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Bitcoin Miners Show Accumulation Again, Bullish Sign?

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On-chain data shows that Bitcoin miners have been expanding their reserves recently, a sign that could be bullish for the asset’s price.

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, BTC miners have been accumulating during the past 48 days. The indicator of interest here is the “miner reserve,” which measures the total amount of Bitcoin that all miners are holding in their wallets right now.

Related Reading: These Bitcoin Metrics Are At Important Retests, Will Bullish Trend Prevail?

When the value of this metric goes down, it means that the miners are withdrawing coins from their wallets currently. Generally, these chain validators only transfer coins out of their reserve whenever they want to sell them, so this kind of trend can have bearish implications for the price.

On the other hand, the indicator increasing in value implies the miners are adding a net amount of BTC to their wallets. Such a trend can be a sign that these investors are accumulating at the moment, and hence, can be bullish for the cryptocurrency.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin miner reserve over the last couple of months:

Bitcoin Miner Reserve

The value of the metric has been steadily going up in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant

As shown in the above graph, the Bitcoin miner reserve had observed a large rise back in May, but soon after this increase, this cohort started selling as the asset’s price continued to show struggle.

After the rally had taken place in June, however, the indicator’s value had stabilized, meaning that these investors were selling the same amount as they were adding to their holdings.

In the last few weeks, this sideways trend has slowly turned into an uptrend, as the miners have been gradually expanding their reserves. In the past 48 days, these chain validators have added a total of around 4,060 BTC to their holdings.

This amount is worth around $118 million at the current exchange rate, which isn’t a ton given the scale of the total miner reserve, but it’s still nonetheless a positive sign that the miners have been accumulating despite the cryptocurrency’s price observing some decline recently.

A notable portion of this latest accumulation by the miners has come from one mining pool, AntPool, as the below chart displays.

Bitcoin Antpool Reserve

Looks like miners belonging to this pool have been accumulating | Source: CryptoQuant

In the past 52 days, the AntPool Bitcoin mining pool has added a total of about 1,020 BTC to their reserves, which is more than 25% of the total accumulation that all the miners have participated in during this period.

The quant has also attached the data for the exchange flows (as well the normal outflows/inflow) for this mining pool. Earlier, there was some concern around the market that these miners may have been selling as they were depositing to exchanges, but as it turned out, this cohort was merely transferring their coins back and forth from these platforms.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $29,100, up 1% in the last week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC has been moving sideways recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Featured image from iStock.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com



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Insight Into The Timing And Factors

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The Bitcoin price has experienced heightened volatility over the past week. After recovering from a low of $56,500, the largest cryptocurrency in the market surged to $65,500 within four days. However, it has since retraced some of its gains and is currently testing the $61,000 support level. 

Despite this volatility and the absence of strong bullish momentum, venture capital firm Pantera Capital remains optimistic about the future of BTC’s price, citing the recent Halving event as a significant factor.

Pantera Capital Projects $117,000 Price Target By 2025

In a recent investor letter, Pantera Capital revealed its Bitcoin Halving rallies model, which predicts a bottoming out of the BTC price followed by a rise through the Halving rally. 

Based on the average duration of previous rallies, the firm forecasts that BTC’s price will peak at $117,000 in August 2025. The average total duration of this cycle, encompassing pre- and post-Halving rallies, has historically been around 2.6 years, with symmetry observed across cycles.

Pantera Capital highlights the relationship between Halving events and BTC’s price. The firm asserts that if the demand for new Bitcoin remains constant while the supply of new Bitcoin is reduced by half, it will create upward pressure on the price. 

The anticipation of a price increase has also historically driven increased demand for Bitcoin leading up to Halving events. However, Pantera Capital acknowledges that the impact of each subsequent Halving on price may diminish as the reduction in the supply of new Bitcoin from previous Halvings becomes less significant.

Moreover, the firm notes that, on average, the Pantera Bitcoin Fund has nearly doubled in value for eleven years. Based on this historical performance, Pantera Capital envisions a scenario in which the price of Bitcoin reaches $117,000 by 2025.

Bullish Bitcoin Price Predictions

Renowned crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has recently taken to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to share bullish predictions for the Bitcoin price. With forecasts ranging from $75,000 to $110,000, Titan of Crypto highlights various factors and patterns that could potentially drive BTC’s growth.

According to Titan of Crypto, a price rise to $110,000 for Bitcoin is “programmed.” While the analyst did not elaborate on the specifics of this programming, it suggests a strong conviction in BTC’s potential to reach that level.

Titan of Crypto also identifies a current head-and-shoulders pattern in the Bitcoin price chart. If this pattern holds, the analyst suggests that BTC could rise to the $75,000 mark. If confirmed, this pattern could signify a bullish trend reversal and further support the projection of Bitcoin reaching higher price levels.

The analyst also highlighted $61,500 as a critical point to monitor due to the possibility of “panic selling.” The analyst suggests many market participants might react to this level, potentially increasing selling pressure

Lastly, based on his analysis, the analyst suggests a conservative price prediction of $108,000. However, Titan of Crypto believes that BTC’s price may exceed this projection, indicating a more optimistic outlook.

Bitcoin price
The 1-D chart shows BTC’s price retrace. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com



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Bitcoin About To ‘Blow Higher’ Despite This Week’s Pullback, According to Glassnode Co-Founders – Here’s Why

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The founders of crypto analytics platform Glassnode are predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) will soon soar even higher after being up 7% in the last week.

In a new thread, the co-founders of Glassnode, who go by the handle Negentropic on the social media platform X, tell their 62,900 followers that key indicators suggest Bitcoin is gearing up from a massive breakout.

The analysts say Bitcoin appears to be forming a bullish pennant pattern. They also suggest that Bitcoin is correcting to a Fibonacci retracement level, in the low $60,000 range, which often predicts a continuation of an upward trend.

“BTC still looks like it is about to blow higher! Last week’s candle was a reversal candle – a hammer with a long wick. Price moved back into the pennant structure. This candle still dominates the structure. This week’s pullback, hence, seems like a healthy correction before higher. Corrections often pull back either 50% or 61.8% of the previous impulse move.”

Image
Source: Negentropic/X

Looking at their chart, the analysts suggest that Bitcoin has or is about to complete a three-wave ABC correction. The Elliott Wave theory states that a bullish asset often witnesses a fresh leg up after an ABC correction of three wave impulses.

The analysts believe Bitcoin could break through the $85,000 level before the start of summer, which officially begins on June 20th.

“BTC is currently in the process of breaking the trendline of pennant and the 50-day SMA (simple moving average). When the level of $65,000-$66,000 is broken, BTC will move on to first $73,500, then $76,500, and chances are that we see $85,200 before the summer.”

Bitcoin is trading for $62,016 at time of writing, down slightly in the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Analyst Benjamin Cowen Warns Ethereum ‘Still Facing Headwinds,’ Says ETH Will Only Go Up if Bitcoin Does This

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The widely followed analyst Benjamin Cowen is saying that Ethereum (ETH) is at risk of facing more downside over the coming months.

In a new video, Cowen tells his 801,000 YouTube subscribers that monetary policy is likely to negatively affect Ethereum.

“I think that ETH/USD is still facing some headwinds here, especially following the potential rejection of the spot exchange-traded fund (ETF)…

…I think the impact that people are going to feel is just from tighter monetary policy. They’re going to blame it on the spot ETF and they’re going to capitulate potentially into that.”

According to Cowen, the Ethereum could go up on one condition.

“If ETH goes up from here, it would only be due to Bitcoin going up a lot more.”

The widely followed analyst says that the Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) pair, on the other hand, is likely to keep falling under most circumstances based on history.

“So if Ethereum goes up, Ethereum/Bitcoin is probably going to keep going down. If Bitcoin goes sideways, Ethereum/Bitcoin is going to keep going down in my opinion. And if Bitcoin goes down, Ethereum/Bitcoin probably goes down because Bitcoin has been doing all s of things since 2022 began. In eight of 10 quarters, Ethereum/Bitcoin has gone down whether Bitcoin went up, down or sideways. Ethereum/Bitcoin generally went down.”

ETH is trading at $3,002 at time of writing.

 

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