The winds of change are swirling around Ethereum, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency. Despite a recent price dip, the network has witnessed a surge in new user activity, sparking a wave of optimism. However, the outsized influence of large holders, known as whales, continues to cast a long shadow.

New Wallets Open For Business

Data from blockchain analytics firm Santiment reveals a surge in new Ethereum wallets, with a record-breaking 267,000 created on April 28th and 29th. This influx marks the highest two-day increase since October 2022 and suggests a potential resurgence of interest in the Ethereum network.

📈 #Ethereum saw a milestone as April came to an end. 266.6K new wallets were created on April 28th and 29th, the highest 2-day stretch of network growth since October 8th and 9th, 2022. It is a strong that $ETH continues expanding despite dipping prices. https://t.co/SN6xqc3JXV pic.twitter.com/KDcjhY30y5

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) May 1, 2024

This trend defies the current market downturn, with many cryptocurrencies experiencing significant price drops. Analysts speculate that the rise in new wallets could be fueled by several factors, including:

• Anticipation of future growth: Investors may be looking towards upcoming Ethereum upgrades that promise improved scalability and security, betting on the network’s long-term potential.
• Bargain hunters: The recent price dip might be seen as an attractive entry point for new investors seeking a discount on Ethereum.

On Minnows And Whales

While the number of new users is encouraging, a closer look at Ethereum’s address distribution reveals a stark disparity in holdings. According to CoinMarketCap, a staggering 97% of Ethereum addresses hold between $0 and $1,000 worth of the cryptocurrency. This signifies a large pool of small-scale investors, often referred to as “minnows.”

However, the real power lies with a select few. Whale tracking platform Clank estimates that whales, representing only 0.10% of all Ethereum addresses, control a whopping 41% of the total circulating supply. This translates to an average holding of nearly 10 million ETH per whale, valued at a staggering $3.7 million.

Ether market cap currently at $362 billion. Chart: TradingView.com

Holding Steady: A Vote Of Confidence?

Despite the recent price decline, Ethereum appears to be weathering the storm better than the broader crypto market. In fact, Ether is up more than 30% year-to-date (YTD) from an opening price of about $2,282.

As of today, Ethereum sits at $3,014, with a total market capitalization of $362 billion. Notably, the market experienced an average decline of 8.75% over the last week, highlighting Ethereum’s relative resilience.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Furthermore, data suggests that a majority of Ethereum investors (74%) are long-term holders, demonstrating a strong belief in the project’s future. This “hodling” mentality indicates a commitment to maintaining their Ethereum positions for the long haul, even in the face of short-term market fluctuations.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

Ethereum price started another decline and traded below $2,920. ETH could gain bearish momentum if there is a close below the $2,800 support zone.

• Ethereum remained in a bearish zone and traded below the $2,900 zone.
• The price is trading below $2,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,050 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $3,050 resistance.

Ethereum Price Extends Losses

Ethereum price remained in a bearish zone below the $3,120 level, like Bitcoin. ETH traded below the $3,000 level. The bears even pushed the price below the $2,920 level.

A low was formed at $2,813 and the price is now consolidating. There was a minor increase above the $2,900 level. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $3,355 swing high to the $2,813 low. However, the bears were active near the $2,950 and $2,965 levels.

Ethereum is now trading below $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Immediate resistance is near the $2,965 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,050 level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.

There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,050 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $3,355 swing high to the $2,813 low.

Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The next key resistance sits at $3,085, above which the price might gain traction and rise toward the $3,150 level. A close above the $3,150 resistance could send the price toward the $3,250 resistance. If there is a move above the $3,250 resistance, Ethereum could even test the $3,350 resistance. Any more gains could send Ether toward the $3,500 resistance zone.

More Downsides In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,050 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,850 level. The first major support is near the $2,820 zone.

The main support is near the $2,820 level. A clear move below the $2,820 support might push the price toward $2,650. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,540 level in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $2,820

Major Resistance Level – $3,050

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

A crypto analyst has predicted when Ethereum, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency, will bottom against Bitcoin, however, under certain conditions. 

Analyst Predicts ETH/BTC Bottom Timeline

In a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, crypto analyst and founder of ITC Crypto, Benjamin Cowen, shared his forecast regarding the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio, projecting the timeline for when ETH/BTC would hit its lowest value in the current market cycle. 

Sharing insights on the market conditions, Cowen noted striking similarities between the present market’s dynamics and the one seen in 2019. He disclosed that ETH/BTC’s recent bounce mirrored the market’s behavior in 2019, two months before the Federal Reserve (FED) cut down rates. 

Cowen predicts that the ETH/BTC ratio will reach the lowest point in its price cycle when the FED makes a significant change in its monetary policy, often referred to as a “pivot.” The crypto expert expects this pivot to occur in a few months, ultimately suggesting that Ethereum would bottom against Bitcoin in the coming months. 

His analysis is also based on the assumption that macroeconomic conditions and the FED’s monetary policies can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. Sharing a price chart of Ethereum against Bitcoin in another post, Cowen projected that the ETH/BTC ratio will head towards a range of 0.03 and 0.04 by summer. 

Commenting on his prediction of ETH/BTC’s bottom, a crypto community member expressed skepticism about the FED’s likelihood of cutting down rates while inflation was still high. Cowen responded that the absence of a rate cut further reinforced his beliefs that the ETH/BTC ratio has not yet reached its lowest point. He suggests that unless inflationary pressures are addressed, the ETH/BTC ratio may continue on its downward trend. 

Crypto Expert Calls Ethereum A Higher Risk Asset

In another post, Cowen referred to Ethereum as a higher-risk asset and Bitcoin as a lower-risk asset. The crypto analyst’s forecast on Ethereum against Bitcoin is underpinned by his interpretation of capital migration dynamics, suggesting that higher-risk assets typically depreciate relative to lower-risk assets.

He highlighted the uncertainty surrounding the future market movements of ETH/BTC following the halving event. Cowen predicted that if ETH/BTC witnesses a “relief rebound” after the halving, then he expects a rejection by the bull market support band, particularly in the context of weekly closing prices, estimated to range between $0.053 to $0.054. 

While acknowledging his past successes in predicting ETH/BTC price movements, Cowen highlighted that his predictions remain speculative, stating, “Just because I have been right so far about ETH/BTC does not mean I will continue being right.”

ETH bulls fail to hold $3,000 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Finbold, chart from Tradingview.com

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.