

The decline in mining difficulty suggests that miner capitulation might be ending soon, which is a positive for Bitcoin’s price considering the selling pressure these miners have put on it. Bitcoinist reported that Bitcoin miners sold over 30,000 BTC ($2 billion) last month, which ultimately caused the flagship crypto to experience significant price crashes.

Crypto expert Willy Woo also attributed Bitcoin’s tepid price action to these miners and mentioned that the flagship crypto will only recover when the “weak miners die and hash rate recovers.” He stated that Bitcoin would have to shed weak hands for this to happen, with inefficient miners going into bankruptcy while other mines are forced to buy more efficient hardware. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin (BTC) Price, Volume Contrasts In Fight For Rebound

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The price of Bitcoin (BTC)e is yet to wriggle off from its bearish sentiment. It has doubled down on its selloffs from the past week.

BTC Trading Volume Records 94% Surge

At the time of this writing, Bitcoin was trading at $55,677.54 with a 2.34% drop in the last 24 hours. This has been the trend with the cryptocurrency in the last few weeks.

Markedly, this downtrend has been since the German government began to transfer Bitcoin to cryptocurrency exchanges, in addition to Mt.Gox repayment of its customers. The frequent offloads are an indication that Bitcoin investors including wallets that have stayed dormant for several years, are beginning to exit their positions, both short and long.

On the flip side, Bitcoin trading volume is moving upward. According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin’s trading volume has shot up by approximately 94.66% within the last 24 hours. Currently, BTC has hit a trading volume of $38,838,830,710. This suggests that investors are still showing interest in the coin amidst a broad market downturn. It reflects the change in market dynamics on the upside. This suggest that the market may be heading towards a bullish sentiment and probably hit a new all-time-high (ATH) as earlier projected.

For now, the selling pressure is still mounting. According to QCP Capital analysts, Bitcoin prices are continuing “to chop violently on very thin liquidity.”

Bitcoin Liquidation Continues With Mt.Gox And the German Government

More Bitcoin are still leaving the German government wallet, triggering more selling pressure. In the early hours of Monday, the German government dumped BTC to crypto market maker Cumberland DRW and Flow Traders, including crypto exchanges Coinbase, Bitstamp, and Kraken and other wallet addresses. This time around, almost 5,000 BTC were sent out by the German government.

The transfer to Cumberland DRW was made in two transactions. Markedly, the first one was a transfer of 0.001, likely a test transfer to follow with large transfers in the future. The total Bitcoin transfer to the crypto market maker summed up to 133.723 BTC worth nearly $7.63 million.

Just before publishing this story, the government moved another 2,300 BTC in its ongoing liquidations. It is believed that the German government still has as much as 32,488 BTC with an estimated worth of $1.855 billion

Similarly, Bitstamp is working on hastening the Mt.Gox repayment process. The exchange has a 60-day window to distribute tokens but aims to compensate investors much sooner. When this Bitcoin hit the market, the trajectory of Bitcoin is bound to change but the direction remains uncertain.

Read More: Bitcoin Miner Bitfarms Appoints New CEO Amid Riot Takeover Bid

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Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture. Follow him on Twitter, Linkedin

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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BlackRock’s BUIDL adds over $5m in a week despite market turbulence 

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The Ethereum-based BUIDL fund from the leading asset manager BlackRock has gulped over $5 million in assets over the past week despite the ongoing market turbulence.

Market analytics resource IntoTheBlock (ITB) revealed this in a recent disclosure, stressing that the fund has commanded considerable interest among investors. 

Launched in March on Ethereum, the BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) marks the company’s first tokenized fund. It allows qualified investors to procure yields in U.S. dollars by subscribing through the fintech company Securitize. 

Notably, two months after the fund’s launch, Securitize secured a $47 million funding round from multiple investors, including BlackRock. 

The BUIDL fund allocates investments into U.S. Treasury bills, cash, and repurchase agreements. This enables investors to generate yield while maintaining their holdings as tokens on the blockchain. Despite a correlation with the crypto industry, the fund has maintained a positive path amid the ongoing market turmoil.

According to data sourced by ITB, BUIDL now boasts $491 million in assets under management (AUM) amid a sustained growth trajectory. This feat comes as the broader global crypto market lost $290 billion in July, with Bitcoin (BTC) collapsing below $57,000.

On-chain data shows that BUIDL’s AUM stood at $486.46 million as of July 2. Interestingly, this figure has since increased to $491.83 million, recent data confirms. The growth rate indicates an addition of $5.37 million in the last week despite the bearish atmosphere.

With this bullish performance, BUIDL has maintained its position as the largest blockchain-based money market fund. Notably, BUIDL surpassed the BENJI fund from Franklin Templeton to become the largest money market fund in May, when its AUM soared to $375 million. 

As such, BUIDL has recorded inflows totaling $116.83 million. Meanwhile, BENJI has only seen $33.97 million in capital inflows within the same period.





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