Crypto expert Michael van de Poppe has highlighted an important indicator which suggests that Bitcoin could make a crucial bounce from its current price level. This follows the flagship crypto’s recent decline below $60,000. 

BTC’s CME Gap Has Closed

Van de Poppe revealed in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin’s CME gap has closed and added that it is time for the crypto token to enjoy a relief bounce from its current price level. From the chart he shared, Bitcoin will reclaim $60,000 as support before moving further to the upside. 

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Crypto analyst Mkybull Crypto also confirmed that the CME gap has been filled. Like Van de Poppe’s prediction, the analyst expects Bitcoin to reclaim the $60,000 range and possibly continue its upward trend. Mikybull Crypto revealed that Bitcoin has completed its inverse head-and-shoulder pattern on the daily chart. He predicted that the flagship crypto could reach a minimum breakout target of $70,000 when it successfully breaks out above $62,000. 

Mikybull Crypto also mentioned that the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicator indicates that a bullish cross is imminent for Bitcoin. He noted that this indicates strength for the flagship crypto and that its price is poised to rise. The crypto analyst is also undeterred by Bitcoin’s recent underperformance as he is confident that a parabolic rally will soon enough. 

Contrary to what some might think, he claimed that the cycle top isn’t in yet and that this is simply a “final shakeout” before the market top is in. Based on the chart he shared, he predicts that Bitcoin will still climb above $100,000 and possibly reach $130,000. The analyst had previously mentioned between $138,000 and $150,000 as “optimal targets for Bitcoin in this bull run.”

What Next For Bitcoin?

With Bitcoin failing to hold above $60,000, the bearish calls are becoming louder in the crypto community. Some predict that the flagship crypto could drop to the $40,000 range soon enough. Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto claimed that “there is still a lot that must be done” for Bitcoin to drop that range, suggesting that it is unlikely to happen anytime soon. 

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He also provided insights into what will likely happen to Bitcoin at its current price level. According to CrediBULL Crypto, there is a chance that Bitcoin will wick the $58,000 low, hold a higher low above the $56,000 low, and then reverse from there. He further raised the possibility of Bitcoin dropping into the $53,000 demand area if the $56,000 lows are breached. 

Additionally, the crypto analyst mentioned that $40,000 could become possible if Bitcoin fails to hold above $53,000. However, he believes this scenario of Bitcoin dropping to $40,000 is “the least likely to actually play out.” He remarked that this isn’t something anyone should be placing “heavy weight on at this time.”

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is down at press time, wiping the weekend’s gains and inching closer to $60,000. If bears press on, increasing their shorts, the odds of the coin sliding below the psychological number and $56,800 remain high.

Glassnode: STHs Are In Red

As the world’s most valuable coin finds itself at a critical juncture, fast approaching $60,000, on-chain data points to weakness at spot rates.

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In a post on X, Glassnode, a blockchain analytics firm, highlighted how BTC finds itself in a unique situation.

While Bitcoin is in green, rallying by over 100% over the last year, data shows that many short-term holders (STHs), primarily traders and speculators, are underwater. STHs are entities or addresses that bought their coins in the last 155 days or before the end of 2023.

During this time, not only did prices soar to an all-time high, meaning all coins were in circulation by mid-March 2024, but speculators were raving, expecting prices to continue soaring. However, this didn’t come to pass because no sooner had BTC breached $70,000, rising to $73,800, prices fell sharply.

By mid-May, BTC cratered to $56,800 before briefly bouncing to around $71,500. The failure of bulls to break $72,000, a level closely monitored by traders, means sellers have the upper hand at press time.

Glassnode’s assessment suggests that though STHs are feeling the pressure, only those who bought and HODL over the last year are in the money. With a 2X surge over the previous 12 months, BTC is technically in an uptrend, aligning with gains from the second half of 2023.

HODLers Are In The Money: Why Are BTC Whales Selling?

Other parallel data shows that long-term holders (LTHs), especially those who bought in the last five to seven years, enjoy a realized price of less than $7,300. This means that regardless of the current volatility, these HODLers are in the money and can wait for the current shake-out to end.

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Amid this state of affairs, Lookonchain data shows that Bitcoin whales have been moving coins to Binance. Often, transfers to centralized exchanges are considered bearish. Therefore, the more coins sent, the more bearish the sentiment and the net negative it is on prices.

As of July 3, the analytics platform noted that one whale sent 1,023 BTC, worth roughly $62 million, to Binance. Earlier, another whale transferred 1,723 BTC, worth over $106 million, to the world’s largest crypto exchange.

Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView