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Bitcoin Just Entered a ‘Second Danger Zone,’ Warns Crypto Analyst – Here Are His Targets

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A cryptocurrency analyst and trader is warning that Bitcoin (BTC) may see another move to the downside in the next two weeks.

The analyst pseudonymously known as Rekt Capital tells his 74,300 YouTube subscribers that the current Bitcoin correction may be mirroring its 2016 halving price action when BTC witnessed two corrective waves: one before the halving and another after the halving.

According to the analyst, the historical precedent suggests that it is within the realm of possibility for BTC to witness another pullback within weeks after the most recent halving.

“If you look at these halving retraces, a small portion of them occur before the halving. But the majority of these pullbacks and consolidation periods occur after the halving…

In 2016, we had a slightly different scenario where 28 days before the halving, we saw this pre-halving retrace kick start… Pre-halving we already saw that initial downside wick that crashed. But after the halving, we saw additional downside so in effect, this danger zone did not just end before the halving. It extended a few more weeks after the halving… 

If we think about the pre-halving danger zone 1714206893, we need to also potentially factor in or at least consider a potential danger zone after the halving – so, a second danger zone.”

Source: Rekt Capital/YouTube

The pseudonymous analyst says that based on historical price action, Bitcoin could trade within the post-halving danger zone until next month.

“So if the halving was last week then technically we have a three-week window of 21 days… Maybe even less than that right now because it’s the [27th] of April…

So just over two weeks left for this post-halving danger zone based on historical tendencies in 2016 for this post-halving danger zone to come to full fruition.”

According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s current support zone at around the $60,000 price could prove to be enduring if it holds over the next couple of weeks.

“It’s about these next two weeks, these two pivotal weeks. Can we continue to hold on at the range low here [around $60,000]? And if we do within the next two weeks, then that gives us a fair degree of confidence that maybe, just maybe, this re-accumulation range low is going to continue to hold.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $62,871, down over 3% in the past day.

 

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Altcoins

Hackers With $182,000,000 Stolen From Poloniex Starts Moving Funds to Tornado Cash

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The hacker who looted the crypto exchange Poloniex has started moving Ethereum (ETH) to the mixing service Tornado Cash, according to the digital asset de-anonymizing platform Arkham.

Arkham notes the hacker moved 1126.1 ETH worth more than $3.4 million into Tornado Cash across a series of 20 transactions on Monday and Tuesday.

They represent the exploiter’s first moves into the controversial Ethereum-based crypto mixer, which helps users conceal their digital assets.

The hacker raided Poloniex in early November, stealing $56 million worth of ETH, $48 million worth of Tron (TRX) and $18 million worth of Bitcoin (BTC), as well as smaller amounts of other crypto assets.

The exchange, which is owned by Tron founder Justin Sun, offered a 5% white hat bounty that went unaccepted. and the hacker still holds $181.47 million worth of crypto in their primary address, according to Arkham.

Justin Sun-affiliated projects have endured a prolific string of attacks in the past several months:  In September, hackers exploited the Sun-linked exchange giant HTX for approximately 4,999 Ethereum worth $7.9 million, according to the blockchain security firm PeckShield.

Then in November, hackers hit HTX and Heco Bridge, another Sun-linked project that’s used to move funds between Ethereum and energy-saving blockchain Heco Chain, for a combined $100 million, according to cybersecurity firm Cyvers.

And in January, hackers once again struck HTX, hitting the exchange with a distributed denial of service (DDoS) attack that caused a brief outage.

A DDoS attack is a malicious attempt by bad actors to flood the target website with traffic to overwhelm the site’s infrastructure.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Altcoins

Top Coins Poised For Gains

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In a post on X, crypto analyst Miles Deutscher laid out his strategic predictions for high-performing cryptocurrencies in the upcoming week to his 501,700 followers. His analysis delved deep into Bitcoin’s trading patterns, the surging AI-driven altcoin sector, and specific tokens that are displaying considerable potential due to recent developments and broader market dynamics.

Bitcoin And AI Crypto Tokens Are Set To Dominate This Week

At the forefront of Deutscher’s analysis, Bitcoin has recently returned to its previous trading range between $60,000 and $69,400 after experiencing a sharp drop. This movement was characterized as a significant deviation, suggesting manipulation or a shakeout of weak hands before a potential rally.

“Bitcoin is at the top of my watchlist for this week. Had a big fakeout/deviation to the downside, and now back within the range,” Deutscher stated. He pointed out that the key factor to watch is whether the current range’s lower boundary will hold, which could serve as a strong foundation for an upward trajectory.

Bitcoin price
BTC price, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Moreover, the AI sector has been particularly resilient and robust recently, bouncing back significantly amidst broader market recoveries. Deutscher highlighted the sector’s potential for outperformance, driven by several upcoming major events.

These include Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), NVIDIA’s earnings announcement, and the anticipated release of ChatGPT 5. “AI is one of those unique narratives that retains constant mindshare due to its endless real-life news flow/hype,” Deutscher explained.

One specific AI token which Deutscher watches closely due to its alleged partnership with Apple is Render (RNDR), making it a prime candidate for speculation around the upcoming Apple event. Historically, RNDR has also led the AI token sector during market rotations.

Furthermore, Deutsches focuses on Near Protocol (NEAR), Fetch.ai (FET), AIOZ Network (AIOZ). He grouped these tokens together due to their correlation but noted their recent technical performance, where they bounced cleanly off daily support levels and established higher lows.

More Altcoins To Watch

TON: Recently the center of attention, TON experienced a drop after the Token2049 event in what Deutscher described as a “sell-the-news” scenario. However, recent investments by firms like Pantera signal continued interest and potential undercurrents of growth.

Ethena (ENA): With the market sentiment turning bullish again, Deutscher anticipates a return to positive funding rates, which typically benefit tokens like Ethena. Recent activity from the Ethena team, including increased reward boosts and optimistic social media posts from its founders, further bolster the bullish case. “Also hearing rumors of a T1 exchange listing,” Deutscher added, suggesting an impending increase in liquidity and exposure.

Jito (JTO): Jito is reportedly developing what Deutscher referred to as the “Eigen Layer of Solana,” aiming to replicate the success and hype surrounding the Eigen project’s layer solutions. Despite the challenges of a recent airdrop, Deutscher sees potential if the team executes well, particularly as the restaking narrative has not yet fully penetrated the market.

PopCat (POPCAT): Despite facing some fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) related to copyright issues over the weekend, POPCAT continues to exhibit strong price action, pushing toward new highs. “POPCAT seems the best contender, for now, not a single cat meme coin has yet to hit a $1B market cap,” noted Deutscher, highlighting its standout performance.

Ethereum Finance (ETHFI): In the realm of liquidity reward tokens (LRT), ETHFI remains a notable mention despite a broader sector sell-off post-Eigen. Deutscher believes the selling may have been overreactive, and with total value locked (TVL) still on the rise, a reversion to mean on prices could be imminent.

SEI Network (SEI): As anticipation builds for the launch of the new layer one blockchain, Monad, later this year, SEI is seen as a strategic play. Categorized within the parallelized Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) narrative, SEI experienced a substantial sell-off but is poised for recovery as the market focus shifts towards upcoming launches.

Friend (FRIEND): After recommending FRIEND at $1.30, Deutscher continues to see upside potential, particularly as it approaches more significant centralized exchange listings. He advises keeping an eye out for major pullbacks as opportunities to buy.

Featured image from Matt Paul Catalano / Unsplash, chart from TradingView.com

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.





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Altcoins

Weakening Dollar Could Boost Crypto and Push One Altcoin to Astronomical Price Target: Economist Henrik Zeberg

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Economist Henrik Zeberg says that a loss of strength for the dollar could be the catalyst that breathes new life into crypto assets.

Zeberg tells his 136,000 followers on the social media platform X that lower bond yields and a weakening dollar index (DXY), which pits the dollar against a basket of other major foreign currencies, will create an “amazing environment” for risk assets like crypto.

To ride the crypto rally, Zeberg says he has his eye on JasmyCoin (JASMY), a blockchain-based personal data storage project.

“I think a push lower in DXY and yields will create an amazing environment for crypto into the last phase of this risk asset bull market.

I think the next phase for Jasmy is wave three!

Later wave four into summer (while DXY bounces)  – and then the final boost into late summer – early Autumn.

It may be that the target “only” becomes $0.3ish… but for now, the above is my main thesis.

I AM THE JASMY-FATHER!”

Image
Source: Henrik Zeberg/X

The economist appears to be using the Elliott Wave theory in his analysis. The theory states that a bullish asset will witness a five-wave move to the upside before topping out.

Zooming in on JASMY’s technicals, Zeberg says that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the relative strength index (RSI) indicators are in the process of crossing bullish on the daily chart.

The RSI and MACD are both momentum indicators that traders use to spot points of potential trend reversals.

Says Zeberg,

“Bullish cross-over on MACD.

RSI breaking the downward trend.

We have seen that before….. just before the 400-500% Run higher.

This time, I expect the move to be BIGGER!

All onboard?”

Image
Source: Henrik Zeberg/X

At time of writing, JASMY is worth $0.02, up over 6% in the past day.

As for Bitcoin (BTC), Zeberg previously said the crypto king will be ready to enter a “melt-up” phase once its monthly RSI hits 70.

”So I got $110,000-$115,000 for Bitcoin. It is actually a part of a larger pattern. I see that this is either the beginning of a new bull [run], but it needs to take a long break after the blow-off top.

But we haven’t gotten to the really steep part of it yet. We see that we get to [an] RSI above 70, that is really when we see the steep part.”

Source: Henrik Zeberg

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $64,400 with its monthly RSI hovering at 68.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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