Altcoins
Don’t Expect Altseason Until This Happens, According to Crypto Analyst Benjamin Cowen
Published
1 week agoon
By
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A widely followed crypto analyst says that investors shouldn’t expect altcoin season until the Federal Reserve makes its next move.
In a new video update, crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen tells his 802,000 YouTube subscribers that altseason likely won’t happen until the Fed loosens monetary policy and cuts interest rates.
According to Cowen, in the last cycle, altcoins outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) only after the Federal Reserve began to cut rates.
“There’s a lot of altcoins that are actually going down, there’s more going down than going up and that’s why the advance/decline index is dropping off again and it also dropped off right over here in 2019 just before the FED cut.
It dropped off very, very quickly and then of course the FED started to cut in in July, so I would keep an eye on that because a lot of people they keep calling for altseason and whatnot and for altcoins to durably outform Bitcoin but last cycle we didn’t reach that phase until after the FED cut rates.”
![](https://dailyhodl.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Screenshot_20240615-024839_YouTube.jpg)
Cowen goes on to say that he expects altcoins to bleed out against the top crypto asset by market cap until the Fed reverses course.
“My expectation is that Bitcoin dominance is going to go up to around 60%. I think altcoins will continue bleeding back to the king…
I do wonder if you’re going to see a very big surge in Bitcoin dominance over the next few months as Bitcoin continues to just sort of absorb that liquidity from the altcoin market.”
BTC”s dominance level is currently at 55.39% while the total crypto market cap excluding BTC (TOTAL2) is sitting at $1.049 trillion at time of writing.
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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.
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Altcoins
‘Welcome to the Bottom of Altcoins’ – Analyst Says Bitcoin Dominance Ready for Largest Plummet in Four Years
Published
2 days agoon
June 24, 2024By
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A closely followed crypto analyst thinks it’s almost time for altcoins to witness the steepest leg of the bull market.
Pseudonymous analyst TechDev tells his 460,100 followers on the social media platform X that the Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) chart is flashing a massive bearish reversal signal.
The BTC.D index tracks how much of the total crypto market cap belongs to Bitcoin. A bearish BTC.D chart suggests that altcoins are about to outperform Bitcoin.
According to TechDev, BTC.D is showing a bearish divergence on the five-day chart, indicating that Bitcoin is losing momentum against altcoins.
“The building five-day bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance says it’s ready for its largest plummet in four years.
Those new to this, welcome to the bottom of altcoins’ wave two. They come at BTC all-time high consolidations.
And you hear about ‘What if no altseason?’
Wait until you see wave three.”
TechDev practices Elliott Wave theory, which states that a bullish asset tends to witness a five-wave surge, where waves one, three and five are upside moves and waves two and four are corrective periods. The theory also states that wave three is the longest wave of the rally.
To support his bullish stance on altcoins, the analyst shares an eight-week chart of the OTHERS index, which tracks the market capitalization of all crypto excluding the ten largest digital assets and stablecoins.
According to TechDev’s chart, OTHERS appears to be retesting its exponential moving average (EMA) as support, similar to what happened in the early stages of the 2017 and 2020 bull markets.
“Altcoins.
Think it’s over? So did they.”
Looking at the trader’s chart, it seems that the EMA is hovering at $200 billion. At time of writing, OTHERS is trading at $222.757 billion.
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Altcoins
Forget The Dip! XRP Primed For Epic Rally To $36, Expert Claims
Published
2 days agoon
June 24, 2024By
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The price of XRP, the native token of RippleNet, has been caught in the crosshairs of a bearish crypto market. Currently trading below the crucial $0.50 mark, XRP seems to be following the broader market trend. However, a recent analysis by market analyst Tylie Eric throws a glimmer of hope for XRP holders, predicting a potential price surge based on a technical indicator.
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Understanding Elliott Wave Theory
Eric argues that XRP’s price movements might be following a historical pattern known as the Elliott Wave theory. This theory proposes that market trends unfold in a specific five-wave structure, with each wave representing a distinct phase in the price cycle.
According to Eric, XRP has exhibited this five-wave structure on multiple occasions in the past on its weekly chart. Notably, each time this pattern materialized, the fifth and final wave culminated in a significant price increase.
#XRP.
BEAT BY BEAT
I think XRP has ticked all the boxes and held all requirements to continue with wave 3 of wave 5,
Same way it did in 2017! pic.twitter.com/qqexAC7b1X— Tylie E (@TylieEric) June 20, 2024
Eric cites the example of early 2017, where the completion of the fifth wave triggered a surge that propelled XRP to a high of $0.39, a staggering 7,700% increase. This upswing was followed by a brief consolidation period before another decisive rally to $3.30.
A Potential Fifth Wave?
Building on this historical precedent, Eric believes XRP is nearing the conclusion of another five-wave structure that began its formation after the 2017 price drop. His analysis suggests that all four preceding waves have unfolded over the past six years, paving the way for a potential fifth wave that could mirror the dramatic rise witnessed in 2017.
Eric’s audacious prediction hinges on the assumption that the fifth wave will again translate to a substantial price increase. His chart projects a potential upsurge of a staggering 7,630%, which would propel XRP to a price target of a phenomenal $36. This prediction aligns with forecasts from other analysts like CryptoInsightUK, who projected an XRP price surge to $34 last September.
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Long Way Ahead
Eric’s prediction hinges on the completion of the Elliott Wave structure, a technical theory that remains a subject of debate among financial experts. Furthermore, the $36 price target appears highly ambitious. It’s important to remember that achieving such a price point would require XRP to surpass the current market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined.
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Altcoins
Ethereum On-Chain Metric Suggests Potential for Altcoin Market Rallies, According to Analytics Firm CryptoQuant
Published
3 days agoon
June 23, 2024By
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An Ethereum (ETH) on-chain metric suggests the altcoin market could be primed for a price surge, according to the digital asset analytics firm CryptoQuant.
The firm says on the social media platform X that Ethereum’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator is rising faster than Bitcoin’s (BTC) MVRV.
“This suggests that ETH’s market is heating up. Historically, when Ethereum surges, other alts tend to follow.”
MVRV is the ratio of a digital asset’s market capitalization relative to its realized capitalization (the value of all the assets at the price they were bought). It is used to assess whether the token is undervalued or overvalued.
ETH is trading at $3,514 at time of writing. The second-ranked crypto asset by market cap has largely traded sideways this week.
CryptoQuant also notes that Bitcoin is trading below the critical support level of $65,800, which the firm says suggests a potential 8%-12% correction toward $60,000.
BTC is priced at $64,148 at time of writing. The top-ranked crypto asset by market cap is down nearly 1.5% in the past 24 hours and more than 3% in the past week.
Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s head of research, says on X that the Bitcoin market is currently at its least bullish point since September 2023, based on its bull market cycle indicator.
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