Technical expert Tony Severino has warned that the Bitcoin and altcoins Fischer Transform indicator has flipped bearish for the first time since 2021. The analyst also revealed the implications of this development and how exactly it could impact these crypto assets. 

Bitcoin And Altcoins Fischer Transform Indicator Turns Bearish

In an X post, Severino revealed that the total crypto market cap 12-week Fisher Transform has flipped bearish for the first time since December 2021. Before then, the indicator had flipped bearish in January 2018. In 2021 and 2018, the total crypto market cap dropped 66% and 82%, respectively. This provides a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and altcoins, suggesting they could suffer a massive crash soon enough. 

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In another X post, the technical expert revealed that Bitcoin’s 12-week Fischer Transform has also flipped bearish. Severino noted that this indicator converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution to smooth out price data and filter out noise. In the process, it helps generate clear signals that help pinpoint major market turning points. 

Severino asserted that this indicator on the 12-week timeframe has never missed a top or bottom call, indicating that Bitcoin and altcoins may have indeed topped out. The expert has been warning for a while now that the Bitcoin top might be in and that a massive crash could be on the horizon for the flagship crypto.

He recently alluded to the Elliott Wave Theory and market cycles to explain why he is no longer bullish on Bitcoin and altcoins. He also highlighted other indicators, such as the Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) and Average Directional Index (ADX), to show that BTC’s bullish momentum is fading. The expert also warned that a sell signal could send BTC into a Supertrend DownTrend, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $22,000. 

A Different Perspective For BTC

Crypto analyst Kevin Capital has provided a different perspective on Bitcoin’s price action. While noting that BTC is in a correctional phase, he affirmed that it will soon be over. Kevin Capital claimed that the question is not whether this phase will end. Instead, it is about how strong Bitcoin’s bounce will be and whether the flagship crypto will make new highs or record a lackluster lower high followed by a bear market. 

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The analyst added that Bitcoin’s price action when that time comes will also be trackable using other methods, such as money flow, macro fundamentals, and overall spot volume. The major focus is on the macro fundamentals as market participants look forward to Donald Trump’s much-anticipated reciprocal tariffs, which will be announced tomorrow. 

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $83,000, up around 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Cryptocurrencies will likely be volatile this week once President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs go into effect and the U.S. publishes nonfarm payroll data. 

The week started on a dull note, with most coins remaining in a bear market. At last check, Bitcoin (BTC) had dropped to $82,432.00.

The crypto fear and greed index has slumped to the fear zone 25. Some of the top cryptocurrencies to watch this week are Solana, Polkadot, and Cronos.

Solana

Solana (SOL), the popular layer-1 network, will be in the spotlight this week since its price is hovering above the key support level at $119.5. As shown above, it has failed to drop below this level several times since April last year, a sign that bears have been afraid of shorting below it. 

Therefore, a drop below $119.5 will confirm a bearish breakdown and point to further downside. Besides, the Solana price formed a death cross pattern on March 3 as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages crossed each other.

A drop below $119.6 indicates a further drop to $100. 

Cronos

Cronos, formerly Crypto.com, will be one of the top cryptocurrencies to watch this week because of its strong performance last week. It jumped by 30% in the last seven days, and by 54% from its lowest point this year. 

Cronos price has bounced back after Crypto.com partnered with Donald Trump’s Trump Media to launch ETFs. It also rose after the community voted to allow the creation of another 70 billion CRO tokens, which will be used to create a Strategic Crypto Reserve. 

The community also voted to burn 50 million CRO tokens. The daily chart shows that the Cronos price rebounded after hitting the crucial support level at $0.0715, where it failed to drop below in August and November last year.

A breakout above this month’s high of $0.1197 will point to further gains, potentially to the 50% retracement level at $0.133.

Polkadot

Polkadot (DOT) will be a top crypto to watch because its price is at a crucial support level. DOT was trading at $4.08, a few points above the key support point at $3.60.

This support is crucial since it failed to drop below it several times since 2022. 

Polkadot price has also formed a falling wedge pattern, with the two lines nearing their confluence level. This price action points toward a strong bullish breakout in most periods, which may happen this week. Such a move would see DOT price jump to $12.

Ethereum has once again fallen below the $2,000 mark, a psychological level it had briefly reclaimed earlier this week. The market-wide correction over the past 24 hours has weighed on Ethereum’s recovery momentum, and the leading altcoin has seen a dip in sentiment that could lead to a deeper decline or a sharp mid-term rebound. 

Short-term sentiment is cautious, but a new analysis from a well-followed crypto analyst has brought attention to a significant technical event that opens up a bullish perspective for the Ethereum price.

Ethereum Hits 300-Week Moving Average Again: What Happened The Last Time?

Taking to social media platform X, crypto analyst CryptoBullet pointed out that Ethereum has now touched the 300-week moving average for only the second time in its history. The first instance was in June 2022, during the market-wide crash that saw the Ethereum price plummet to as low as $880 before beginning a long, slow recovery.

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The second occurrence has come this month, March 2025, just as Ethereum continues to extend its struggles in gaining a footing above $2,000. With Ethereum touching the 300-week moving average again, we can only look back to see what happened last time to get a perspective of what to expect now.

In June 2022, Ethereum’s touch of the 300-week moving average marked the beginning of a long-term recovery phase. After the bounce from that level, the Ethereum price surged more than 140% over the next eight weeks, eventually pushing above $2,100 in August 2022 before another correction.

Mid-Term Rebound In Focus For ETH, But Resistance Ahead

CryptoBullet noted the significance of this moving average, framing it as a key historical support zone. The analyst argued that regardless of bearish sentiment in the short term, this kind of macro-level support typically sets the stage for a meaningful bounce. 

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“Even if you’re a bear, you can’t deny that we hit a very important support level,” he wrote, adding that his price target for the coming bounce is between $2,900 and $3,200. Nonetheless, the bounce will depend on how the Ethereum price reacts to the level, as a continued downside move would cancel out any bullish momentum.

For now, Ethereum’s price is trapped under bearish sentiment, and bulls will need to reclaim the $2,000 zone before any sustainable bounce toward the $2,900 and $3,200 range can begin to materialize. Furthermore, the recent price correction in the past 24 hours increases the risks of the Ethereum price closing March below the 3M Bollinger bands, which is currently just around $2,000. A close below the 3M Bollinger bands could spell trouble for the leading altcoin.

However, if CryptoBullet’s analysis proves to be accurate, Ethereum may soon enter a period of stronger price action that plays out over the coming weeks. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,907, down by 5.82% in the past 24 hours.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com