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Is the crypto bull run over?

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Memecoins powerhouse and major L1 blockchain network Solana lost billions in market cap on Monday, as the whole crypto market slid down over 4%.

Solana (SOL) lost roughly $3 billion in value and retraced to around $128, down 10% in the past seven days and around 50% away from its all-time high (ATH) set during the previous 2021 peak. 

Other major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), BNB, XRP, Toncoin (TON), and Dogecoin (DOGE), also declined as much as 10% in the last week amid a broad market downturn. The crypto fear and greed index notched a neutral level at around 51 for the first time in over a month. In other words, general crypto sentiment is uncertain about the market’s trajectory, whether bullish or bearish.

Solana sheds $7b in 7 days: Is the crypto bull run over? - 1
Crypto fear and greed index | Source: alternative.me

Where is the market heading? 

Observing previous cycles, 30%-40% drops in the market are common, especially following Bitcoin halvings. Therefore, the ongoing market downswings is not surprising. 

Furthermore, according to TradingView, the total cryptocurrency market cap has grown over 35% year-to-date (YTD). In comparison, the S&P500 index is up just 15% over the same time period.

Solana sheds $7b in 7 days: Is the crypto bull run over? - 2
Total crypto market growth this year | Source: TradingView

As crypto.news reported, altcoin products also recorded inflows last week. This could indicate an appetite to “buy the dip” from investors and traders interested in risk assets. 

Another factor to consider in the economic control measures deployed by the Federal Reserve geared toward. Despite the recent hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, a rate cut in September remains the expectation. 

Experts expect the forthcoming Securities and Commission (SEC) approval for spot Ethereum ETF to catalyze more growth. However, decentralized finance (defi) proponents remain unconvinced about how ETF ETFs tracking spot prices will positively impact the on-chain ecosystem. 

Additionally, the dynamics introduced by the Bitcoin halving are set to deliver a supply shock. Since block rewards have been halved, and spot Bitcoin ETFs exist with growing demand, there isn’t enough Bitcoin to meet eventual buying pressure. Analysts surmise this phenomenon will drive prices higher. 



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Here Are Price Targets for Bitcoin, Solana, and Render, According to Analyst Jason Pizzino

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A closely followed crypto strategist and trader is revealing his price targets for Bitcoin (BTC) and two altcoin projects.

In a new strategy session, analyst Jason Pizzino tells his 329,000 YouTube subscribers that based on the average true range (ATR) indicator Bitcoin could soon break through key price target resistance levels.

The ATR indicator measures volatility by showing an asset’s trading range over a specified period.

“You can see the dying off here of the average true range of the bar. Previous cycles, look what happened. Average true range picks up, dies off, dies off, dies off, and then you start to get a higher low form and by that stage, you’re really a decent way from the stealth zone.”

Source: Jason Pizzino/YouTube

According to the analyst, Bitcoin has historically made “stealth moves” to the upside when the ATR indicator reaches a local low and price continues to consolidate or puts in higher lows.

The analyst’s key price targets to the upside include $63,300 on the daily chart, $65,200 on the weekly chart and $72,000 on the monthly chart.

Bitcoin is trading for $60,176 at time of writing, down nearly 3% in the last 24 hours.

Next up, the analyst believes that Ethereum (ETH) competitor Solana (SOL) will move toward its current cycle top.

“With the higher lows and now trying to push higher above the 50% at $137. Next target on the weekly chart is $165. And then we go towards $190, $210. So $190 is above these tops. Then $210 is the current top for Solana. So it’s on its way. It hasn’t got those longer-term time frames confirmed yet, and those longer terms are the weeklies.”

Source: Jason Pizzino/YouTube

Solana is trading for $141 at time of writing, down more than 8% in the last 24 hours.

Lastly, the analyst predicts that Render (RNDR), the graphics processing unit (GPU) rendering blockchain, will reclaim a double-digit value.

“Now, what do we need to see until it gets there? Obviously higher lows, and that would happen throughout this next couple of months, maybe even up to four months as we get to that [US presidential] election… If I keep seeing higher lows, it’s not going to stop me from getting into the market if it breaks out through that period.”

Source: Jason Pizzino/YouTube

Render is trading for $7.04 at time of writing, down 7.7% in the last 24 hours.

 

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Bitcoin price plunges below $55k as Mt. Gox announces repayments

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The price of Bitcoin has continued its descending movement, sliding under the $55,000 threshold, returning back to levels last seen in February.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) sell-off has intensified amid reports that the collapsed crypto exchange Mt. Gox moved over 47,000 BTC (worth around $2.6 billion) to a new wallet ahead of its $9 billion payout. At the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin is $54,561, a mark last witnessed in February, when the largest by market capitalization cryptocurrency was surging to a new all-time high.

Following the transaction, Mt. Gox trustee officially confirmed on Jul. 5 during Friday’s Asian trading hours that the collapsed exchange “made repayments in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash to some of the rehabilitation creditors.” The trustee didn’t specify though the amount of BTCs sent to creditors.

The crypto market has faced significant pressure recently, affecting both investor sentiment and miner operations following the April halving, which reduced mining rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. At Bitcoin’s current price, only five ASIC rigs from Avalon and Antminer remain profitable, according to f2pool’s X post.

The rapid drop below $55,000 has pressured speculators, resulting in $682 million in liquidations of both long and short positions across multiple exchanges, according to Coinglass.

Bitcoin price plunges below $55k as Mt. Gox announces repayments - 1

Over the past 24 hours, more than 235,000 traders were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation order on Binance’s ETH/USDT trading pair valued at over $18.4 million. According to CoinGecko, the total crypto market capitalization dropped by over 8% to $2 trillion, increasing sell-offs among speculators.

As crypto.news reported earlier, TRON founder Justin Sun offered to help the industry by teasing his “willingness” to buy confiscated Bitcoins from the German government over-the-counter. It’s unclear when these negotiations will begin, but with the recent movement of Bitcoins to centralized exchanges from Germany-labeled addresses, Mt. Gox’s repayments have seemingly become the primary concern among traders.





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Bitcoin’s quick dip below $57k forces beginners to capitulate, CryptoQuant says

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As Bitcoin plunged below the $57,000 mark, concerns surged among investors about potential market volatility and its impact on miners.

On Thursday morning, speculators continued their selling pressure, forcing Bitcoin (BTC) to dip below $57,000 for the first time since February. As of press time, Bitcoin rebounded above the $57,000 mark, but its previous quick plunge might signal weakness, potentially impacting sentiment among retail traders.

Bitcoin's quick dip below $57k forces beginners to capitulate, CryptoQuant says - 1
Bitcoin daily price in USD | Source: crypto.news

Blockchain research firm CryptoQuant noted that crypto beginners — who bought BTC over the past six to three months — have started moving their coins amid the plunge and “increasing selling pressure.” According to the platform’s data, approximately $2.4 billion worth of BTC controlled by crypto beginners began moving, likely signaling their intention to sell at current market prices.

The market turbulence might also be worsened by miners, who are facing a rapid drop in hashprice, a metric representing miner revenue per terahash. Crypto mining analytics firm Hashrate Index noted that the hashprice mark amid Bitcoin’s plunge is “scratching its all-time low,” a level last seen during the bear market. As of press time, hashprice is at $44.69, potentially pushing some miners to liquidate their reserves to sustain operational expenses.

In a May exclusive interview with crypto.news, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno noted that the market is “likely to see a miner capitulation if prices don’t recover significantly during the summer,” adding that the hashprice (average miner revenue per hash) is repeatedly “making new lows” following the latest halving. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $57,336, according to data from crypto.news.



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