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Bitcoin Halving

Bitcoin Halving Successfully Completed, Fueling Expectations of Price Surge – Blockchain News, Opinion, TV and Jobs

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The so-called ‘bitcoin halving’ was completed in the night from Friday to Saturday. This halving takes place once every four years and aims to counteract bitcoin inflation by making the currency scarcer. During the halving, rewards for creating a new bitcoin (also known as mining) are reduced. This has a slowing effect on the rate at which new bitcoins enter the market. It makes the cryptocurrency scarcer, which drives up the price.

Miners play a crucial role in the Bitcoin network. They use powerful computers to solve complex mathematical problems, adding new transactions to the blockchain, which is like a global ledger for Bitcoin.

Miners are rewarded in two ways: through transaction fees paid by users for faster transactions and through mining rewards, which are newly created bitcoins. Currently, miners receive 6.25 bitcoins for their work, worth around $437,500. After the latest halving, which occurred between April 18 and April 21, this reward will reduce to 3.125 bitcoins.

This reduction in rewards slows down the rate at which new bitcoins are created, ultimately decreasing the total supply. This scarcity is important because it maintains Bitcoin’s value proposition as digital gold.

In the past, halvings have led to a significant increase in the currency’s value. Cryptocurrency investors were therefore looking forward to the fourth halving.

One bitcoin is now worth about $64.800. The value of the cryptocurrency has more than doubled in the past six months.

The current halving is not exprected to affect the price of bitcoin in the short term, but many investors are expecting big gains in the months ahead. These expectations are based on the cryptocurrency’s performance after previous halvings in 2012, 2016 and 2020.

Currently, 19.6 million bitcoins have been mined. Ultimately, there should be a total of 21 million bitcoins on the market. This sets the digital currency apart from fiat money like the euro, which can be printed in unlimited quantities.



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Bitcoin

Insight Into The Timing And Factors

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The Bitcoin price has experienced heightened volatility over the past week. After recovering from a low of $56,500, the largest cryptocurrency in the market surged to $65,500 within four days. However, it has since retraced some of its gains and is currently testing the $61,000 support level. 

Despite this volatility and the absence of strong bullish momentum, venture capital firm Pantera Capital remains optimistic about the future of BTC’s price, citing the recent Halving event as a significant factor.

Pantera Capital Projects $117,000 Price Target By 2025

In a recent investor letter, Pantera Capital revealed its Bitcoin Halving rallies model, which predicts a bottoming out of the BTC price followed by a rise through the Halving rally. 

Based on the average duration of previous rallies, the firm forecasts that BTC’s price will peak at $117,000 in August 2025. The average total duration of this cycle, encompassing pre- and post-Halving rallies, has historically been around 2.6 years, with symmetry observed across cycles.

Pantera Capital highlights the relationship between Halving events and BTC’s price. The firm asserts that if the demand for new Bitcoin remains constant while the supply of new Bitcoin is reduced by half, it will create upward pressure on the price. 

The anticipation of a price increase has also historically driven increased demand for Bitcoin leading up to Halving events. However, Pantera Capital acknowledges that the impact of each subsequent Halving on price may diminish as the reduction in the supply of new Bitcoin from previous Halvings becomes less significant.

Moreover, the firm notes that, on average, the Pantera Bitcoin Fund has nearly doubled in value for eleven years. Based on this historical performance, Pantera Capital envisions a scenario in which the price of Bitcoin reaches $117,000 by 2025.

Bullish Bitcoin Price Predictions

Renowned crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has recently taken to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to share bullish predictions for the Bitcoin price. With forecasts ranging from $75,000 to $110,000, Titan of Crypto highlights various factors and patterns that could potentially drive BTC’s growth.

According to Titan of Crypto, a price rise to $110,000 for Bitcoin is “programmed.” While the analyst did not elaborate on the specifics of this programming, it suggests a strong conviction in BTC’s potential to reach that level.

Titan of Crypto also identifies a current head-and-shoulders pattern in the Bitcoin price chart. If this pattern holds, the analyst suggests that BTC could rise to the $75,000 mark. If confirmed, this pattern could signify a bullish trend reversal and further support the projection of Bitcoin reaching higher price levels.

The analyst also highlighted $61,500 as a critical point to monitor due to the possibility of “panic selling.” The analyst suggests many market participants might react to this level, potentially increasing selling pressure

Lastly, based on his analysis, the analyst suggests a conservative price prediction of $108,000. However, Titan of Crypto believes that BTC’s price may exceed this projection, indicating a more optimistic outlook.

Bitcoin price
The 1-D chart shows BTC’s price retrace. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com



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Bitcoin

Conservative Projection Places Bitcoin At $245,000 In 5 Years

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A recent analysis paints a rosy picture of Bitcoin’s future, even with a conservative growth projection. Taking to X, Michael Sullivan predicts that the world’s most valuable coin could reach a staggering $245,000 within just five years if it maintains a mere 30% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). 

Bitcoin Projections: From Conservative To Exponential Growth

The analysis explores various growth possibilities for Bitcoin. Assuming the coin’s growth rate significantly contracts in the coming years, growing at just 30% CAGR, Sullivan projects the coin to reach $245,000 by 2029. 

BTC price at a CAGR of 30% | Source: Analyst
BTC price at a CAGR of 30% | Source: Analyst

A decade later, it will be at $909,000; by 2039, each coin in circulation will be trading at a whopping $3.37 million. If, however, the CAGR rises to 40%, Bitcoin would be worth $10.3 million in 15 years and $1.9 million in 10 years.

Still, even at these mega valuations, Bitcoin has been soaring at unprecedented rates, outperforming all traditional finance assets since launching. To demonstrate, Bitcoin registered a CAGR of 73.7% over the past four years. 

Therefore, if this trend continues, Sullivan says BTC will smash above the $1 million level a year after halving in 2028. However, half a decade later, each coin will change hands at over $16.5 million. 

BTC at a CAGR of 73.7% | Source: Analyst on X
BTC at a CAGR of 73.7% | Source: Analyst on X

A look back at Bitcoin’s history makes it clear that the coin has been on a tear. Following this historical trend and making projections for the future, BTC could be far more valuable in the next five or ten years.

There Are No Guarantees, Crypto Is Dynamic

While these projections are undoubtedly exciting for Bitcoin holders, it’s crucial to remember that they are just projections. The crypto market, just like any other tradable asset, doesn’t move in straight lines. 

As an illustration, after peaking at nearly $70,000 in 2021, prices crashed to as low as $15,600 the following year. In 2017, BTC rose to around $20,000 before tanking to below $4,000 a year later in 2018. This volatility and the dynamic market, influenced by new circumstances, don’t guarantee these lofty projections.

Bitcoin price trending upward on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
Bitcoin price trending upward on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

Nonetheless, analysts remain optimistic of what lies ahead, especially after the historic Halving event on April 20. As traditional finance players join in, finding exposure in BTC through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), prices might rise, even breaking above the all-time highs of around $74,000.

Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.





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Bitcoin Halving

Bitcoin Halving Successfully Completed, Fueling Expectations of Price Surge – Blockchain News, Opinion, TV and Jobs

Published

on


The so-called ‘bitcoin halving’ was completed in the night from Friday to Saturday. This halving takes place once every four years and aims to counteract bitcoin inflation by making the currency scarcer. During the halving, rewards for creating a new bitcoin (also known as mining) are reduced. This has a slowing effect on the rate at which new bitcoins enter the market. It makes the cryptocurrency scarcer, which drives up the price.

Miners play a crucial role in the Bitcoin network. They use powerful computers to solve complex mathematical problems, adding new transactions to the blockchain, which is like a global ledger for Bitcoin.

Miners are rewarded in two ways: through transaction fees paid by users for faster transactions and through mining rewards, which are newly created bitcoins. Currently, miners receive 6.25 bitcoins for their work, worth around $437,500. After the latest halving, which occurred between April 18 and April 21, this reward will reduce to 3.125 bitcoins.

This reduction in rewards slows down the rate at which new bitcoins are created, ultimately decreasing the total supply. This scarcity is important because it maintains Bitcoin’s value proposition as digital gold.

In the past, halvings have led to a significant increase in the currency’s value. Cryptocurrency investors were therefore looking forward to the fourth halving.

One bitcoin is now worth about $64.800. The value of the cryptocurrency has more than doubled in the past six months.

The current halving is not exprected to affect the price of bitcoin in the short term, but many investors are expecting big gains in the months ahead. These expectations are based on the cryptocurrency’s performance after previous halvings in 2012, 2016 and 2020.

Currently, 19.6 million bitcoins have been mined. Ultimately, there should be a total of 21 million bitcoins on the market. This sets the digital currency apart from fiat money like the euro, which can be printed in unlimited quantities.



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