Bitcoin CME Futures BTC1 front month continuous contract price action closes over the weekend, making Friday evening the closing bell for the week. This Friday’s close saw price recover above a crucial level that in the past led to a bullish impulse in crypto. Here is a closer look at why bulls could be ready to charge in the coming weeks.

Using BTC CME Futures As A Crypto Crystal Ball

Large institutional traders don’t just trade spot BTCUSD, nor do they trade on Binance, ByBit, or another crypto platform. When they want to speculate and trade using derivatives contracts, they look to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, better known as CME Group.

Unlike the 24/7, always-on crypto market, CME Group charts close down for the weekend and holidays much like stocks. Due to this behavior, the chart often features gaps that don’t appear on standard BTCUSD price charts. Discrepancies between BTC CME Futures charts and BTCUSD charts can lead to fakeouts and shakeouts.

Because Bitcoin CME Futures does stop on Friday for the weekend, it also can provide early clues as to how spot price charts might close on Sunday night. In this case, BTC Futures has reclaimed the Bollinger Band basis line, often referred to as the “mid-BB”.

Is the third time the charm? | BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Bitcoin Price Recovers Above The Bollinger Band Basis Line

The basis line on the Bollinger Bands is a 20-period simple moving average. The tool’s creator, John Bollinger, then adds an upper and lower band set at two standard deviations of the SMA. This causes the bands to expand and contract with market volatility.

Like any moving average, it can act as dynamic support and resistance, holding up price action or preventing it from pushing along further. Following this Friday’s BTC Futures weekly close, Bitcoin has made it back above the mid-BB, possibly confirming it as support.

In the upper portion of the chart above, Bitcoin goes on an impulsive uptrend after holding above the basis line in 2019 and 2020. The lower portion depicts a closer look at this latest weekly close. Unless there is a massive collapse before Sunday night, BTCUSD technicals should follow suit. And if history repeats, a bull run could follow.

Is Bitcoin ready for a strong rally higher after reclaiming the key level as support? This chart was featured in issue #8 of CoinChartist (VIP) alongside a dozen other exclusive crypto charts. Click here to learn more.

To improve the country’s high-value payment system, Colombia’s central bank is experimenting with Ripple’s new end-to-end central bank digital currency technology. How will this collaboration affect the price of XRP?

On Thursday, Ripple announced that the central bank of Colombia and the Ministry of Information and Communication Technologies (MinTIC) would be exploring the use of blockchain technology in the country’s high value electronic payment system with Ripple.

The central bank did not specifically state it will pilot test a central bank digital currency, even though it will employ Ripple’s CBDC platform, supported by a private version of the XRP Ledger.

Ripple and @Peersyst are partnering with Colombia’s @BancoRepublica in conjunction with @Ministerio_TIC to pilot use cases that will enhance Colombia’s high-value payment system.🇨🇴

Learn more about the partnership: https://t.co/X9jyJ3pvDa

— Ripple (@Ripple) June 15, 2023

Ripple has not let regulatory constraints prevent it from innovating and expanding its reach, notably in Colombia, despite the fact that the blockchain startup is still engaged in a highly publicized legal dispute with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

A Technological Solution In The Offing For Colombia?

Blockchain technology was highlighted by Colombia’s minister of information and communication technology, Mauricio Lizcano, who claimed that it would offer a technological solution (Prototype) that would enable simulations of various use cases in the high-value payment system.

Peersyst Technology, a blockchain technology company based in the region, is MinTIC’s direct partner.

According to James Wallis, vice president of central bank engagements and CBDCs, Ripple:

“By harnessing the power of the CBDC Platform, based upon the XRPL, this project will pave the way for transformative advancements in the utilization of blockchain technology within the public sector.”

Ripple previously introduced its end-to-end XRPL-driven CBDC solution, which would enable central banks, financial service providers, and governments to establish their own digital currencies while also assisting them in resolving issues with CBDC deployments.

The Colombian government said in August 2022 that it was looking into introducing a CBDC to facilitate transactions and decrease tax evasion, and that it also planned to prohibit cash transactions for quantities more than 10 million Colombian pesos (about $2,390).

A digital asset custody technology provider, Metaco was bought by Ripple a few months ago, and its clientele includes several large, systemically significant institutions.

What The Latest Collaboration Means For XRP Price

Meanwhile, XRP is back in the red despite briefly rising above $0.55 earlier, adding more than $2 billion to its market capitalization in a 24-hour span, and the publication of the contentious papers pertinent to the Ripple lawsuit.

At the time of writing, and after news of the Ripple-Colombia central bank partnership broke out, the price of the XRP token looked it could use more energy to extricate itself out of negative territory.

According to the most recent data provided by cryptocurrency market tracker CoinMarketCap, XRP was down by almost a percent in the twenty-four hour time frame, down 8.56 percent in the last seven days, and threatening the 18 percent gain over the past month. XRP is currently trading at $0.47.

XRP market cap currently at $24.8 billion. Chart: TradingView.com

There are a number of possible explanations for the recent drop in the price of XRP following the announcement of the partnership between Ripple and the central bank of Colombia.

XRP price all in red. Source: CoinMarketCap

First, investors may not put much stock in the relationship because of the regulatory concerns that typically accompany partnerships between cryptocurrencies and traditional financial institutions.

The trend of XRP’s price could be affected by selling pressure due to this uncertainty. The general state of the market and the attitude of investors could also be factors in the drop of cryptocurrency prices.

XRP Price Trajectory: Factors To Consider

The price of XRP may fall regardless of specific news or collaborations if there is a lack of confidence in the crypto sector or a general slowdown in the broader economy.

Investor emotion, market conditions, and regulatory considerations all play a role in how much of an effect the Ripple-Colombia central bank agreement has on XRP’s price.

At the same time, the dispute between the SEC and Ripple is a major factor influencing the value of XRP. Although the release of the Hinman documents first boosted XRP since they appeared to support Ripple’s case, the altcoin’s price eventually fell as investors’ confusion and worry overcame their initial joy.

(This site’s content should not be construed as investment advice. Investing involves risk. When you invest, your capital is subject to risk).

Featured image from The Coin Republic

Amid the ongoing crypto regulatory uncertainty, Bitcoin’s market dominance has surged to its highest level since July 2021, suggesting a shift in the sentiments of traders and investors towards the world’s pioneer and most substantial cryptocurrency, Bitcoin.

This milestone highlights the current volatility of the crypto market as it continues to grapple with regulatory uncertainty and the various factors that impact Bitcoin’s value.

The Resurgence Of Bitcoin Dominance

The latest data from TradingView reveals that Bitcoin dominance, defined as Bitcoin’s share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, has hit a high of 49.5%. This level has not been recorded since July 2021 when Bitcoin’s dominance touched a peak of over 48%.

It is worth noting that earlier this year in April, Bitcoin’s dominance momentarily reached 48.83%, after which it fluctuated within a specific range.

However, the past week saw a notable increase in Bitcoin’s market dominance, correlating with the time when the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) categorized numerous tokens as unregistered securities in its lawsuits against the world’s largest crypto exchanges – Binance and Coinbase.

Consequently, many of these tokens such as Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), and Binance Coin (BNB) have experienced significant price drops, while Bitcoin’s value has remained comparatively stable.

Market Influences And The Upcoming BTC Halving

The regulatory actions by the SEC underscore an environment of uncertainty that has had noticeable effects on the crypto market. Amid this backdrop, Bitcoin emerges as a sort of safe haven.

Micheal Saylor, a prominent Bitcoin advocate, echoed these sentiments in a recent interview with Bloomberg, predicting that: “the entire industry is kind of destined to be rationalized down to Bitcoin and a half a dozen to a dozen other proof-of-work tokens.”

Furthermore, anticipation around the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, slated for April or May 2024, could be a contributing factor to Bitcoin’s increasing dominance.

This quadrennial event reduces the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks by half, effectively slowing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created to manage inflation and maintain their scarcity. The impending halving will result in a block reward decrease from 6.25 bitcoins to 3.125 bitcoins.

Notably, BTC has been in a downward trend in the past week. The largest crypto asset by market capitalization has recorded a bearish movement falling by nearly 5% in the past 7 days. However, over the past 24 hours, BTC has picked up an uptrend, seeing a 2.3% gain in its value.

Bitcoin currently has a market price of $25,515, at the time of writing after initially trading below that price range earlier this week. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s trading volume has plunged over the past 24 hours from over $15 billion on Thursday to $7.7 billion at the time of writing indicating less trading activity.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView