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Bitcoin value would surge past $600K if ‘hardest asset’ matches gold

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The coming decade may well be Bitcoin’s time to repeat gold’s 1970 breakouts, says Capriole Investments.

Bitcoin BTC ticked down $16,562 thanks to copying gold’s explosive 1970’s because it becomes the world’s “hardest asset” in 2024.

That was one forecast from the most recent edition of the Capriole news report, a monetary circular from analysis and commerce firm Capriole Investments.

Bitcoin due massive moves “and more” in 2020s

Despite BTC value action drooping at nearly 80% below its latest uncomparable high, not most are pessimistic regarding even its mid-term outlook.

While necessitating an extra drop before BTC/USD finds its new macro bottom stay, Capriole believes that 2023 is going to be bright for Bitcoin as a reserve plus.

The reason, it says, lies within the world economy’s monetary history of the past century, and particularly, the US once the dollar deanchored from gold utterly in 1971.

Gold, because the world’s premier refuge of the time, saw “huge” gains throughout the last decade, and 50 years later, it’s Bitcoin’s flip.

“Because gold was a lot smaller within the 1970 (and Bitcoin these days is even smaller by comparison), it had capability to form massive moves through a decade of inflation and high interest rates,” Capriole wrote.

“That’s one reason why we tend to believe Bitcoin can do the same, and more, this decade.”

Accompanying charts underscored gold’s potential to repeat its 70s behavior, among that were a “cup and handle” chart structure enjoying out since 2010.

When it involves Bitcoin vying with gold for the refuge crown, meanwhile, the potential lies within the numbers — at simply 2.5% of gold’s market cap, BTC diving eightieth from its $69,000 peak last year has very little touching on the image.

“Given Bitcoin represents simply 2.5% of gold’s capitalisation these days, its 80% drawdown adds a mere 2% further drawdowns to the combined arduous cash (gold + Bitcoin) drawdown,” the news report continued .

“Giving a complete total hard money drawdown of 24% through to November 2022, comparable the 1970 and 1975 figures for gold.”

Should the stage already be set for a Bitcoin imitator movie of 70s gold, the expansion potential is so all the additional spectacular — even currently, Bitcoin’s market cap is simply 100% that of gold before its Bull Run of the time began.

“Bitcoin has additional growth potential than gold as a result of its smaller size. A like-for-like demand in each asset can end in a 40X bigger value amendment for Bitcoin,” Capriole expressed.

“The hardest asset in the world”

A further key argument echoed that long championed by commentators like Saifedean Ammous within the widespread book, “The Bitcoin customary.”

There, the controversy focuses on investors’ shift to Bitcoin as its rate of inflation drops below that of gold, increasing its financial “hardness” versus the metal.

“There are several different attributes that make Bitcoin stand out from gold, like its equitable decentralization, ability to transfer instantly and be used for micro-payments. However, most significantly, Bitcoin is tougher than gold.”

This, Capriole additional, can ensure Bitcoin as “the hardest plus within the world” at its next block grant halving in 2024.

“All-in-all, gold went up 24X within the 1970’s,” Capriole summarized.

“Now imagine the 2020s, wherever the Fed can’t afford to be as aggressive (debt is much higher today) and that we have digital, accessible, tougher money: Bitcoin.”

The post Bitcoin value would surge past $600K if ‘hardest asset’ matches gold first appeared on BTC Wires.



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Insight Into The Timing And Factors

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The Bitcoin price has experienced heightened volatility over the past week. After recovering from a low of $56,500, the largest cryptocurrency in the market surged to $65,500 within four days. However, it has since retraced some of its gains and is currently testing the $61,000 support level. 

Despite this volatility and the absence of strong bullish momentum, venture capital firm Pantera Capital remains optimistic about the future of BTC’s price, citing the recent Halving event as a significant factor.

Pantera Capital Projects $117,000 Price Target By 2025

In a recent investor letter, Pantera Capital revealed its Bitcoin Halving rallies model, which predicts a bottoming out of the BTC price followed by a rise through the Halving rally. 

Based on the average duration of previous rallies, the firm forecasts that BTC’s price will peak at $117,000 in August 2025. The average total duration of this cycle, encompassing pre- and post-Halving rallies, has historically been around 2.6 years, with symmetry observed across cycles.

Pantera Capital highlights the relationship between Halving events and BTC’s price. The firm asserts that if the demand for new Bitcoin remains constant while the supply of new Bitcoin is reduced by half, it will create upward pressure on the price. 

The anticipation of a price increase has also historically driven increased demand for Bitcoin leading up to Halving events. However, Pantera Capital acknowledges that the impact of each subsequent Halving on price may diminish as the reduction in the supply of new Bitcoin from previous Halvings becomes less significant.

Moreover, the firm notes that, on average, the Pantera Bitcoin Fund has nearly doubled in value for eleven years. Based on this historical performance, Pantera Capital envisions a scenario in which the price of Bitcoin reaches $117,000 by 2025.

Bullish Bitcoin Price Predictions

Renowned crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has recently taken to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to share bullish predictions for the Bitcoin price. With forecasts ranging from $75,000 to $110,000, Titan of Crypto highlights various factors and patterns that could potentially drive BTC’s growth.

According to Titan of Crypto, a price rise to $110,000 for Bitcoin is “programmed.” While the analyst did not elaborate on the specifics of this programming, it suggests a strong conviction in BTC’s potential to reach that level.

Titan of Crypto also identifies a current head-and-shoulders pattern in the Bitcoin price chart. If this pattern holds, the analyst suggests that BTC could rise to the $75,000 mark. If confirmed, this pattern could signify a bullish trend reversal and further support the projection of Bitcoin reaching higher price levels.

The analyst also highlighted $61,500 as a critical point to monitor due to the possibility of “panic selling.” The analyst suggests many market participants might react to this level, potentially increasing selling pressure

Lastly, based on his analysis, the analyst suggests a conservative price prediction of $108,000. However, Titan of Crypto believes that BTC’s price may exceed this projection, indicating a more optimistic outlook.

Bitcoin price
The 1-D chart shows BTC’s price retrace. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com



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Bitcoin About To ‘Blow Higher’ Despite This Week’s Pullback, According to Glassnode Co-Founders – Here’s Why

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The founders of crypto analytics platform Glassnode are predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) will soon soar even higher after being up 7% in the last week.

In a new thread, the co-founders of Glassnode, who go by the handle Negentropic on the social media platform X, tell their 62,900 followers that key indicators suggest Bitcoin is gearing up from a massive breakout.

The analysts say Bitcoin appears to be forming a bullish pennant pattern. They also suggest that Bitcoin is correcting to a Fibonacci retracement level, in the low $60,000 range, which often predicts a continuation of an upward trend.

“BTC still looks like it is about to blow higher! Last week’s candle was a reversal candle – a hammer with a long wick. Price moved back into the pennant structure. This candle still dominates the structure. This week’s pullback, hence, seems like a healthy correction before higher. Corrections often pull back either 50% or 61.8% of the previous impulse move.”

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Source: Negentropic/X

Looking at their chart, the analysts suggest that Bitcoin has or is about to complete a three-wave ABC correction. The Elliott Wave theory states that a bullish asset often witnesses a fresh leg up after an ABC correction of three wave impulses.

The analysts believe Bitcoin could break through the $85,000 level before the start of summer, which officially begins on June 20th.

“BTC is currently in the process of breaking the trendline of pennant and the 50-day SMA (simple moving average). When the level of $65,000-$66,000 is broken, BTC will move on to first $73,500, then $76,500, and chances are that we see $85,200 before the summer.”

Bitcoin is trading for $62,016 at time of writing, down slightly in the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Analyst Benjamin Cowen Warns Ethereum ‘Still Facing Headwinds,’ Says ETH Will Only Go Up if Bitcoin Does This

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The widely followed analyst Benjamin Cowen is saying that Ethereum (ETH) is at risk of facing more downside over the coming months.

In a new video, Cowen tells his 801,000 YouTube subscribers that monetary policy is likely to negatively affect Ethereum.

“I think that ETH/USD is still facing some headwinds here, especially following the potential rejection of the spot exchange-traded fund (ETF)…

…I think the impact that people are going to feel is just from tighter monetary policy. They’re going to blame it on the spot ETF and they’re going to capitulate potentially into that.”

According to Cowen, the Ethereum could go up on one condition.

“If ETH goes up from here, it would only be due to Bitcoin going up a lot more.”

The widely followed analyst says that the Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) pair, on the other hand, is likely to keep falling under most circumstances based on history.

“So if Ethereum goes up, Ethereum/Bitcoin is probably going to keep going down. If Bitcoin goes sideways, Ethereum/Bitcoin is going to keep going down in my opinion. And if Bitcoin goes down, Ethereum/Bitcoin probably goes down because Bitcoin has been doing all s of things since 2022 began. In eight of 10 quarters, Ethereum/Bitcoin has gone down whether Bitcoin went up, down or sideways. Ethereum/Bitcoin generally went down.”

ETH is trading at $3,002 at time of writing.

 

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