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Bitcoin Risks Further Decline As Bearish Death Cross Returns

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A crypto analyst has unveiled a new bearish death cross for Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s largest cryptocurrency. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is at risk of further price stalls before any potential upward movement.

Bitcoin Prints Another Bearish Death Cross

In an X (formerly Twitter) post on August 15, a crypto analyst identified as ‘Mags,’ shed light on Bitcoin’s recent price movements, emphasizing key pattern formations and the cryptocurrency’s future outlook. Sharing a chart illustrating Bitcoin’s price action from October 2023 to August 2024, Mags observed that BTC has printed a bearish death cross on the daily chart, where the 50-day Moving Average (50 MA) crosses below the 200-day Moving Average (200 MA).

Bitcoin 1
Source: X

The analyst indicated that the formation of this death cross signals a potential short-term weakness in the Bitcoin market. Generally, a death cross pattern in a cryptocurrency’s chart suggests the probability of further bearish momentum and price declines.

According to Mags, Bitcoin’s recent bearish cross is the second death cross the cryptocurrency has formed since its price bottom at $15,500. He revealed that the previous bearish cross had occurred in September 2023, when Bitcoin was trading at $25,000, representing less than half of its current price.

Following the 2023 bearish cross, Bitcoin traded sideways for several weeks, marked by considerable market volatility. However, the cryptocurrency’s price eventually regained momentum and reclaimed the moving averages. This led to a bullish cross, where 50 MA surpassed the 200 MA, triggering a strong upside rally.

Mags suggests that Bitcoin is currently replicating the same death cross pattern observed in previous trends. He predicts that the pioneer cryptocurrency will experience a few weeks of “choppy price action,” followed by a bullish confirmation if it succeeds in reclaiming the moving averages. The analyst further anticipates a significant bullish cross, potentially leading to a strong rally for Bitcoin.

Bullish Rise To $143,000?

In another X post, a crypto analyst identified as ‘Milkybull Crypto,’ shared a more optimistic price forecast for Bitcoin. By referencing a price chart that tracks Bitcoin’s movement from 2022 to the end of 2024, the analyst drew a parallel between the cryptocurrency’s current market situation and certain events that occurred in 2023.

Bitcoin 2
Source: X

According to Milkybull Crypto, many analysts had predicted a significant Bitcoin crash to $10,000 in 2023. However, the market defied these bearish expectations with an unexpected upward momentum.

The crypto analyst has disclosed that a similar situation was presently unfolding in the market, with most analysts calling for a Bitcoin cycle top. He expects that in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024, Bitcoin will exceed all predictions, rising towards $95,000, before experiencing a massive surge to $145,000.

As of the latest update, the price of Bitcoin is trading below the $59,000 mark. CoinMarketCap reports that the cryptocurrency had experienced a 4.32% decline over the past week which had pushed it to a current price to $58,484.

BTC price holds above $58,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Goldman Sachs (GS) Joins Morgan Stanley (MS) in Holding Bitcoin ETF as Institutional Interest Grows: 13F Wrap

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Another holder of interest at the end of the first quarter was the Wisconsin Pension Fund, which in the last quarter doubled down on its IBIT position as it purchased an additional 447,651 shares of the fund. It also got rid of all of its shares of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) which were worth $63.7 million at the end of March. The state now owns 2,898,051 shares or $98.9 million as of the end of June.



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Bitcoin advocate rebuts IMF Report on crypto carbon emissions

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A recent International Monetary Fund report claiming a surge in carbon emissions from AI and crypto usage has sparked a rebuttal from Bitcoin advocate Daniel Batten.

The report suggests that regulators should impose a ‘crypto carbon’ tax due to the alleged environmental impact of Bitcoin (BTC) mining.

Batten argued that the report is based on flawed comparisons and outdated data, going on to criticize the IMF’s use of a “guilt by association” technique, equating the carbon footprint of Bitcoin mining with that of AI data centers without contemporary evidence.

Batten points out that Bitcoin mining, unlike AI data centers, has been shown to have a net decarbonizing effect on energy grids, citing studies that highlight these differences.

Bitcoin mining emissions

Batten also disputed the IMF’s use of discredited sources and hypothetical models, which he claims distort the true environmental impact of Bitcoin mining.

According to Batten, independent data reveals that Bitcoin’s share of global electricity use and carbon dioxide emissions will decrease by 2027, contrary to IMF projections.

In his tweet, the advocate called for more honest and accurate research, emphasizing the growing scientific consensus that Bitcoin mining has significant environmental benefits. Batten warns that the IMF’s report, as it stands, is misleading and not a reliable resource for policymakers.





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Wisconsin adds 447k shares to BlackRock Bitcoin ETF holdings

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The State of Wisconsin Investment Board has increased its holdings in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, as revealed in a recent SEC filing.

A U.S. SEC filing on August 14 shows that the State of Wisconsin now holds almost 2.9 million shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin (BTC) Trust worth approximately $99.1 million.

SWIB’s IBIT holdings rose by 447,651 shares, bringing the total to 2,898,051, meaning the board spent approximately $14 million to acquire more shares.

This move marks a shift in SWIB’s investment strategy, as the board has fully exited its position in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, where it previously held 1,013,000 shares.

Bitcoin confidence

The board, which manages public funds, purchased over 1 million Grayscale GBTC shares valued at more than $63.3 million earlier this year, but now they are holding BlackRock’s BTC ETF.

This increase in IBIT holdings reflects growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin, with SWIB opting for direct Bitcoin exposure through spot ETFs. Wisconsin’s investment underscores the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin-backed products and may inspire other institutions and government agencies to follow suit.

Despite Bitcoin’s recent price fluctuations, the ongoing investment in spot Bitcoin ETFs signals a robust belief in the cryptocurrency’s long-term potential.





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